Statistically Significant Shortcuts in Statistics: Simplifying Complex Concepts

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In this informative presentation by Milo Schield, shortcut formulas for statistical significance are explored to make understanding of key statistical ideas more manageable. Various shortcuts for proportions, Chi-squared tests, correlations, relative risk, and t-tests are discussed, aiming to enhance the ease of statistical analysis. These shortcuts offer efficient ways to determine statistical significance in different scenarios, accompanied by concrete examples and practical applications.


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  1. V0C 1 2015 Schield SS Shortcuts Statistically-Significant Shortcuts by Milo Schield StatChat Feb 24, 2015 Slides at: www.StatLit.org/pdf/ 2015-Schield-StatChat-Slides.pdf

  2. V0C 2 2015 Schield SS Shortcuts Background & Goal Statistical significanceis one of statistics big ideas. For Z-scores, statistical significance is a single value. For Chi-squared and the student-T, it is a function. For correlation and relative risk, its a complex function. We need to focus on big ideas in random sampling. Goal: To create shortcut formulas for statistical significance that are sufficient and memorable.

  3. V0C 3 2015 Schield SS Shortcuts #1: Proportions Shortcut (SS) If |p2 - p1| > 1/Sqrt(n), then that difference is statistically significant Q. Has anyone seen this shortcut? Where? Yes! Seeing Through Statistics by Jessica Utts. Q. Anywhere else?

  4. V0C 4 2015 Schield SS Shortcuts Chi-Squared 2(df+1) Chi-Squared Shortcut Statistically-Significant 20 Chi-squared > 2(DF+1) Chi-squared 15 10 Actual Cutoffs 5 0 1 3 5 7 9 Degrees of Freedom Has anyone seen this shortcut anywhere?

  5. V0C 5 2015 Schield SS Shortcuts Shortcut Margin of Error for Correlation: 2/Sqrt(N) Correlation Shortcut (S/S) 0.6 Model (2 tail): r > 2/Sqrt(N) for #Pairs > 10 r > 2/Sqrt(N-1) for #Pairs > 4 0.5 0.4 0.3 Solid is the Model Dashed is Actual 0.2 Error < 5% 0.1 0 50 100 Sample Size (# of Pairs) 150 200 250 300 Has anyone seen this shortcut anywhere?

  6. V0C 6 2015 Schield SS Shortcuts Relative-Risk Shortcut (SS) Consider two groups each of size n. Relative Risk: RR = p2/p1 RR>1 is statistically significant if RR-1 = 2/sqrt(k1) where k1 = n*p1 >4 Has anyone seen this shortcut anywhere?

  7. V0C 7 2015 Schield SS Shortcuts T-Z: Actual vs. Model Shortcut for 2-tail T 4.0 3.5 3.0 Model: T > 1.645 + 2/(df-1) T 2.5 2.0 Actual 1.5 2 4 6 8 10 Degrees of Freedom Has anyone seen this shortcut anywhere?

  8. V0C 8 2015 Schield SS Shortcuts Question What are the costs in teaching these sufficient shortcuts for statistical significance? 1. |p2-p1| > 1/sqrt(n) 2. Chi-squared: 2 > 2(df+1) 3. Correlation: r > 2/sqrt(n-1) for n > 4 4. RRisk > 1+ 2/sqrt(k1): k1=n*p1, p1<p2 5. t-stat (2-tail): t > 1.645 + 2/sqrt(df-1)

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