Brexit Confidence Report July 2017
The ORB International poll conducted in July 2017 assesses public sentiment regarding Brexit negotiations in the UK. Key topics include approval of the government's handling of negotiations, confidence in the Prime Minister securing the right deal, and various opinions on Brexit-related issues. The data collected from a representative sample highlights fluctuations in public opinion during significant events such as the triggering of Article 50 and general elections. The report provides insights into the evolving attitudes towards Brexit among UK adults.
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BREXIT Confidence July 2017
Methodology On the first weekend of each month ORB International polls a nationally representative sample of n=2,000 adults aged 18+ throughout England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. The core tracking questions are :- Q Q Do you approve or disapprove of the way in which the Government is handling the Brexit negotiations? How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - I think the Prime Minister will get the right deal for Britain in the Brexit negotiation - Britain will be economically better off post Brexit - Britain will have more control over immigration post Brexit - Having greater control over immigration is more important that having access to free trade with the EU / Having access to free trade is more important than having greater control over immigration* * 50% of the sample were shown the first statement : 50% of the sample were shown the second statement The statistical margin of error at the 95% confidence level is +2.2%
Approval of BREXIT Negotiations Supreme Court rules that Brexit requires Act of Parliament Nicola Sturgeon announces plan for second referendum Donald Trump wins US Presidential Election General election announced Theresa May loses overall majority Article 50 Triggered 13th MAR 24TH JAN 31st JAN 29th MAR 9TH NOV 18th APR 8th JUN KEY DATES Parliament introduces Notification of Withdrawal Bill Parliament approves Notification of Withdrawal Bill 63 63 62 % 53 55 51 56 55 DISAPPROVE 54 46 45 49 44 45 47 38 37 37 % APPROVE NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd Do you approve or disapprove of the way in which the Government is handling the Brexit negotiations? (n=2,000 per month online)
Confident PM will get the right deal Supreme Court rules that Brexit requires Act of Parliament Nicola Sturgeon announces plan for second referendum Donald Trump wins US Presidential Election General election announced Theresa May loses overall majority Article 50 Triggered 13th MAR 24TH JAN 31st JAN 29th MAR 9TH NOV 18th APR 8th JUN KEY DATES KEY DATES Parliament introduces Notification of Withdrawal Bill Parliament approves Notification of Withdrawal Bill 47 44 44 43 45 38 41 36 35 % 34 DISAGREE 35 36 34 34 33 35 35 29 30 29 % 24 25 AGREE 23 22 22 23 % 21 DON T KNOW NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I think the Prime Minister will get the right deal for Britain in the Brexit negotiations (n=2,000 per month online)
We will be economically better off Supreme Court rules that Brexit requires Act of Parliament Nicola Sturgeon announces plan for second referendum Donald Trump wins US Presidential Election General election announced Theresa May loses overall majority Article 50 Triggered 13th MAR 24TH JAN 31st JAN 29th MAR 9TH NOV 18th APR 8th JUN KEY DATES KEY DATES Parliament introduces Notification of Withdrawal Bill Parliament approves Notification of Withdrawal Bill 50 46 44 43 % 42 45 39 38 43 37 DISAGREE 41 37 36 37 35 33 34 29 % AGREE 22 22 21 23 19 22 21 % 20 20 DON T KNOW NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Britain will be economically better off post Brexit (n=2,000 per month online)
We will have more control over immigration Supreme Court rules that Brexit requires Act of Parliament Nicola Sturgeon announces plan for second referendum Donald Trump wins US Presidential Election General election announced Theresa May loses overall majority Article 50 Triggered 13th MAR 24TH JAN 31st JAN 29th MAR 9TH NOV 18th APR 8th JUN KEY DATES KEY DATES Parliament introduces Notification of Withdrawal Bill Parliament approves Notification of Withdrawal Bill 70 68 65 59 59 59 64 % 61 58 DISAGREE % AGREE 25 23 23 20 25 % 18 23 16 22 DON T KNOW 20 15 17 18 18 13 16 13 12 NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Britain will have more control over immigration post Brexit (n=2,000 per month online)
Controlling Immigration more important that Access to Free Trade? Supreme Court rules that Brexit requires Act of Parliament Nicola Sturgeon announces plan for second referendum Donald Trump wins US Presidential Election General election announced Theresa May loses overall majority Article 50 Triggered 13th MAR 24TH JAN 31st JAN 29th MAR 9TH NOV 18th APR 8th JUN KEY DATES Parliament introduces Notification of Withdrawal Bill Parliament approves Notification of Withdrawal Bill 49 48 46 47 % 44 43 DISAGREE 43 42 43 45 40 41 42 41 39 40 39 36 % AGREE % DON T KNOW 15 15 15 15 16 16 15 15 12 NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Having greater control over immigration is more important than having access to free trade with the EU. (n=2,000 per month online)
