Brexit Confidence Monthly Tracker April 2018
The Brexit Confidence Monthly Tracker for April 2018 provides insights into public opinion regarding the Brexit negotiations in the UK. The methodology involves polling 2,000 adults monthly to gauge approval or disapproval of the government's handling of negotiations, confidence in the Prime Minister securing the right deal, and sentiments on post-Brexit outcomes such as economic prosperity and control over immigration. The tracker also highlights key approval ratings and dates related to the Brexit process. Detailed graphs and statistics reveal changing trends in public sentiment over time.
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BREXIT Confidence Monthly Tracker April 2018
Methodology On the first weekend of each month ORB International polls a nationally representative sample of n=2,000 adults aged 18+ throughout England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. The core tracking questions are :- Q Q Do you approve or disapprove of the way in which the Government is handling the Brexit negotiations? How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - I think the Prime Minister will get the right deal for Britain in the Brexit negotiation - Britain will be economically better off post Brexit - Britain will have more control over immigration post Brexit - Having greater control over immigration is more important that having access to free trade with the EU / Having access to free trade is more important than having greater control over immigration* * 50% of the sample were shown the first statement : 50% of the sample were shown the second statement The statistical margin of error at the 95% confidence level is +2.2%
Approval of BREXIT Negotiations 31st JAN 19th JUN 29th MAR 8th JUN 8th DEC 29th NOV KEY DATES 50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Brexit May Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill Article 50 Triggered negotiations officially begin loses overall majority 63 63 66 62 65 64 64 64 63 61 60 60 % 53 55 51 56 55 DISAPPROVE 54 46 45 49 44 45 47 37 40 40 39 37 36 36 36 35 % 34 38 37 APPROVE NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd AUG 2nd- 3rd SEPT 1st- 3rd SEPT 30th - OCT 1st NOV 3rd - 5th DEC 1st- 3rd JAN 5th- 7th FEB 2nd- 4th MAR 2nd-4th APR 6th- 8th Do you approve or disapprove of the way in which the Government is handling the Brexit negotiations? (n=2,000 per month online)
Confident PM will get the right deal 31st JAN 19th JUN 29th MAR 8th JUN 8th DEC 29th NOV KEY DATES 50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Brexit May Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill Article 50 Triggered negotiations officially begin loses overall majority 50 50 49 48 47 46 46 45 47 44 44 44 43 38 45 % 41 36 DISAGREE 35 37 34 35 35 3635 34 34 33 35 32 32 29 3126 31 31 % 29 AGREE 30 2529 24 % 23 23 2127 22 22 22 DON T KNOW 21 21 23 20 19 21 18 NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd AUG 2nd- 3rd SEPT 1st- 3rd SEPT 30th - OCT 1st NOV 3rd - 5th DEC 1st- 3rd JAN th- 7th Feb 2nd- 4th MAR 2nd- 4th APR 6th- 8th How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I think the Prime Minister will get the right deal for Britain in the Brexit negotiations (n=2,000 per month online)
We will be economically better off 31st JAN 19th JUN 29th MAR 8th JUN 8th DEC 29th NOV KEY DATES 50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Brexit May Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill Article 50 Triggered negotiations officially begin loses overall majority 50 46 44 43 42 46 45 45 % 39 38 41 39 43 43 43 42 42 41 37 37 41 40 40 37 40 AGREE 37 42 37 37 36 35 37 35 33 34 29 23 23 % 22 22 21 21 23 20 19 19 DISAGREE 22 18 21 17 20 16 20 15 % DON T KNOW NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd AUG 2nd-3rd SEPT 1st- 3rd SEPT 30th - OCT 1st NOV 3rd - 5th DEC 1st- 3rd JAN 5th- 7th Feb 2nd- 4th MAR 2nd-4th APR 6th- 8th How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Britain will be economically better off post Brexit (n=2,000 per month online)
We will have more control over immigration 31st JAN 19th JUN 29th MAR 8th JUN 8th DEC 29th NOV KEY DATES 50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Brexit May Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill Article 50 Triggered negotiations officially begin loses overall majority 70 68 67 59 65 65 65 64 65 59 59 64 64 63 63 61 58 58 % AGREE 2523 23 20 25 25 17 25 18 % 24 23 16 22 13 22 14 21 15 20 21 15 14 20 15 20 15 DISAGREE 19 14 17 13 % 1618 18 12 13 DON T KNOW 12 How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Britain will have more control over immigration post Brexit (n=2,000 per month online)
Controlling Immigration more important than Access to Free Trade? 31st JAN 19th JUN 29th MAR 8th JUN 8th DEC 29th NOV KEY DATES 50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Brexit May Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill Article 50 Triggered negotiations officially begin loses overall majority % 49 48 46 47 DISAGREE 44 43 47 43 42 43 46 46 46 41 45 40 45 44 41 44 44 44 42 41 41 39 38 38 42 41 39 40 39 36 % AGREE 17 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 13 % 16 15 15 16 9 DON T KNOW 12 NOV 4th - 6th DEC 2nd - 4th JAN 6th - 8th FEB 3rd - 5th MAR 3rd - 5th APR 7th - 9th MAY 5th - 7th JUN 2nd - 4th JUN 30th - JULY 2nd AUG 2nd- 3rd SEPT 1st- 3rd Nov 3rd - 5th DEC 1st- 3rd JAN 5th- 7th Feb 2nd- 4th MAR 2nd- 4th APR 6th- 8th How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Having greater control over immigration is more important than having access to free trade with the EU/Having access to free trade with the EU is more important than having greater control over immigration. (ROTATED STATEMENT n=2,000 per month online)
