Challenges and Opportunities in Risk Modelling & Impact Forecasting Tools
The challenges and opportunities in risk modelling and impact forecasting tools are highlighted, focusing on the impacts of Tropical Cyclone Winston in Fiji. The need for improved data-sharing procedures and protocols, partnerships, and a centralized database are identified to enhance risk information production and capacity building. Ways to progress as a community in addressing these challenges are discussed based on post-disaster assessments and estimated values of damages and losses.
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Risk Modelling & Impact Forecasting Tools Challenges and Opportunities
TC Winston In Numbers AFFECTED 540,000 60 days 44 deaths 60,000 people displaced Declaration State of Emergency Landslides 5 Wind Coastal innundation River flooding Coastal erosion 1.99 billion F$ Damage and Losses Hazard Impacts
Distribution of TC Winston Impacts Post Disaster Needs Assessment May 2016 Estimated value of disaster effects from TC Winston in Fiji is F$1.99 billion (US$0.9 billion): F$1.29 billion (US$0.6 billion) in damage F$0.71 billion (US$0.3 billion) in losses
TC Winston In Numbers Reducing impacts AFFECTED 540,000 60 days 44 deaths 60,000 people displaced Declaration State of Emergency Landslides 5 Early Warning Systems Land Use Planning Building & Infrastructure design Planning Wind Storm Surge Flooding Coastal erosion 1.99 billion F$ Damage and Losses Hazard Impacts Knowing who needs to do what where and when
Challenges & Opportunities Lack of a centralised database (/catalogue) knowing what exists Limited information sharing between agencies Partnerships designed to both produce risk information and build capacity Improvement of data-sharing procedures and protocols How can we, as a community, progress this?
