Seasonal Update and Forecast: Weather Trends and Recommendations for September 2020

 
Seasonal Update
 
FSLC Meeting | 16 September 2020
 
With funding from the European Union
 
Seasonal progress (rainfall)
 
March 2020
 
April 2020
 
May 2020
 
June 2020
 
July 2020
 
August 2020
 
June, July and
August were the
wettest months
across the country.
 
Southeastern part
of the country that
is the intersection
between S. Sudan,
Ethiopia, Kenya
and Uganda was
out of season
during the same
period.
 
Seasonal progress (rainfall anomaly)
 
March 2020
 
April 2020
 
May 2020
 
June 2020
 
July 2020
 
August 2020
 
Mixed spatial
distribution of
above-average
rainfall across the
country.
 
The result was/is
flooding across the
country that
occurred during
different months.
 
GHACOF 56 (October – December 2020)
 
During October to
December this
year, rainfall will
seasonally subside
across the country,
resulting in drier
conditions.
 
Temperatures are
expected to be
normal to above
normal across the
country i.e.
between 20-32 ⁰C.
 
Forecast (15-22 September 2020)
 
Most of the rainfall will be experienced in the western parts of the country. The rainfall amount will be normal.
Temperatures between 24-28 ⁰C are forecasted for most of the country.
 
Key risks and recommendations
 
Most of the areas affected by flooding earlier in the season continue
to be flooded
, with people still displaced and at risk of contracting
water-borne diseases. Furthermore, their agricultural livelihoods have
been affected/disrupted, infrastructure destroyed, and market
functionality affected. 
Humanitarian agencies should continue their
support to these populations.
Livestock migration to the Equatorias 
– between 19
th
 August and 6
th
September alone, an estimated 20,000 animals from Bor South and
Twic East were offloaded at Juba. 
FAO to work closely with the
Ministry of Livestock and Fisheries (MLF) and other stakeholders to
provide animal health services and mitigate any potential resource
conflicts between herders and farmers.
 
In the pipeline …
 
FAO’s flood impact analysis 
– this will be a series of State-level
reports that will highlight the impact of the floods on agriculture and
livestock. 
First report on Jonglei will be out by the end of this week,
and other State reports will follow thereafter.
Ongoing FSNMS survey 
will provide insights into the various climatic /
weather shocks that households experienced across the country. 
Data
collection is likely to be concluded towards the end of this month.
 
Thank you
 
Questions, comments, thoughts … all are welcome.
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Seasonal update highlights wettest months with flooding, GHACOF forecast for drier conditions, and current rainfall patterns. Key risks include continued flooding effects with recommendations for humanitarian support and livestock health services. FAO's flood impact analysis and FSNMS survey to provide valuable insights into climatic shocks.


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  1. Seasonal Update FSLC Meeting | 16 September 2020 With funding from the European Union

  2. Seasonal progress (rainfall) June, July and August were the wettest months across the country. Southeastern part of the country that is the intersection between S. Sudan, Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda was out of season during the same period. May 2020 March 2020 April 2020 August 2020 June 2020 July 2020

  3. Seasonal progress (rainfall anomaly) Mixed spatial distribution of above-average rainfall across the country. The result was/is flooding across the country that occurred during different months. May 2020 March 2020 April 2020 August 2020 June 2020 July 2020

  4. GHACOF 56 (October December 2020) During October to December this year, rainfall will seasonally subside across the country, resulting in drier conditions. Temperatures are expected to be normal to above normal across the country i.e. between 20-32 C.

  5. Forecast (15-22 September 2020) Most of the rainfall will be experienced in the western parts of the country. The rainfall amount will be normal. Temperatures between 24-28 C are forecasted for most of the country.

  6. Key risks and recommendations Most of the areas affected by flooding earlier in the season continue to be flooded, with people still displaced and at risk of contracting water-borne diseases. Furthermore, their agricultural livelihoods have been affected/disrupted, infrastructure destroyed, and market functionality affected. Humanitarian agencies should continue their support to these populations. Livestock migration to the Equatorias between 19th August and 6th September alone, an estimated 20,000 animals from Bor South and Twic East were offloaded at Juba. FAO to work closely with the Ministry of Livestock and Fisheries (MLF) and other stakeholders to provide animal health services and mitigate any potential resource conflicts between herders and farmers.

  7. In the pipeline FAO s flood impact analysis this will be a series of State-level reports that will highlight the impact of the floods on agriculture and livestock. First report on Jonglei will be out by the end of this week, and other State reports will follow thereafter. Ongoing FSNMS survey will provide insights into the various climatic / weather shocks that households experienced across the country. Data collection is likely to be concluded towards the end of this month.

  8. Thank you Questions, comments, thoughts all are welcome.

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