Weather Forecast Updates for Madagascar
The weather forecast for Madagascar includes information on tropical low pressure systems, expected rainfall amounts, and updates on weather conditions for specific regions. Scenario 1 predicts high rainfall levels exceeding 100mm in the next 24 hours, while Scenario 2 discusses the weakening of a tropical low pressure system and revised rainfall predictions. Additional details about specific areas and events affected by the weather are also provided.
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Presentation Transcript
Scenario 1: Forecast for Day 3 24 hour rainfall (mm) >100 80-100 60-80 40-60 20-40 Forecast issued: Monday 20 February Forecast valid: Wednesday 23 February
Scenario 1 Scenario 1 - - Additional information: Additional information: There is a weak tropical low pressure that is expected to be situated just off the north-east coast of Madagascar on Wednesday It does not seem to be very strong at this stage, possibly only reaching tropical depression stage No forecast has been sent by RSMC La Reunion as yet, however NWP models are showing a large area of 60-80mm over the north-eastern parts of Madagascar in the next 24 hours, reaching 100mm in places.
Scenario 2: Forecast for Day 1 (Today) 24 hour rainfall (mm) >100 80-100 60-80 40-60 20-40 Forecast issued: Wednesday 23 February Forecast valid: Wednesday 23 February
Scenario 2 Scenario 2 - - Additional information: Additional information: Tropical low pressure has weakened from what was expected and has moved position from what was originally expected RSMC La Reunion sent a bulletin out yesterday and updated it today, classifying the low pressure as a tropical disturbance for today. Models are in agreement with rainfall amounts of approx. 80-100mm in 24 hours The Unified Model (12km) shows 6 hourly rainfall amounts of >50mm between 12-18Z over the extreme north-eastern parts of Madagascar today while Aladin shows 30-40mm during the same period. The Department of Tourism has just contacted the weather office and said that there is a race that is scheduled to take place this evening at 18Z at Antsiranana (Diego Suarez) where 1000 international spectators are expected to watch the event
