Data-Driven Strategy to Address Gun Crime: From CitiStat to GunStat
A transition from CitiStat to GunStat, a data-driven strategy aimed at reducing gun-related crime. GunStat focuses on core strategies and benchmarks to decrease violent gun incidents, involving collaboration with law enforcement, prosecution, and various government agencies.
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From CitiStat to GunStat A Data-Driven Strategy to Address Gun Crime Tammy Brown, Senior Policy Advisor, BJA John Skinner, Site Liaison and Subject Matter Expert, BJA September 6, 2018
What is CitiStat? CitiStat is a leadership strategy to mobilize city agencies to produce specific results. Based on a series of monthly meetings with the mayor s leadership team and collaborative agencies. Meetings use data to analyze past performance, set new performance objectives, and examine overall performance strategies. 1
CitiStats Start in Baltimore Modeled after a similar program in New York City, the Baltimore City Police Department initiated weekly ComStat meetings to improve crime-fighting efficiency. CitiStat represents the extended application of the same basic principles to the management of all municipal functions. First meeting held on June 29, 2000. 2
CitiStat Evolves GunStat Stat meeting based on shared goal targeted enforcement and prosecution of felony gun crimes. Shared purpose, not same boss. Law Enforcement (local, state and federal), Prosecution (local and federal), and a variety of state agencies. Tear down barriers and identify opportunities for collaboration. Collaborative meetings require greater effort to coordinate the agenda. Relentless follow-up is essential to move agenda forward. 3
GunStat The purpose of GunStat is to measure core strategies/benchmarks that lead to an overall reduction of violent gun related crime. Specific emphasis is placed on targeted defendants and gun related cases. Prioritized by law enforcement, prosecution and community supervision agencies in order to bring solid cases to trial and keep gun offenders off the street. 4
Overview Meeting Follow-Up with Next Meeting Priorities Memorandum Data & Information Gathering 5
Partners Community Supervision Agencies Department of Juvenile Services Parole and Probation Department of Pretrial Services Government Mayor s Office Governor s Office Law Enforcement City Police Department County Police State Police ATF Other Local Universities City Health Department City Solicitor s Office Prosecution District Attorney s Office U.S. Attorney s Office 6
GunStat: Setting the Stage Screen Screen Presenter Podium Pre Trial Services Juvenile Justice Local Parole and Probation Prosecutor Gov s Criminal Justice Advisor Police Chief US Mayor s Office Attorney ATF, State Police, Local Gun Units City Solicitor Research Team Crime Lab, CID GunStat Operations Team 7
Understanding the Process Law Enforcement Data Gun Arrests Clearance Rates Federal Taskforce Data Open Warrants for Gun Crime Post Conviction Data Monitoring of Targeted Offenders Probation / Parole Data Prosecution Data Pretrial Status Bail Reviews Federal Indictments Court Dispositions 8
Benchmarks Trends in Gun Crime Analysis of Gun Arrests Analysis of Guns Seized Clearance Rates Analysis of Open Warrants for Gun Related Crime Pretrial Confinement Status Analysis of Bail Federal Indictments Analysis of Convictions for Gun Crime Analysis of Sentences 9
Gun Crime Homicides and Shootings 2000 - 2011 Sum of H Daily Sum of S Daily Total 1200 986 945 933 933 914 1000 863 826 820 815 800 688 643 578 725 651 657 600 686 636 610 557 545 586 450 420 400 380 200 282 278 276 270 269 261 259 253 238 234 223 198 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 13
Results: More Pretrial Confinement The chance of being found guilty is 13% to 35% higher when then accused remains confined while awaiting trial. Helps disrupt patterns of violence. Chance of Guilty Verdict* by Bail Status and Crime Gun Crime Released Guilty** 35% 29% 27% 46% 35% Held Guilty*** 70% 59% 53% 59% 58% Difference 35% 30% 26% 13% 23% CDS: Distribution, etc. With a Firearm CDS-Possession of Firearms Firearm/Drug Traffic Crime Firearm-Possession with a Felony Conviction HGV Use in a Felony Violent Crime *State guilty verdicts or federal indictments **Released because made bail or released by judge on recognizance ***Held because didn't make bail or held without bail by judge 18
Post Conviction Monitoring Unprecedented data sharing Actionable data. Mandatory releasees Under 25 Out for less than six months With 2 or more federally significant convictions 23
Targeted enforcement. Prioritization of violent offenders. Dramatic reduction in arrests corresponds to drop in violent crime. Dramatic reduction in arrestees being released without charges from SAO. 24
Recommendations: Starting the Process Identify a Coordinator to Manage the Process Initiate a Collaborative Monthly Meeting Start by Examining Current Gun Arrests Identify Core Data for Analysis Establish Realistic Goals: Find Early Wins 25
Examples of Easy Wins Co-location of Parole and Probation Agent and Department of Juvenile Services worker in the BPD Watch Home checks to verify addresses registered in GORA; sheriffs Police and PP joint home visits Case reviews of cases NP by the prosecution File color coded to identify and track gun cases for determination of federal or state prosecution with documentation Tracking of calls for service on any gun related matter Tracking of Gun Lab data and turnaround times Postponements and cause 26
Webinar Speakers: Tammy Brown, BJA, tammy.m.brown@usdoj.gov John Skinner, BJA, john.skinner101@gmail.com National Resource and Technical Assistance Center for Improving Law Enforcement Investigations (NRTAC) Project Websites: centerforimprovinginvestigations.org crimegunintelcenters.org 27
