Analysis of UK Referendum Survey Results
Lord Ashcroft Polling organization conducted a survey after the June 23 referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union. The results of the survey reveal the voting preferences of different categories of respondents based on age, gender, education level, social groups, and self-identified demographics. The task involves determining whether each category predominantly voted to Remain or Leave the EU, along with estimating the percentage of voters in each category who supported the majority decision.
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THE RESULTS Immediately after the casting of their decision in the June 23 referendum on the UK s membership of the European Union, the Lord Ashcroft Polling organisation surveyed 12,369 people. The results of this survey are about to be shown to you. Your task is to decide whether you think that each category stated had a majority of people who voted to Remain or to Leave the EU. In each case, you must also estimate what proportion of each category voted for the decision that you have stated as the majority preference. You will be awarded 1 point if you state the correct decision (either R or L ) and another point if you estimate to within + or 5% of the majority percentage (but gain no extra points if you guessed the majority preference incorrectly!).
THE RESULTS Category Those aged 18-24 years Those aged 35-44 years Those aged 55-64 years Men People with mortgages People with university degrees Those belonging to Social Group AB Those belonging to Social Group C2DE Those describing themselves as Asian R or L? %age Category Those describing themselves as Black Those describing themselves as Christian R or L? %age Those describing themselves as Conservative Voters Those describing themselves as Labour Voters Those describing themselves as More English than British Those describing themselves as Musliim Those describing themselves as White Those still in full time education Women Decide whether you think that each category stated had a majority of people who voted to Remain or to Leave the EU. In each case, you must also estimate what proportion of each category voted for the decision that you have stated as the majority preference. Note: Social Group AB includes managerial and professional occupations, Group C2DE includes skilled and unskilled manual workers. You will be awarded 1 point if you state the correct decision (either R or L ) and another point if you estimate to within + or 5% of the majority percentage (but gain no extra points if you guessed the majority preference incorrectly!).
THE RESULTS Category Those aged 18-24 years Those aged 35-44 years Those aged 55-64 years Men People with mortgages People with university degrees Those belonging to Social Group AB Those belonging to Social Group C2DE Those describing themselves as Asian Those describing themselves as Asian Category Those aged 18-24 years Those aged 35-44 years Those aged 55-64 years Men People with mortgages People with university degrees Those belonging to Social Group AB Those belonging to Social Group C2DE R or L? %age R R L L R R R L R R or L? %age Category Those describing themselves as Black Those describing themselves as Christian Those describing themselves as Christian Category Those describing themselves as Black R or L? %age R L L R L R L R L R or L? %age 73 52 57 52 54 57 57 64 67 73 57 58 63 66 70 53 81 52 Those describing themselves as Conservative Voters Those describing themselves as Labour Voters Those describing themselves as Labour Voters Those describing themselves as Conservative Voters Those describing themselves as More English than British Those describing themselves as Musliim Those describing themselves as White Those still in full time education Women Women Those describing themselves as More English than British Those describing themselves as Musliim Those describing themselves as White Those still in full time education Press space bar for answers
