Analyzing CBA Results for Network Development Plan

In this document, you will find detailed information on analyzing results related to the Capacity-Based Assessment (CBA) for the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas (ENTSOG). The content covers methodologies, expected impacts, modeling results, disruptions, resilience, and possible exceptions. The emphasis is on understanding the indicators, ranges, and outcomes of the analysis. Explore the provided links for a deeper dive into the CBA and TYNDP 2015.

• Analysis
• CBA Results
• Network Development
• Capacity-Based Assessment
• Resilience

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1. CBA Results Files Analysing the results

2. Getting started We highly encourage you to > Read the CBA Methodology: Annex F on Methodology of TYNDP 2015 http://www.entsog.eu/public/uploads/files/publications/TYNDP/2015/TYNDP022- 150316_Annex_F_lowres.pdf And ESW-CBA Methodology http://www.entsog.eu/public/uploads/files/publications/CBA/2015/INV0175- 150213_Adapted_ESW-CBA_Methodology.pdf > Read the TYNDP 2015 http://www.entsog.eu/publications/tyndp#ENTSOG-TEN-YEAR-NETWORK- DEVELOPMENT-PLAN-2015 2

3. Usually expected impact Capacity-based results Result File Indicator range in Initial/Final Situation Group usually expected impact Possible exceptions * (*) non exhaustive Group increasing a country s largest infrastructure capacity IMPORT ROUTE DIV [0 10 000] The lower, the better the diversification is Decrease N-1_ESW-CBA [0% - no limit] The higher, the better the resilience is. Increase 3

4. Usually expected impact Modelling results Result File Indicator range in Initial/Final Situation Group usually expected impact Possible exceptions * (*) non exhaustive DISRUPTED RATE [0% - 100%] The lower, the better Decrease (eg -12%) Group solving disruption REMAINING FLEXIBILITY [0% - 100%] The higher, the better the resilience is Increase (eg +23%) Group solving disruption INDICATOR USSD/CSSD [0% - 100%] The lower, the lower the dependence is Decrease (eg -8%) - increase in a supply price curve Group solving disruption INDICATOR SSPDe [0% - 100%] The lower, the lower the price exposure is Decrease (eg -10%) - Group solving disruption INDICATOR SSPDi [0% - 100%] The higher, the better Increase (eg +7%) 4

5. Usually expected impact Modelling results Result File Indicator range in Initial/Final Situation Group usually expected impact Possible exceptions * (*) non exhaustive The lower, the better - Group allowing gazeification of new countries LNG terminals under LNG expensive, due to minimum send-out set on LNG terminals at 10% of send-out capacity LNG terminals causing increased 2W disruption in some price configurations MONETIZATION (Total EU Bill) Decrease - - 5

6. Thank You for Your Attention ENTSOG -- European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas Avenue de Cortenbergh100, B-1000 Brussels celine.heidrecheid@entsog.eu; adam.balogh@entsog.eu EML: WWW: www.entsog.eu