Guide to 2020 Gubernatorial Elections: Key Insights and Trends
An insightful guide to the 2020 gubernatorial elections highlighting key trends and factors influencing the races. It discusses party flips, incumbent advantages, open seats, and fundraising data, providing a comprehensive overview of the landscape. With a focus on governors' response to the COVID-19 outbreak and how it might impact the elections, the guide offers valuable insights into the political dynamics at play.
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2020 Election Toolbox A guide to the 2020 gubernatorial elections. October 2020 GCSAA Government Affairs
Keys to 2020 gubernatorial races Few possibilities for party flips 1 Currently, Democrats hold 24 governorships while Republicans hold 26 In the 2020 elections, seven GOP seats are up for election while four Democratic seats are up for election However, only two seats are likely to possibly flip parties (NC-Cooper (D) and MT-Open (D)) High visibility during COVID-19 outbreak could favor incumbents 2 State response has been in the spotlight during the COVID-19 outbreak, leading to coverage of governors and more exposure to the public In multiple public polls, governors have a higher approval rating than President Trump on their handling of the coronavirus Governorships do not always align with partisanship for other offices Presidential and Senate elections do not necessarily indicate which party will win the governor seat in a state Although President Trump won Montana by 20 points in 2016, Gov. Steve Bullock (D-MT) won his election although it was a slimmer margin Gov. Larry Hogan (R-MD) (up for reelection in 2022) has won two consecutive gubernatorial elections despite Maryland electing two Democratic senators and Democrats winning the state in presidential elections since 1992 3 S O U R C E The Cook Political Report, 270towin. 12/13/19 2
There are only two open seats up for election in 2020 2020 gubernatorial races by incumbent and status Dem incumbent (3) Dem open (1) GOP incumbent (6) GOP open (1) AK ME VT NH WA ID MT ND MN IL WI MI NY RI MA OR NV WY SD IA IN OH PA NJ CT CA UT CO NE MO KY WV VA MD DE AZ NM KS AR TN NC SC DC OK LA MS AL GA HI TX FL S O U R C E The Cook Political Report 12/13/19 3
Gov. Roy Cooper (D-NC) has raised over $19 million Total receipts in 2020 governor races by state (in millions of dollars) AS OF MOST RECENT FILING PERIOD DE IN MO MT NH NC ND UT VT WA WV $19.3 $7.0 $6.9 $6.7 $4.5 $4.0 $2.7 $2.4 $1.9 $1.5 $1.1 $1.0 $0.7 $1.0 $0.7 $0.5 $0.6 $0.5 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 *Denotes incumbent Displays receipts for front-runners S O U R C E Indiana Election Division, Missouri Ethics Commission, CERS Montana, North Carolina State Board of Elections, North Dakota Secretary of State, Utah Disclosures, Vermont Elections Divisions Campaign Finance, Washington Public Disclosure Commission, West Virginia Secretary of State. A S H L E Y T H I E M E 9/29/20 4
