Insights on Crops for 2023 by Chad Hart - USDA Data Analysis

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Explore comprehensive insights into the crop market for 2023 through data analysis provided by Chad Hart, a Professor and Crop Marketing Specialist. The analysis covers U.S. corn and soybean supply and use, global arable land, world production of corn, soybean, and wheat, export outlook, crop futures, and livestock crush margins. Gain valuable information for agricultural decision-making.


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  1. Thoughts on Crops for 2023 July 15, 2022 Chad Hart Professor/Crop Marketing Specialist chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911

  2. U.S. Corn Supply and Use Source: USDA-WAOB

  3. U.S. Soybean Supply and Use Source: USDA-WAOB

  4. Global Arable Land

  5. World Corn Production Source: USDA-WAOB

  6. World Soybean Production Source: USDA-WAOB

  7. World Wheat Production Source: USDA-WAOB

  8. General Export Outlook Source: USDA-WAOB

  9. Nov.-Dec. Crop Futures Sources: CME, MGEX

  10. Soybean Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS

  11. Corn Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS

  12. U.S. Meat Production & Prices Source: USDA-WAOB

  13. Cattle Crush Margin The Crush Margin is the return after the feeder steer and corn costs. Live weight: 1250 pounds Feeder weight: 750 pounds Corn: 50 bushels per head Source: ISU, Lee Schulz

  14. Hog Crush Margin The Crush Margin is the return after the pig, corn and soybean meal costs. Carcass weight: 200 pounds Pig price: 50% of 5 mth out lean hog futures Corn: 10 bushels per pig Soybean meal: 150 pounds per pig Source: ISU, Lee Schulz

  15. Corn Grind for Ethanol

  16. Sources: S&P Global Platts and EIA

  17. Renewable Diesel Push Source: EIA

  18. Iowa Corn Costs Source: AgDM A1-21

  19. Iowa Soybean Costs Source: AgDM A1-21

  20. Iowa Corn Costs Overall 40% increase 22% 51% 55% 34% Source: AgDM A1-21

  21. Iowa Soybean Costs Overall 48% increase 22% 39% 88% 50% Source: AgDM A1-21

  22. U.S. Fertilizer Import Reliance Source: CARD Staff Report 22SR-117

  23. Corn, Natural Gas, and Urea Prices Source: CARD Staff Report 22SR-117

  24. Current Corn Futures Source: CME Group, 7/12/2022

  25. Current Soybean Futures Source: CME Group, 7/12/2022

  26. Thank you for your time! Any questions? My web site: http://www2.econ.iastate.edu/faculty/hart/ Ag Decision Maker: http://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/

  27. Iowa State University is an equal opportunity provider. For the full non-discrimination statement or accommodation inquiries, go to www.extension.iastate.edu/diversity/ext. Iowa State University ofrece igualdad de oportunidades. Para ver la declaraci n completa de no discriminaci n o para consultas de acomodaci n, siga a este vinculo: www.extension.iastate.edu/diversity/ext.

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