Factors Influencing Four-Year Graduation Rates of Full-Time Freshmen

Inputs from the 2009 CIRP Freshman Survey play a significant role in influencing graduation rates. Factors impacting these rates fall into categories such as High School Academics, Social Experience in High School, Admissions & Financial Aid, and Plans for Campus Engagement. The methodology involved nationally benchmarked surveys with a high response rate, correlating survey responses to graduation outcomes. While high school academics showed a strong connection to graduation rates, it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation due to potential limitations in survey data.

• Graduation Rates
• CIRP Freshman Survey
• Factors
• High School Academics
• Campus Engagement

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1. Four-Year Graduation Rates of Full-Time Freshmen by Responses to the CIRP Freshman Survey (2009) Dr. Braden J. Hosch Asst. Vice President for Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness March 13, 2014 Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

2. OVERVIEW Inputs significantly influence graduation rates Responses to 2009 CIRP Freshman Survey confirm this, with items falling into four broad areas: High School Academics Social Experience in High School Admissions & Financial Aid Plans for Campus Engagement Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

3. METHODOLOGY CIRP Freshman Survey Nationally benchmarked, in field since early 1970s Administered at SBU orientation 88% response rate for freshmen entering in 2009 Linked to graduation outcomes before 9/1/2013 996 (36%) provided IDs 48.0% grad rate of sample, compared to 46.2% overall 2-tailed chi square test for item significance Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

4. CAVEATS Correlation, not causation Graduation rate outcomes are associated with, not caused by survey responses or program participation Limitations of survey data respondents may: Forget Exaggerate Lie Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

5. HIGH SCHOOL ACADEMICS Significant factors included: High school grades Working with other students on class assignments Community service as part of class Drive to achieve AP Exams taken Skipping class/school Taking notes during class Self-confidence (intellectual Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

6. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY High School Grades 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 64.9 42.5 41.0 36.4 20 24.1 0 < B (n=29) B B+ A- A or A+ (n=333) (n=110) (n=193) (n=322) What was your average grade in high school? Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

7. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Number of AP Exams Taken 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 66.7 53.7 48.5 46.9 36.1 20 0 Not offered (n=32) None (n=144) 1-4 5-9 10+ (n=15) (n=518) (n=203) How many AP Exams did you take during high school? Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

8. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Frequency of Skipping School/Class 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 51.5 38.8 36.8 20 0 Frequently (n=19) How often did you skip class/school in the past year? Occasionally (n=245) Not at all (n=712) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

9. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Frequency of Taking Notes in Class 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 52.4 39.5 36.7 20 0 Frequently (n=702) How often did you take notes in class in the past year? Occasionally (n=245) Not at all (n=38) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

10. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Frequency of Working with Other Students 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 51.7 43.4 35.7 20 0 Frequently (n=571) Occasionally (n=389) Not at all (n=28) How often did work with other students on class assignments in the past year? Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

11. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Frequency of Community Service in Class 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 53.2 52.7 41.5 20 0 Frequently (n=141) How often did you perform community service as part of a class in the past year? Occasionally (n=438) Not at all (n=395) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

12. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Self-Rated Drive to Achieve 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 54.9 46.6 42.0 20 0 Average and Below (n=250) Above Average (n=425) Highest 10% (n=317) Rate yourself on your drive to achive compared to the average person your age Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

13. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Self-Rated Self-Confidence (Intellectual) 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 52.6 51.5 41.1 20 0 Average and Below (n=358) Above Average (n=437) Highest 10% (n=194) Rate yourself on intellectual self-confidence compared to the average person your age Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

14. SOCIAL EXPERIENCE IN HIGH SCHOOL Significant factors included: Smoking cigarettes Time spent playing video games Spirituality Drinking alcohol Views on marijuana legalization Parents status (alive, married) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

15. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Frequency of Smoking Cigarettes in Past Year 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 50.1 20 30.0 29.9 0 Not at all (n=886) Occasionally (n=67) Frequently (n=30) Indicate if you smoked cigarettes in the past year Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

16. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Frequency of Drinking Alcohol in Past Year 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years Beer Wine/Liquor 80 60 40 52.3 51.8 45.5 44.8 41.3 40.6 20 0 Not at all (n=657, n=622) Occasionally (n=276, n=317) Frequently (n=44, n=29) Indicate if you drank beer / wine or liquor in the past year Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

17. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY View on Marijuana Legalization 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 52.2 49.7 49.5 33.3 20 0 Disagree Strongly (n=253) Disagree Somewhat (n=301) Agree Somewhat (n=302) Agree Strongly (n=132) Marijuana should be legalized Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

18. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Time Spent Playing Video Games 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 52.5 46.4 44.8 40.3 20 0 < 1 hr (n=457) Hours/week in past year playing video/ computer games 1-2 hrs (n=196) 3-5 hrs (n=165) 6+ hrs (n=149) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

19. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Self-Rated Spirituality 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 57.3 56.6 47.5 40.8 35.0 20 0 Lowest 10% (n=103) Below average (n=147) Average (n=413) Above average (n=218) Highest 10% (n=106) Rate yourself on your spirituality compared to the average person your age Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

20. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Parents Status 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 50.7 41.4 39.4 20 0 One or both deceased (n=29) Both alive, living divorced or apart (n=216) Both alive, living with each other (n=745) Are your parents alive? divorced? Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

21. ADMISSIONS AND FINANCIAL AID Significant factors included: Importance to parents of student attending SBU Financial assistance from SBU Not offered financial aid by first choice Could not afford first choice Admission through early decision Rankings in national magazines Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

22. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Importance to Parents of Student Attending SBU 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 54.6 50.5 41.5 20 0 Not important (n=376) How important was you parents wanting you to attend SBU in your decision to come here? Somewhat important (n=432) Very important (n=185) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

23. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Importance of Offer of Financial Aid from SBU 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 53.1 49.8 41.4 20 0 Not important (n=350) How important was SBU's offer of financial assistance in your decision to come here? Somewhat important (n=315) Very important (n=320) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

24. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Importance of No Aid Offer from 1stChoice 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 56.5 52.4 45.3 20 0 Not important (n=704) How important was not being offered aid from your 1st choice in your decision to come here? Somewhat important (n=166) Very important (n=108) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

25. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Importance of Unaffordability of 1stChoice 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 58.0 52.2 43.7 20 0 Not important (n=630) How important was not being able to afford your 1st choice in your decision to come here? Somewhat important (n=159) Very important (n=188) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

26. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Importance of Early Action/Decision 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 63.8 59.2 43.5 20 0 Not important (n=731) How important was admission through early action/decision in your decision to come here? Somewhat important (n=147) Very important (n=94) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

27. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Importance of Rankings in National Magazines 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 51.6 49.8 40.8 20 0 Not important (n=245) How important was admission through early action/decision in your decision to come here? Somewhat important (n=458) Very important (n=283) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

28. PLANS FOR CAMPUS ENGAGEMENT Significant factors included: Planned living arrangements Goal to participate in community action program Plans to participate in volunteer/community svc. Plans to participate in student groups View on college s right to ban controversial speakers Goal to become an authority in a field Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

29. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Planned Living Arrangements 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 50.9 46.7 41.3 20 26.3 0 College Residence Hall (n=745) Other Campus Housing (n=15) Where do you plan to live during the fall term? Family/ relatives (n=206) Private Home/Apt. (n=19) Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

30. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Goal to Participate in a Community Action Program Pct Graduated in 4 Years 100 80 60 40 57.5 57.1 47.9 41.1 20 0 Not important (n=270) Somewhat important (n=491) Very important (n=182) Essential (n=40) Indicate the importance to you personally in participating in a community action program Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

31. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Anticipated Participation in Volunteer Work 100 Pct Graduated in 4 Years 80 60 40 57.9 48.9 42.9 37.8 20 0 No chance (n=49) Very little chance (n=225) Some chance (n=444) Very good chance (n=266) Best guess as to chances you will participate in volunteer work or community service? Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

32. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Anticipated Participation in Student Clubs Pct Graduated in 4 Years 100 80 60 40 53.3 46.2 39.8 20 7.7 0 No chance (n=13) Very little chance (n=113) Some chance (n=413) Very good chance (n=448) Best guess as to chances you will participate in student clubs/groups? Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

33. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY View on College Right to Ban Controversial Speakers Pct Graduated in 4 Years 100 80 60 40 54.7 51.6 49.9 40.3 20 0 Disagree strongly (n=248) Disagree somewhat (n=399) Agree somewhat (n=281) Agree strongly (n=53) View that colleges have the right to ban extreme speakers from campus Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

34. FOUR-YEAR GRADUATION RATES BY Importance of Becoming Authority in a Field Pct Graduated in 4 Years 100 80 60 40 53.8 49.7 46.9 34.1 20 0 Not important (n=82) Somewhat important (n=368) Very somewhat (n=375) Essential (n=160) View that colleges have the right to ban extreme speakers from campus Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey

35. DISCUSSION Acknowledging caveats, results can be useful in planning Sharing results with students / parents in programming venues may prompt discussion Results may yield more value over time with consistent survey administration Office of Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness Source: CIRP Freshman Survey