EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Weather Forecast Details

E
U
R
E
C
4
A
 
F
o
r
e
c
a
s
t
C
a
r
i
b
b
e
a
n
 
M
e
t
e
o
r
o
l
o
g
i
c
a
l
 
O
r
g
a
n
i
z
a
t
i
o
n
 
(
C
M
O
)
a
n
d
 
P
a
r
t
n
e
r
s
D
a
t
e
:
 
D
 
=
 
1
2
/
0
2
/
2
0
2
0
 
Wed 12 February 2020
Gregory Cato. 
Cecile, Oscar, Sheryl
 
0
6
 
Z
 
S
u
r
f
a
c
e
 
A
n
a
l
y
s
i
s
 
 
S
y
n
o
p
t
i
c
 
a
n
a
l
y
s
i
s
 
c
h
a
r
t
,
 
 
0
0
Z
 
1
3
T
H
 
F
e
b
r
u
a
r
y
 
S
o
u
n
d
i
n
g
 
a
n
d
 
M
e
t
a
r
s
 
M
E
T
 
8
 
Relatively Moist lower levels. Dry Mid. Expect
Occasional Turb.
SITE LLEWM present: winds 20 knots or more
below and above 5000ft
 
T
P
W
 
&
 
D
U
S
T
 
H
A
Z
E
 
C
O
N
C
E
N
T
R
A
T
I
O
N
 
Moisture in patches over Eastern Caribbean(Central Windwards/South). Varying intensities of Dust haze. Improvement likely soon.
 
8
5
0
 
m
b
 
w
i
n
d
s
 
a
n
d
 
R
H
 
12z 12
th
     12z 13th
 
12Z 12
th
   12z 13th
 
5
0
0
 
&
 
2
5
0
 
m
b
 
w
i
n
d
s
 
12z 12
th
 
   
12z 13th
 
12Z 12
th
 
 12z 13th
 
Troughs become more
organised over the
next24 hours
 
500mb low over
Northern Windwards
 
Upper level trough
amplifies
 
S
e
a
s
 
C
o
n
d
i
t
i
o
n
s
 
 
MeteoFrance
 
Wednesday 2pm or Wed 18utc
 
Moderate to rough.
Swell: 2.0m to 3.0m (7ft to 9 ft)
D Winds: ENE at 30-40kph or (15-25mph)
D+1 Winds: ENE – E 30-45kph or (19-28mph)
 
D Hightides: 6:17 am & 6:26pm LST
D+1 Hightides: 6:59 am & 7:19pm LST
 
A small craft advisory is in effect for above normal sea swells.
Small craft operators and sea bathers should exercise caution
 
O
U
T
L
O
O
K
 
D
+
2
:
 
M
I
D
/
U
P
P
E
R
 
L
E
V
E
L
 
C
H
A
N
G
E
S
 
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MID LEVEL
MOISTURE FORECASTED FOR
FRIDAY/SATURDAY
 
UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL PROVIDE
SOME DIFFLUENCE
 
FRIDAY/SATURDAYFORECAST:
WE MAY SEE A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITH RESULTANT
CLOUDY CONDITIONS AND SOME HEAVIER
SHOWERS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
 
 
EUREC4A Forecast Testbed Dry Run
 
 
S
u
m
m
a
r
y
 
Ridging at surface for D and D+1
Breezy conditions to persist as tight pressure gradient remains
Dust haze with gradual improvement likely over the next 24 hrs
Moist Lower atmosphere, although likely to increase in 24 hrs.
Mid-UL Trough axis oriented NE/SW through eastern Caribbean providing 
marginal
favourable conditions aloft for convective development.
Today’s forecast: Partly cloudy to occasionally cloudy at times, 
slightly
 hazy and breezy
with some scattered showers. Mixture of Sugar, gravel and flower type patterns are
likely to be present.
Tomorrow’s forecast: Possible haze reduction. Although dry in mid levels, possible
increase in cloudiness and or shower activity due to U/L dynamics.
OUTLOOK D+2: Possible heavier showers as mid and upper levels become more
favourable
Slide Note
Embed
Share

Detailed weather forecast information for the Caribbean region provided by the EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative. The forecast covers various parameters including surface analysis, synoptic charts, moisture content, wind speeds at different levels, sea conditions, and more. Updates on winds, humidity, dust haze concentrations, and atmospheric conditions are included, along with advisories for small craft operators and sea bathers regarding sea swells and wind speeds.

  • Weather forecast
  • EUREC4A
  • UK CMO
  • Caribbean
  • Meteorological Organization

Uploaded on Sep 17, 2024 | 0 Views


Download Presentation

Please find below an Image/Link to download the presentation.

The content on the website is provided AS IS for your information and personal use only. It may not be sold, licensed, or shared on other websites without obtaining consent from the author. Download presentation by click this link. If you encounter any issues during the download, it is possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed EUREC4A Forecast EUREC4A Forecast Caribbean Meteorological Organization (CMO) Caribbean Meteorological Organization (CMO) and Partners and Partners Date: D Date: D = 12/02/2020 = 12/02/2020 Wed 12 February 2020 Gregory Cato. Cecile, Oscar, Sheryl

  2. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed 06 Z Surface Analysis 06 Z Surface Analysis

  3. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed Synoptic analysis chart, 00Z 13 Synoptic analysis chart, 00Z 13TH THFebruary February

  4. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed Sounding and Sounding and Metars Metars MET 8 MET 8 Relatively Moist lower levels. Dry Mid. Expect Occasional Turb. SITE LLEWM present: winds 20 knots or more below and above 5000ft

  5. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed TPW & DUST HAZE CONCENTRATION TPW & DUST HAZE CONCENTRATION Moisture in patches over Eastern Caribbean(Central Windwards/South). Varying intensities of Dust haze. Improvement likely soon.

  6. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed 850 mb winds and RH 850 mb winds and RH 12z 12th 12z 13th 12Z 12th 12z 13th

  7. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed 500 & 250 mb winds 500 & 250 mb winds 12Z 12th 12z 12th 12z 13th 12z 13th Troughs become more organised over the next24 hours 500mb low over Northern Windwards Upper level trough amplifies

  8. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed Seas Conditions Seas Conditions MeteoFrance Wednesday 2pm or Wed 18utc A small craft advisory is in effect for above normal sea swells. Small craft operators and sea bathers should exercise caution Moderate to rough. Swell: 2.0m to 3.0m (7ft to 9 ft) D Winds: ENE at 30-40kph or (15-25mph) D+1 Winds: ENE E 30-45kph or (19-28mph) D Hightides: 6:17 am & 6:26pm LST D+1 Hightides: 6:59 am & 7:19pm LST

  9. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed OUTLOOK D+2: MID/UPPER LEVEL CHANGES OUTLOOK D+2: MID/UPPER LEVEL CHANGES SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MID LEVEL MOISTURE FORECASTED FOR FRIDAY/SATURDAY UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL PROVIDE SOME DIFFLUENCE FRIDAY/SATURDAYFORECAST: WE MAY SEE A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITH RESULTANT CLOUDY CONDITIONS AND SOME HEAVIER SHOWERS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY EUREC4A Forecast Testbed Dry Run

  10. EUREC4A UK CMO Forecasting Initiative: Forecast Testbed Summary Summary Ridging at surface for D and D+1 Breezy conditions to persist as tight pressure gradient remains Dust haze with gradual improvement likely over the next 24 hrs Moist Lower atmosphere, although likely to increase in 24 hrs. Mid-UL Trough axis oriented NE/SW through eastern Caribbean providing marginal favourable conditions aloft for convective development. Today s forecast: Partly cloudy to occasionally cloudy at times, slightly hazy and breezy with some scattered showers. Mixture of Sugar, gravel and flower type patterns are likely to be present. Tomorrow s forecast: Possible haze reduction. Although dry in mid levels, possible increase in cloudiness and or shower activity due to U/L dynamics. OUTLOOK D+2: Possible heavier showers as mid and upper levels become more favourable

Related


More Related Content

giItT1WQy@!-/#giItT1WQy@!-/#giItT1WQy@!-/#giItT1WQy@!-/#giItT1WQy@!-/#