Decision-Making in Thermal Soaring
Bounded Rationality and Risk
Strategy in Thermal Soaring
Daniel Sazhin, John Bird and Jack W. Langelaan
Agenda
What is a glider?
Why is soaring interesting from a decision-
making perspective?
How does risk work in the sport?
How can we manage it (as humans!)
How do these findings relate to cognitive
psychology?
What Is a Glider?
What is Soaring?
Thermal Soaring
Cross-Country Soaring
Glider Competitions
Risk Management vs. Efficiency
Landouts!
Landouts!
Soaring as a Decision-Making
Game
Risk Management
Assessing Risk in the Cockpit
Decision Frames
Decision Frames
Monte Carlo Simulations
Reliable Conditions
Unreliable Conditions
Risk Management
Bounded Optimality
Solving a complex problem using cognitive
psychology.
Normative model using empirical insights.
Bifurcating maximizing reward and minimizing
risk via heuristics.
Decision-making frames in prioritizing
gains/losses.
Ordering of lines using frames, maximizing
expected value of result.
Thanks for Listening!
Explore the intersection of bounded rationality, risk strategy, and cognitive psychology in thermal soaring, analyzing how glider pilots manage risk and make decisions during flights. From glider basics to risk management techniques, uncover the cognitive processes behind successful soaring expeditions.
Uploaded on Oct 06, 2024 | 0 Views
Download Presentation
Please find below an Image/Link to download the presentation.
The content on the website is provided AS IS for your information and personal use only. It may not be sold, licensed, or shared on other websites without obtaining consent from the author. Download presentation by click this link. If you encounter any issues during the download, it is possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.
E N D
Presentation Transcript
Bounded Rationality and Risk Strategy in Thermal Soaring Daniel Sazhin, John Bird and Jack W. Langelaan
Agenda What is a glider? Why is soaring interesting from a decision- making perspective? How does risk work in the sport? How can we manage it (as humans!) How do these findings relate to cognitive psychology?
Bounded Optimality Solving a complex problem using cognitive psychology. Normative model using empirical insights. Bifurcating maximizing reward and minimizing risk via heuristics. Decision-making frames in prioritizing gains/losses. Ordering of lines using frames, maximizing expected value of result.
