Comparison of Energy Forecasts: SUFG vs. Module E 2016-2025

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Energy Center State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) provides state-level load forecasts using zonal factors, while Module E aggregates owner-level loads. SUFG historical peak demand data and gross/net load forecasts are compared against Module E for LRZ levels. Detailed charts and images showcase the trends and analysis for 2010-2025.

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  1. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) Forecast Comparison 2016-2025 SUFG vs. Module E

  2. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) Result Comparison Chart SUFG Allocates state-level forecasts to LRZ levels; Uses zonal non-coincident factors and coincidence factors to estimate zonal peak loads and system- wide peak load; Net load: with EE/DR/DG adjustment; Gross load: without EE/DR/DG adjustment. MISO Module E Aggregates asset owner level loads to LRZ levels; Applies intra-zonal/MISO- wide coincidence factors to convert asset owner level peak loads to zonal peaks and system-wide peak load; Does not include DR/DG adjustment, include EE adjustment.

  3. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) Historical Summer Non-coincident Peak Demand (Metered Load in MW) LRZ 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1 15,992 17,601 17,996 17,909 17,018 2 12,392 13,164 13,228 12,639 11,730 3 8,534 8,991 9,188 8,880 8,283 4 9,863 10,277 10,409 9,523 9,563 5 9,084 9,129 9,171 8,428 8,487 6 16,391 18,324 18,302 17,629 17,170 7 20,633 22,232 22,655 21,598 19,293 8 7,323 8,002 7,488 7,033 7,058 9 18,777 19,218 19,223 19,517 19,173 10 4,633 4,919 4,847 4,648 4,297 MISO 118,833 127,556 126,590 122,445 114,709

  4. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 1 23,917 21,917 MW 19,917 17,917 15,917 13,917 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 1 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  5. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 2 16,728 15,428 MW 14,128 12,828 11,528 10,228 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 2 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  6. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 3 12,565 11,665 10,765 MW 9,865 8,965 8,065 7,165 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 3 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  7. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 4 12,488 11,788 11,088 MW 10,388 9,688 8,988 8,288 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 4 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  8. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 5 11,756 11,056 10,356 MW 9,656 8,956 8,256 7,556 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 5 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  9. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 6 23,008 21,308 MW 19,608 17,908 16,208 14,508 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 6 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  10. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 7 26,188 24,288 MW 22,388 20,488 18,588 16,688 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 7 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  11. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 8 9,574 8,974 8,374 MW 7,774 7,174 6,574 5,974 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 8 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  12. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 9 27,572 25,672 23,772 MW 21,872 19,972 18,072 16,172 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 9 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  13. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E LRZ 10 6,658 6,158 5,658 MW 5,158 4,658 4,158 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E LRZ 10 SUFG_Net Actual Peak

  14. ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) SUFG Gross & Net Forecast vs. Module E MISO System 165000 155000 145000 MW 135000 125000 115000 105000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 SUFG_Gross Module E MISO System SUFG_Net Actual Peak

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