Arkansas College-Going Rate Analysis and Trends

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Explore the methodology and historical data regarding the college-going rate of Arkansas public high school graduates compared to the national average. The analysis delves into factors impacting college enrollment, distribution by institution type, and five-year trends, providing valuable insights for education policymakers and stakeholders.

  • Arkansas
  • College-Going Rate
  • Education Trends
  • High School Graduates
  • Institution Distribution

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  1. AHECB SPECIAL MEETING

  2. AGENDA ITEM #1 COLLEGE GOING RATE

  3. METHODOLOGY New methodology focuses on students that (1) graduated from an Arkansas public school district in Academic Year 2015-2016, (2) are first-time entering students in 2016 Fall term, and (3) are Arkansas residents. This new methodology more closely follows that used by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). However, there are three differences: 1. NCES filters by the age range of 16-24 ADHE ignores age but focuses on high school graduates from the previous year as most all high school graduates are between the ages of 16 and 24; 2. NCES includes GED students as their report is based on a survey. ADHE does not have data on annual graduating classes of GED students, therefore, GED students are excluded; and 3. Since the NCES report is a survey, it may include private high schools and home school students. ADHE has no data on annual graduating classes of private high schools or home school students. ADHE does obtain data on graduating classes of Arkansas public high schools (from the Arkansas Department of Education). Therefore, the new methodology is a College-Going Rate calculation for Arkansas public high school graduates only attending college in Arkansas.

  4. HISTORICAL DATA Arkansas vs. National CGR Arkansas Public High School Student College-Going Rate Compared to National College-Going Rate 75.0% 69.2% 68.4% 70.0% 65.0% 66.2% 65.9% 60.0% 55.0% 52.9% 51.4% 51.0% 50.1% 49.7% 50.0% 45.0% 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall National Arkansas

  5. HISTORICAL DATA Public HS Graduates Those Entering College Term CGR 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall 28,896 29,714 30,800 30,370 30,152 15,286 15,263 15,419 15,479 14,984 52.9% 51.4% 50.1% 51.0% 49.7% The number of public high school graduates decreased by 218 while the number of public high school graduates entering college decreased by 495.

  6. Distribution by Institution CGR Distribution by Institution Type 7.8% 3.9% of All Graduates 31.6% 15.7% of All Graduates 60.8% 30.2% of All Graduates 4-Year Universities 2-Year Colleges Private/Independent

  7. Distribution by Institution (Five Year History) 60.0% 1.7% 2.7% 50.0% 2.8% 2.9% 3.9% 18.2% 40.0% 16.3% 18.0% 16.2% 15.7% 30.0% 20.0% 33.0% 31.8% 31.0% 30.7% 30.2% 10.0% 0.0% 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall 4-Year Universities 2-Year Colleges Private/Independent

  8. By Race/Ethnicity (Two Year History) 70% 59% 60% 54% 53% 53% 48% 50% 46% 42% 42% 38% 40% 35% 30% 20% 10% 0% Asian Black/African American Hispanic Native American/Alaskan Native White Fall 2015 Fall 2016

  9. 4 YEAR ATTENDANCE For Public High School Graduates Fall 2016 2,000 1,900 1,800 1,600 1,484 1,368 1,400 1,153 1,200 1,000 782 800 579 568 564 600 388 330 400 200 0 ASUJ ATU HSU SAUM UAF UAFS UALR UAM UAPB UCA

  10. 2 YEAR ATTENDANCE For Public High School Graduates Fall 2016 900 836 800 700 600 500 404 396 369 400 299 300 229204185 211185 197 200 164 148 148 127 120 103 101 100 85 83 100 41 0

  11. STEM MAJORS (Five Year History) 3,000 2,611 2,500 2,065 2,001 2,000 1,745 1,681 1,500 1,000 500 - 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall

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