Local Election Day Survey Results and Analysis
The Local Election Day Survey provides insights into the demographics of voters, including gender, age, income, work sector, and refugee status. It also delves into voter sentiments, such as feelings about the voting experience, beliefs about the impact of voting, motives for voting, opinions on the fairness of elections, and the immediate priorities for the new local council. The survey data is presented visually in graphs and percentages, offering a comprehensive overview of the local election dynamics.
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Presentation Transcript
Sample: 820 Palestinian voters Existing 202 Voting stations in 49 voting centers 19 communities (cities, towns, and villages) Margin of error = + 3 / 49 / 820 : 202 19 + 3 =
Who are the voters? Gender Female Male 45% 55%
Who are the voters? Age 18-30 31-50 51+ 15% 38% 47%
Who are the voters? Income Above average Less than average Average 18% 20% 62%
Who are the voters? Work Sector Government Private NGOs 7% 27% 66%
Who are the voters? Refugee Status Refugee Non refugee 28% 72%
How do you feel about your voting experience today? .. 58% 30% 10% 2% Very pleased Somehow Pleased Indifferent Displeased
Do you believe that your vote..? ... 3% 4% Made a difference Does not make a difference I don t know 93%
Motives for voting? % 51.8 Voting is a civic duty 21.1 % Local councils serve an important role in the community / % 9.0 I am a member/supporter of a political party and wanted its list to win 7.7 % Wanted to express displeasure with current office holders 5.0 % One of my relatives is a candidate and I want to vote for him\her Party/family leadership encouraged me to vote / 2.8 % 2.6 % Other
In your opinion, elections today were? ... 76% 15% 6% 2% Fair To some extent Unfair I don t know fair
Immediate priority for the new local council to work on 34.8 Improve conditions for economic development and job creation Improve infrastructure 25.6 ) .. ( 16.8 Improve services such as water and electricity 4.6 Improve community relations .. 3.5 Reduce bureaucracy in obtaining permits, licenses etc. Encourage more investments in the community Provide cultural and recreational facilities and activities \ 4.3 0.9 9.4 Other
Reasons for voting for a particular list % 45.5 The candidates on the list I chose were the most credible % 15.2 The campaign agenda/platform of the list best represented community needs The list represented my political views / % 13.7 % 9.7 The list is closest to my social-cultural beliefs % 6.8 My family representation in the list % 6.0 Candidates on the list are connected with national leaders and institutions 3.2 % Other
Satisfaction with the role of the Ministry of Local Government in the local elections 43% 32% 12% 8% 6% Satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Dissatisfied I don t know
Satisfaction with the role of the Central Elections Commission in the local elections 67% 26% 3% 2% 2% Satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Dissatisfied I don t know
Satisfaction with the role of the government in the West Bank in the local elections 38% 30% 20% 10% 2% Satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Dissatisfied I don t know
Satisfaction with the role of the Presidency in local elections 49% 27% 14% 7% 3% Satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Dissatisfied I don t know
Most important source of news and information about the lists 18.5 Internet 17.8 Informal news from others 15.9 Posters in the streets 13.1 Published data and written publications Festivals and meetings 11.6 9.4 TV 9.0 Radio 4.6 Phone
Were you satisfied with the choices at the ballot box? / I don t know Yes No 3% 15% 82%
Who are the voters? Political affiliation 50% 28% 12% 10% Fatah Leftists Islamists Independents
Distribution of Fatah vote 85% 58% 50% 45% 29% Almustaqbal Abnaa Albalad Alwataniya Almustaqila Alisteqlal wa Altanmiya Alisteqlal wa alyanmiya Ramallah Nablus Hebron
Distribution of independent vote 65% 53% 33% 30% 23% 16% Almustaqbal Abnaa Albalad Alwataniya Almustaqila Alisteqlal wa Altanmiya Alisteqlal wa alyanmiya Madeena asreya Ramallah Nablus Hebron
Distribution of Islamist vote (Hebron) 60% 12% Alisteqlal wa Altanmiya Madeena asreya Hebron
Voting by gender MALE FEMALE Ramallah % 26 % 45 Ramallah Almustaqbal % 61 % 35 Abnaa Albalad Nablus % 41 % 62 Alwataniya Almustaqila % 53 % 26 Alisteqlal wa altanmiya Hebron % 20 % 18 Madeena Asreyah % 3 % 14 Bilmusharaka Nastatee % 58 % 52 Alisteqlal wa altanmiya
Voting by age 30 - 18 50 - 31 + 51 Ramallah % (%31) 30 % (%58) 38 25 (%12) Ramallah Almustaqbal % (%33) 48 % (%45) 45 % (%23) 75 Abnaa Albalad Nablus % (%37) 57 % (%44) 44 % (%20) 60 Alwataniya Almustaqila % (%22) 27 % (%65) 52 % (%14) 33 Alisteqlal wa altanmiya Hebron % (%45) 59 % (%45) 55 Alisteqlal wa altanmiya %43 (%10)