Physical and Infrastructure Effects Briefing
December 27, 2016
2015 PDC
Mark Boslough & Barbara Jennings
Sandia National Labs
Albuquerque, NM
Sandia is a multiprogram laboratory operated by Sandia Corporation, a Lockheed Martin Company,
for the United States Department of Energy under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000.
Inject 3
Bill Fogleman, GRIT – Mapping
Paul Chodas – JPL - Trajectory
Souheil Ezzedine – LLNL – Tsunami
Physical and Infrastructure Effects Briefing
EXERCISE
What we have been told
•
Entry speed: 16 km/s (36,000 mph, ~mach 47)
•
Size: Up to 400 meters diameter
•
Composition: Stone, density 2.2-3.3 g/cm
3
•
2250 Megaton impact cannot be ruled out
•
Impact is certain: September 3, 2022
EXERCISE
Possible Impact Locations
EXERCISE
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EXERCISE
Vientiane, Laos
Impact Results
•
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EXERCISE
Vientiane, Laos - At Risk
•
Capital of Laos
•
Population 210,000
•
- 700,000 in Vientiane
Prefecture
•
Situated on the Mekong River
•
Main roads are parallel to river
•
Main government offices and
Presidential Palace are here
•
That Luang Stupa – most
important religion monument in
Laos
•
International Airport
•
16 Provinces
EXERCISE
Tsunami is by far the greatest threat
We have run high-performance computer simulations
Western Pacific Impact - Steep entry: strong tsunami
EXERCISE
Tsunami is by far the greatest threat
We have run high-performance computer simulations
Eastern Pacific Impact - Grazing entry: weaker tsunami
EXERCISE
August 1972 fireball over western US
Briefing on the potential impact of a sizable asteroid, including details on entry speed, size, composition, and possible impact locations. Simulation results for Vientiane, Laos, and the significant tsunami threat are also discussed.
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Presentation Transcript
Inject 3 Physical and Infrastructure Effects Briefing December 27, 2016 2015 PDC Mark Boslough & Barbara Jennings Sandia National Labs Albuquerque, NM Bill Fogleman, GRIT Mapping Paul Chodas JPL - Trajectory Souheil Ezzedine LLNL Tsunami EXERCISE Sandia is a multiprogram laboratory operated by Sandia Corporation, a Lockheed Martin Company, for the United States Department of Energy under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000.
What we have been told Entry speed: 16 km/s (36,000 mph, ~mach 47) Size: Up to 400 meters diameter Composition: Stone, density 2.2-3.3 g/cm3 2250 Megaton impact cannot be ruled out Impact is certain: September 3, 2022 EXERCISE
Possible Impact Locations EXERCISE
Purdue Simulator Infrastructure Risk Zones EXERCISE
Vientiane, Laos Impact Results Impact crater 5-7 km diameter 500 meters deep 6.8 magnitude earthquake Damage Zones: - Impact total destruction - 29 km out Total - 63 km out Severe - 149 km Light to Moderate Fireball would cause trees to ignite Individuals not sheltered will sustain 2nd degree burns Winds of 60 m/s blowing over 30% of trees and stripping leaves and branches EXERCISE
Vientiane, Laos - At Risk Capital of Laos Population 210,000 - 700,000 in Vientiane Prefecture Situated on the Mekong River Main roads are parallel to river Main government offices and Presidential Palace are here That Luang Stupa most important religion monument in Laos International Airport 16 Provinces EXERCISE
Tsunami is by far the greatest threat We have run high-performance computer simulations Western Pacific Impact - Steep entry: strong tsunami EXERCISE
Tsunami is by far the greatest threat We have run high-performance computer simulations Eastern Pacific Impact - Grazing entry: weaker tsunami EXERCISE
