Measurement Uncertainty in Testing: Essentials and Guidelines

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MEASUREMENT UNCERTAINTY IN TESTING: WHAT IT IS AND
WHAT ITS FOR
 
Uncertainty Essentials
 
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
Uncertainty Essentials
 
Definition of Measurement Uncertainty
Expression of Measurement Uncertainty
17025:2017 & 15189:2012 Requirements
Use in selection of methods
Use in reporting
Statistics, Units and Calculations
Standard deviation
Transformation of non-normal data
Harmonisation of scales & units
Approaches to Estimation of Measurement Uncertainty
Metrological approach
Single Within-Laboratory Approach
Qualitative Results
Guidance Documents
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
Definition of Measurement Uncertainty
 
A parameter associated with the result of a measurement, that
characterises the dispersion of the values that could reasonably be
attributed to the measurand
ISO/IEC Guide 98 GUM
Uncertainty is a property of a test result
Preferred form of reporting:
Result: (x 
± U) (units)
Reference to Measurement Uncertainty
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
Knowledge of method performance often contributes to estimates of
uncertainty
Reference is often made to
‘uncertainty of a method’
Uncertainty must always be associated with a test result
or range of test results
 
X
X
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
17025:2017
 
7.6.1 
Laboratories shall identify the contributions to measurement
uncertainty. When evaluating measurement uncertainty, all
contributions that are of significance, including those arising from
sampling, shall be taken into account using appropriate methods of
analysis.
7.6.3 
A laboratory performing testing shall evaluate measurement
uncertainty. Where the test method precludes rigorous evaluation of
measurement uncertainty, an estimation shall be made based on an
understanding of the theoretical principles or practical experience of the
performance of the method.
17025:2017
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
6.4.5 Equipment performance specifications
7.2 Selection, Verification and validation of methods
7.8.3 Test Reports: where applicable, the measurement uncertainty
presented in the same unit as that of the measurand or in a term relative
to the measurand (e.g. percent) when:
 it is relevant to the validity or application of the test results;
 a customer's instruction so requires, or
the measurement uncertainty affects conformity to a specification limit;
17025:2017
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
NOTES
In those cases where a well-recognized test method specifies limits to the
values of the major sources of measurement uncertainty and specifies
the form of presentation of the calculated results, the laboratory is
considered to have satisfied 7.6.3 by following the test method and
reporting instructions.
For a particular method where the measurement uncertainty of the
results has been established and verified, there is no need to evaluate
measurement uncertainty for each result if the laboratory can
demonstrate that the identified critical influencing factors are under
control.
ISO 15189:2012
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
“The laboratory shall determine measurement  uncertainty for each
measurement procedure in the examination phases used to report
measured quantity values on patients’ samples”
“The laboratory shall define the performance requirements for the
measurement uncertainty of each measurement procedure and regularly
review estimates of measurement uncertainty .”
“upon request, the laboratory should make its estimates of measurement
uncertainty available to laboratory users.”
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
Standard Uncertainty
 
Uncertainties are usually quantified as standard deviations
Standard uncertainty, u
Expanded uncertainty, U = k.u
k = coverage factor, usually 2
The reported uncertainty is an expanded uncertainty calculated using a coverage
factor of 2 which gives a level of confidence of approximately 95 %
Estimation of uncertainty for test methods utilizes the arithmetic of
standard deviations.
Transformation & Harmonisation
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
Use of standard deviations implies that data conforms to normal
distribution
Data from some types of measurement may need to be transformed
before they can analysed
E.g. microbiological counts – Log
10
Results from quantitative PCR measurements - Log
10
Data from calibration certificates and other sources may need to be
converted to standard deviations
 
Transforming Ranges to Standard Deviations
 
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
Approaches to Estimating Uncertainty
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
Modelling Approach (“bottom-up”)
Used extensively for metrological testing methods but rarely successfully applied to
complete chemical or microbiological methods
Refs: Eurachem 2012
Single Laboratory Validation Approach (“top down”)
Applied extensively for chemical or microbiological methods, relying principally on
estimates of reproducibility and bias
Internal estimates of reproducibility and bias, and/or use of PT results to estimate
bias
Ref: Eurachem 2012, Nordtest 2004, Eurolab 2007
Single Within-Laboratory Validation
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
Uncertainty in Qualitative Results
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
Uncertainty in qualitative results not addressed in general guidance
documents
Yes/no, presence/absence, pass/fail
Some published papers on estimation using complex statistical
techniques e.g. Bayes theorem.
Require high expertise & software
Some aspects of verification may implicitly include some sources of
uncertainty
Setting of cut-off values
Uncertainty in Qualitative Results
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
Where results are expressed in qualitative terms, there is no expectation
of a quantitative estimate of measurement uncertainty
Unless a prior quantitative test result produced
Factors affecting the test result need to be identified and shown to be
appropriately controlled.
undefined
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
The phase of the moon?
 
Analytical Methods Committee, AMCTB No 61
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
Guidance Documents
 
ISO/IEC Guide 98-1:2009 Uncertainty of measurement
Part 1: Introduction to the expression of uncertainty in measurement
Part 3: Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement (GUM:1995)
EURACHEM / CITAC Guide CG 4 Quantifying Uncertainty in Analytical Measurement, Ed
3, 2012
Eurolab Technical Report No 1/2007. Measurement Uncertainty Revisited: Alternative
Approaches to Uncertainty.
Handbook for calculation of measurement uncertainty in environmental laboratories (NT
TR 537 - Edition 3.1)
EURACHEM / CITAC Guide Measurement Uncertainty Arising From Sampling - A Guide
To Methods And Approaches, 
Ed 1, 2007
ISO 5725 Accuracy (Trueness and Precision) of Measurement Methods and Results (6
parts)
The “Phase-of-the-Moon” Paradox in Uncertainty Estimation. Analytical Methods
Committee, AMCTB No 61
 
Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018
 
Uncertainty Essentials
 
Definition of Measurement Uncertainty
Expression of Measurement Uncertainty
17025:2017 Requirements
Use in selection of methods
Use in reporting
Statistics, Units and Calculations
Standard deviation
Transformation of non-normal data
Harmonisation of scales & units
Approaches to Estimation of Measurement Uncertainty
Metrological approach
Single Within-Laboratory Approach
Guidance Documents
Slide Note

© Cilmery Fields t/a Savant Technologies 2013

Definitions & Guidance

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Measurement uncertainty in testing is a crucial aspect that characterizes the dispersion of values attributed to a measurand. This uncertainty plays a key role in reporting accurate test results, requiring careful evaluation of all significant contributions. The ISO/IEC Guide 98 GUM provides essential guidelines for expressing and handling measurement uncertainty, ensuring reliable test outcomes and method performance assessments. Laboratories must meticulously identify and evaluate various sources of uncertainty to enhance the quality and credibility of their testing processes.

  • Measurement Uncertainty
  • Testing
  • ISO/IEC Guide 98 GUM
  • Laboratories
  • Method Performance

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  1. Uncertainty Essentials MEASUREMENT UNCERTAINTY IN TESTING: WHAT IT IS AND WHAT ITS FOR Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  2. Uncertainty Essentials Definition of Measurement Uncertainty Expression of Measurement Uncertainty 17025:2017 & 15189:2012 Requirements Use in selection of methods Use in reporting Statistics, Units and Calculations Standard deviation Transformation of non-normal data Harmonisation of scales & units Approaches to Estimation of Measurement Uncertainty Metrological approach Single Within-Laboratory Approach Qualitative Results Guidance Documents Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  3. Definition of Measurement Uncertainty A parameter associated with the result of a measurement, that characterises the dispersion of the values that could reasonably be attributed to the measurand ISO/IEC Guide 98 GUM Uncertainty is a property of a test result Preferred form of reporting: Result: (x U) (units) Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  4. Reference to Measurement Uncertainty Knowledge of method performance often contributes to estimates of uncertainty Reference is often made to uncertainty of a method Uncertainty must always be associated with a test result or range of test results Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  5. 17025:2017 7.6.1 Laboratories shall identify the contributions to measurement uncertainty. When evaluating measurement uncertainty, all contributions that are of significance, including those arising from sampling, shall be taken into account using appropriate methods of analysis. 7.6.3 A laboratory performing testing shall evaluate measurement uncertainty. Where the test method precludes rigorous evaluation of measurement uncertainty, an estimation shall be made based on an understanding of the theoretical principles or practical experience of the performance of the method. Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  6. 17025:2017 6.4.5 Equipment performance specifications 7.2 Selection, Verification and validation of methods 7.8.3 Test Reports: where applicable, the measurement uncertainty presented in the same unit as that of the measurand or in a term relative to the measurand (e.g. percent) when: it is relevant to the validity or application of the test results; a customer's instruction so requires, or the measurement uncertainty affects conformity to a specification limit; Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  7. 17025:2017 NOTES In those cases where a well-recognized test method specifies limits to the values of the major sources of measurement uncertainty and specifies the form of presentation of the calculated results, the laboratory is considered to have satisfied 7.6.3 by following the test method and reporting instructions. For a particular method where the measurement uncertainty of the results has been established and verified, there is no need to evaluate measurement uncertainty for each result if the laboratory can demonstrate that the identified critical influencing factors are under control. Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  8. ISO 15189:2012 The laboratory shall determine measurement uncertainty for each measurement procedure in the examination phases used to report measured quantity values on patients samples The laboratory shall define the performance requirements for the measurement uncertainty of each measurement procedure and regularly review estimates of measurement uncertainty . upon request, the laboratory should make its estimates of measurement uncertainty available to laboratory users. Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  9. Standard Uncertainty Uncertainties are usually quantified as standard deviations Standard uncertainty, u Expanded uncertainty, U = k.u k = coverage factor, usually 2 The reported uncertainty is an expanded uncertainty calculated using a coverage factor of 2 which gives a level of confidence of approximately 95 % Estimation of uncertainty for test methods utilizes the arithmetic of standard deviations. Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  10. Transformation & Harmonisation Use of standard deviations implies that data conforms to normal distribution Data from some types of measurement may need to be transformed before they can analysed E.g. microbiological counts Log10 Results from quantitative PCR measurements - Log10 Data from calibration certificates and other sources may need to be converted to standard deviations Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  11. Transforming Ranges to Standard Deviations Source Precision Bias Transformation sr and sR used directly sB estimated from validation data see later Divide by 2 (or k) Expanded uncertainties from calibration certificates Tolerance limits stated as x Rectangular distribution: divide by 3 Triangular distribution: divide by 6 Tolerance limits stated as x, but where manufacturer aims to be close to specification Constant weight limits Rectangular distribution: divide by 3 Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  12. Approaches to Estimating Uncertainty Modelling Approach ( bottom-up ) Used extensively for metrological testing methods but rarely successfully applied to complete chemical or microbiological methods Refs: Eurachem 2012 Single Laboratory Validation Approach ( top down ) Applied extensively for chemical or microbiological methods, relying principally on estimates of reproducibility and bias Internal estimates of reproducibility and bias, and/or use of PT results to estimate bias Ref: Eurachem 2012, Nordtest 2004, Eurolab 2007 Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  13. Single Within-Laboratory Validation Measurement accuracy = precision + trueness Measurement uncertainty = within-laboratory reproducibility + uncertainty on bias 2+ ?2 ? = ?? Where u = standard uncertainty, sR is reproducibility of method, b is bias of method at level of test result. Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  14. Uncertainty in Qualitative Results Uncertainty in qualitative results not addressed in general guidance documents Yes/no, presence/absence, pass/fail Some published papers on estimation using complex statistical techniques e.g. Bayes theorem. Require high expertise & software Some aspects of verification may implicitly include some sources of uncertainty Setting of cut-off values Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  15. Uncertainty in Qualitative Results Where results are expressed in qualitative terms, there is no expectation of a quantitative estimate of measurement uncertainty Unless a prior quantitative test result produced Factors affecting the test result need to be identified and shown to be appropriately controlled. Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  16. The phase of the moon? Analytical Methods Committee, AMCTB No 61 Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  17. Guidance Documents ISO/IEC Guide 98-1:2009 Uncertainty of measurement Part 1: Introduction to the expression of uncertainty in measurement Part 3: Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement (GUM:1995) EURACHEM / CITAC Guide CG 4 Quantifying Uncertainty in Analytical Measurement, Ed 3, 2012 Eurolab Technical Report No 1/2007. Measurement Uncertainty Revisited: Alternative Approaches to Uncertainty. Handbook for calculation of measurement uncertainty in environmental laboratories (NT TR 537 - Edition 3.1) EURACHEM / CITAC Guide Measurement Uncertainty Arising From Sampling - A Guide To Methods And Approaches, Ed 1, 2007 ISO 5725 Accuracy (Trueness and Precision) of Measurement Methods and Results (6 parts) The Phase-of-the-Moon Paradox in Uncertainty Estimation. Analytical Methods Committee, AMCTB No 61 Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

  18. Uncertainty Essentials Definition of Measurement Uncertainty Expression of Measurement Uncertainty 17025:2017 Requirements Use in selection of methods Use in reporting Statistics, Units and Calculations Standard deviation Transformation of non-normal data Harmonisation of scales & units Approaches to Estimation of Measurement Uncertainty Metrological approach Single Within-Laboratory Approach Guidance Documents Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018

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