Insights into Tennessee Promise Program Fall 2015 Update
This update delves into the characteristics of Tennessee Promise students, enrollment figures for fall 2015, and where these students choose to enroll. It highlights the impact of the program on student demographics, enrollment patterns, and more.
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Tennessee Promise: Fall 2015 Update Emily House Tennessee Higher Education Commission Joint Meeting of SBE and THEC January 27, 2015 Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Points of Interest Characteristics of Tennessee Promise students Who is participating in the program? Composition of first-time freshmen class, as compared to prior years Effect of Tennessee Promise on enrollment, student demographics, etc. Tennessee Higher Education Commission
14-15 Public and Private HS Seniors: ~74,400 August 1 Community Service Deadline Mar-April Second Mandatory Meeting 31,98522,500 February 15 FAFSA Completion Deadline 38,165 Jan-Feb 5 First mandatory meeting Nov 1 Application Closes 58,000 43,105 Fall 2015: 16,291 enroll Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Tennessee Promise Students Where TN Promise students enroll: 85 percent community colleges (and APSU) 13 percent TCATs 2 percent Promise-eligible TICUA institutions Of those who completed all requirements but did not enroll: Four-year institutions (~1000 at public four- years) Private/out of state Did not enroll Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Tennessee Promise Students TN Promise CC students HS, Fall 2014 (CCs) FTF out of FTF at CCs, Fall 2015 FTF at CCs, Fall 2014 Race White 74% 14% 4% 56% 19.1 3.05 70% 19% 5% 56% 18.7 3.04 74% 18% 3% 56% 18.9 3.00 69% 19% 4% 56% 18.7 3.04 African Amer Hispanic Female Average ACT Average GPA Financial aid VERY preliminary ANY Pell FULL Pell Pell covers T&F TELS 53% 34% 45% 58% 53% 40% 53% 48% 55% 33% 44% 43% 51% 40% 51% 48% Tennessee Higher Education Commission
First-time Freshmen: Enrollment Fall 2015 Fall 2014 Delta FTF Enrollment TBR CCs 21,679 17,379 24.7% TCATs 10,432 8,691 20.0% TBR Universities 10,977 11,983 -8.4% UT 7,611 7,977 -4.6% TOTAL 50,699 46,030 10.1% Tennessee Higher Education Commission
College-going Rate Changes to college-going rate (CGR) Approximately 4,000 new entrants into higher education in Tennessee. Most at CCs and TCATs CGR will likely increase ~5-6 percent, from approximately 57 to 62 percent. Tennessee Higher Education Commission
CGR by state Mississippi Massachusetts South Dakota Nebraska New Jersey Georgia Iowa Arkansas Kansas New Hampshire North Carolina Hawaii Florida Nation Michigan Ohio Colorado Montana Oklahoma West Virginia Arizona Texas Utah Washington Delaware Idaho Tennessee Higher Education Commission
CGR by state Mississippi Massachusetts South Dakota Nebraska New Jersey Tennessee North Dakota Indiana Rhode Island Louisiana Maryland Virginia Alabama Kentucky Michigan Ohio Colorado Montana Oklahoma West Virginia Arizona Texas Utah Washington Delaware Idaho Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Average ACT by Institution, FTF Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Delta, Fall 14 to Fall 15 TBR Community Colleges Chattanooga State Community College Cleveland State Community College Columbia State Community College Dyersburg State Community College Jackson State Community College Motlow State Community College Nashville State Community College Northeast State Community College Pellissippi State Community College Roane State Community College Southwest Tennessee Community College Volunteer State Community College Walters State Community College TBR Community Colleges Total 18.5 19.0 19.6 18.9 18.6 19.2 17.6 19.3 19.9 19.2 16.6 19.3 19.4 18.8 18.9 18.9 19.9 18.7 18.4 19.1 18.0 19.2 20.1 19.4 16.5 19.3 19.4 18.9 0.4 -0.1 0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.1 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Average ACT by Institution, FTF Delta, Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 14 to Fall 15 TBR Universities 21.8 21.5 Austin Peay State University -0.3 22.0 22.9 East Tennessee State University 0.9 22.1 22.1 Middle Tennessee State University 0.0 18.0 17.9 Tennessee State University -0.1 23.5 24.3 Tennessee Technological University 0.8 22.4 22.8 University of Memphis 0.4 21.9 22.1 TBR Universities Total 0.2 University of Tennessee 23.0 23.4 University of Tennessee, Chattanooga 0.4 26.0 26.9 University of Tennessee, Knoxville 0.9 22.4 22.7 University of Tennessee, Martin 0.3 24.7 25.5 University of Tennessee Total 0.8 Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Student persistence Fall-Spring retention: we ll know soon. ~80 percent of TN Promise students completed their community service by December 1. Who persists without Tennessee Promise? Similar to TELS program? Transfer behavior? Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Next Steps Research, research, research TN Promise students enrolling elsewhere Waterfall when do students drop off the TN Promise, and where do they end up? Students enrolling in 2- vs. 4-year institutions Variation by region, county, high school Persistence and retention (Fall to spring, Year 1-2) Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Tennessee Promise Cohort 2 59,621 high school seniors have signed up for 2016 Tennessee Promise Deadline to sign up was November 2 Similar to Cohort 1 at this point in time 67 percent White 50 percent female Majority state intention to attend CCs; 10 percent list TCAT as preferred institution. Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Questions? Thank you! emily.house@tn.gov Tennessee Higher Education Commission
