Insights from 50 Years as an Actuary

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1
 
L
ESSONS
 
LEARNED
 
AFTER
50 
YEARS
 
AS
 
AN
 
ACTUARY
 
Frank Buck
May, 2017
2
 
D
ISCLAIMER
 :
 
T
HE
 
VIEWS
 
EXPRESSED
 
IN
 
THIS
 
PRESENTATION
ARE
 
MINE
 
AND
 
NOT
 
NECESSARILY
 
THOSE
 
OF
FWD 
AND
/
OR
 
PREVIOUS
 
EMPLOYERS
.
3
History
Consultant
 
20 years
Company
 
30 years
2000 – 2003
2006 – 2014
HK
 
H
ISTORY
 - C
ONTINUED
 
O
THER
 C
OUNTRIES
 
WHERE
 I 
HAVE
 
WORKED
4
HOW DIFFERENT WAS IT BACK THEN?
 
Actuaries held most senior positions in most life insurance companies
Universal Life had not been invented
Guaranteed Annuity Options did not exist
UK Government Bonds (Gilts) reached 15%
Personal Computers did not exist
To recalculate a book of endowment rates after a change in interest
rates could take 10 people 1 to 2 weeks
If a typist made a mistake, the whole page had to be re-typed or, for
minor errors, white-out was used
Risk Managers did not exist
Men wore suits (and ties) – Business Casual (for me) started in 2003
5
 
MY FIRST CALCULATOR
6
 
I GOT MY FIRST COMPUTER IN 1987
LESSONS LEARNED - 1
 
Don’t be afraid to ask if you do not understand
what someone else is saying
 
Jargon is pervasive but not universal
Speakers always assume that you know what they are
talking about
Actuaries are particularly bad here
7
LESSONS LEARNED - 2
 
Beware of present values
Future earnings patterns are important
The following have the same present value at 5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
8
LESSONS LEARNED - 3
 
Don’t trust computers
Always perform a check for reasonability
o
 Particularly with spreadsheets
o
 Have your work checked
 
Don’t believe the IT guy
Never accept an answer “The system can't do that”
o
 The IT department might not know how to do it (in which case we
can train them)
o
 The solution might not be cost effective
o
 However, the system can always do it.
9
LESSONS LEARNED - 4
 
Documentation is important
Start writing the report before you start doing the work
o
 It helps you to focus on the objectives
Documentation always takes much longer that you anticipate
o
 However, it makes the work easier next time
The act of documenting can highlight a misunderstanding or error
Take responsibility for your work
o
 Put your name on the report (standard of practice in most mature
markets)
o
 Give credit to those who assisted you
Spreadsheets are not good documentation
10
LESSONS LEARNED- 5
 
Listening is the most important skill that you can
develop
 
Everyone’s attention span is short
Focus on what your client/colleague/boss wants
Ask if you do not understand
11
LESSONS LEARNED - 6
 
Communication is essential
Actuaries have lost control because non-actuaries do not understand
them
We have to communicate to accountants, investment bankers,
auditors, rating agencies, regulators, etc.
We have to communicate to sales people, marketers, other members
of senior management, boards of directors
Learn how to explain actuarial concepts to  non-actuaries
You will understand your work better if you have to explain it
12
LESSONS LEARNED - 7
 
Develop a general sense for your business
 
Calculating numbers is only the first step
What do the results mean?
What management actions do you recommend?
Be pro-active in presenting results
13
LESSONS LEARNED - 8
 
Don’t be afraid to try something new
 
You can always go back (to some extent) if the new
challenge does not work out
The first move is the most difficult
Stretch yourself by taking on different
responsibilities
14
LESSONS LEARNED - 9
 
When you take over a role from someone else, make
sure you understand how the previous person
performed the role
 
Assumptions used and how derived
Spreadsheet linkages
Interaction with others
Approximations used
15
LESSONS LEARNED - 10
 
Don’t be afraid to make a mistake
 
We often have to make a decision with limited
information
We don’t always have time to prepare the perfect answer
Qualified decisions are OK
 
HOWEVER, DON’T MAKE THE SAME MISTAKE AGAIN
 
 
16
LESSONS LEARNED - 11
 
Teams usually achieve more than individuals
 
It is important to bounce ideas off each other
Different disciplines bring different perspectives
But the teams have to be well organized and well led
Consultants often “hunt in packs”
17
LESSONS LEARNED – 12
 
Regulators always react too late
Nobody tested the impact of declining interest rates and many
jurisdictions struggled to respond
Before the US financial crisis most models had property values
increasing or staying level
 
Regulators always overreact
Solvency II requires 1,000+ scenarios
IFRS 17 requires major systems changes
Is stochastic really necessary for Thai par business?
Forcing disclosure of sales commissions destroyed the Australian
life insurance market
18
LESSONS LEARNED - 13
 
Celebrate success
 
Reaching a goal deserves recognition
Always compliment team members on work well done
Have fun
19
LESSONS LEARNED - 14
 
Always have outside interests
Doing other things keeps the mind fresh
Maintain a work/life balance
Resist pressure to overwork
Try different things
Don’t be a workaholic
 
My hobbies
I started karate when I was 60
I started yoga when I was 64
I learned to scuba-dive when I was 70
I now play golf, practice yoga and cook
 
 
20
21
 
 
Don’t be afraid to ask if you do not understand
Beware of present values
Don’t trust computers
Documentation is important
Listening is very important
Communication is essential
Develop a general sense for your business
Don’t be afraid to try something new
Don’t be afraid to make a mistake
Celebrate success
Always have outside interests
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SUMMARY
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Frank Buck shares valuable lessons learned during his 50-year career as an actuary, reflecting on the evolution of the profession, technological advancements, and the importance of communication and continuous learning.

  • Actuary
  • Lessons Learned
  • Career Reflection
  • Professional Growth
  • Commnication

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  1. LESSONSLEARNEDAFTER 50 YEARSASANACTUARY Frank Buck May, 2017 1

  2. DISCLAIMER : THEVIEWSEXPRESSEDINTHISPRESENTATION AREMINEANDNOTNECESSARILYTHOSEOF FWD AND/ORPREVIOUSEMPLOYERS. 2

  3. History September Started work as an actuarial student 1965 July Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries 1973 1984 Member of the American Academy of Actuaries 2002 Fellow of the Society of Actuaries Chair Financial Reporting Section of SOA Chair International Section of SOA Joint author of US GAAP for Life Insurance Companies Speaker at many conferences on a range of topics 3

  4. HISTORY - CONTINUED Consultant Company 20 years 30 years Philippines s UK HK Canada USA Thailand 2015 + 1965 1978 1978 1983 1984 2000 2003 2006 2014 2000 2003 2006 2014 OTHER COUNTRIESWHERE I HAVEWORKED Spain Switzerland Taiwan UAE Vietnam China Germany India Indonesia Italy Argentina Australia Bangladesh Brazil Chile Japan Korea Malaysia Mexico South Africa 4

  5. HOW DIFFERENT WAS IT BACK THEN? Actuaries held most senior positions in most life insurance companies Universal Life had not been invented Guaranteed Annuity Options did not exist UK Government Bonds (Gilts) reached 15% Personal Computers did not exist To recalculate a book of endowment rates after a change in interest rates could take 10 people 1 to 2 weeks If a typist made a mistake, the whole page had to be re-typed or, for minor errors, white-out was used Risk Managers did not exist Men wore suits (and ties) Business Casual (for me) started in 2003 5

  6. MY FIRST CALCULATOR I GOT MY FIRST COMPUTER IN 1987 6

  7. LESSONS LEARNED - 1 Don t be afraid to ask if you do not understand what someone else is saying Jargon is pervasive but not universal Speakers always assume that you know what they are talking about Actuaries are particularly bad here 7

  8. LESSONS LEARNED - 2 Beware of present values Future earnings patterns are important The following have the same present value at 5% 8

  9. LESSONS LEARNED - 3 Don t trust computers Always perform a check for reasonability o Particularly with spreadsheets o Have your work checked Don t believe the IT guy Never accept an answer The system can't do that o The IT department might not know how to do it (in which case we can train them) o The solution might not be cost effective o However, the system can always do it. 9

  10. LESSONS LEARNED - 4 Documentation is important Start writing the report before you start doing the work o It helps you to focus on the objectives Documentation always takes much longer that you anticipate o However, it makes the work easier next time The act of documenting can highlight a misunderstanding or error Take responsibility for your work o Put your name on the report (standard of practice in most mature markets) o Give credit to those who assisted you Spreadsheets are not good documentation 10

  11. LESSONS LEARNED- 5 Listening is the most important skill that you can develop Everyone s attention span is short Focus on what your client/colleague/boss wants Ask if you do not understand 11

  12. LESSONS LEARNED - 6 Communication is essential Actuaries have lost control because non-actuaries do not understand them We have to communicate to accountants, investment bankers, auditors, rating agencies, regulators, etc. We have to communicate to sales people, marketers, other members of senior management, boards of directors Learn how to explain actuarial concepts to non-actuaries You will understand your work better if you have to explain it 12

  13. LESSONS LEARNED - 7 Develop a general sense for your business Calculating numbers is only the first step What do the results mean? What management actions do you recommend? Be pro-active in presenting results 13

  14. LESSONS LEARNED - 8 Don t be afraid to try something new You can always go back (to some extent) if the new challenge does not work out The first move is the most difficult Stretch yourself by taking on different responsibilities 14

  15. LESSONS LEARNED - 9 When you take over a role from someone else, make sure you understand how the previous person performed the role Assumptions used and how derived Spreadsheet linkages Interaction with others Approximations used 15

  16. LESSONS LEARNED - 10 Don t be afraid to make a mistake We often have to make a decision with limited information We don t always have time to prepare the perfect answer Qualified decisions are OK HOWEVER, DON T MAKE THE SAME MISTAKE AGAIN 16

  17. LESSONS LEARNED - 11 Teams usually achieve more than individuals It is important to bounce ideas off each other Different disciplines bring different perspectives But the teams have to be well organized and well led Consultants often hunt in packs 17

  18. LESSONS LEARNED 12 Regulators always react too late Nobody tested the impact of declining interest rates and many jurisdictions struggled to respond Before the US financial crisis most models had property values increasing or staying level Regulators always overreact Solvency II requires 1,000+ scenarios IFRS 17 requires major systems changes Is stochastic really necessary for Thai par business? Forcing disclosure of sales commissions destroyed the Australian life insurance market 18

  19. LESSONS LEARNED - 13 Celebrate success Reaching a goal deserves recognition Always compliment team members on work well done Have fun 19

  20. LESSONS LEARNED - 14 Always have outside interests Doing other things keeps the mind fresh Maintain a work/life balance Resist pressure to overwork Try different things Don t be a workaholic My hobbies I started karate when I was 60 I started yoga when I was 64 I learned to scuba-dive when I was 70 I now play golf, practice yoga and cook 20

  21. SUMMARY Don t be afraid to ask if you do not understand Beware of present values Don t trust computers Documentation is important Listening is very important Communication is essential Develop a general sense for your business Don t be afraid to try something new Don t be afraid to make a mistake Celebrate success Always have outside interests 21

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