European Health Workforce Planning and Forecasting Workshop Recap

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In the workshop held in Milan on September 19-20, 2013, Giovanni Leonardi and Michel Van Hoegaerden discussed the goals and outcomes of the joint action on European health workforce planning. Participants deliberated on topics such as affordability, demand and quality of healthcare, access to education, and workforce distribution. Key targets included affordability of production, mapping movements of professionals, and retention strategies. The session highlighted the importance of adapting education to meet evolving healthcare needs and the significance of cost-effectiveness in planning and evaluation.


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  1. PROCEDURES models MOBILITY drivers supply supply FORECASTING DOCTORS Health professions planning nurses nurses dentists demand GOOD PRACTICE PHARMACISTS TOOLS 2013 /2015 Work Package 5 Minimum data set workshop Milan, 19 Work Package 5 Minimum data set workshop Milan, 19th th and and20 20th th of of September September 2013 2013

  2. Giovanni LEONARDI & Michel VAN HOEGAERDEN Joint Action on European Health Workforce Planning and Forecasting

  3. CONSIDERING THE GOAL OF THE WORKSHOP CONSIDERING THE RESULTS OF YESTERDAY S SESSION DEFINE THE SCOPE OF TODAY S WORKSHOP AND OF THE MDS DELIVERED BY THIS JOINT ACTION

  4. Target 1.Affordability of the production Target Votes 9 Votes 2.Demand of health care 7 3.Quality of care 6 4. Access to post-graduate education 5. Regional (i.e. by language) distribution 6. Balance of the demand for care between General care and Specialized care (horizontal) and betwen the professions (vertical) 6 4 4

  5. Target 7. Mapping movements of specialized professionals between countries 8.Reaching a set of indicators (i.e. doctors per 1000 abitants) 9. Retention of professionals within the country 2 Target Votes 2 Votes 2 10.Controlling the retention process 1 11. Affordability of training 1

  6. REAL POLITICAL LIFE Many priority 1 requirements from many important stakeholders Feeling that even though there is a split between priorities, the amount of priority one s is blocking Main Principles (groups) Availability of service Main Principles (groups) Main Targets (groups) Numbers needed on current people Numbers needed on population & geography Numbers needed on future skills & needs Numbers needed on cost & Effectiveness Relation between current reality, scenarios and cost effectiveness Main Targets (groups) Adapting Education to the needs of Healthcare Cost Effectiveness is important Planning help evaluating current situation and new initiatives

  7. Principles Planning do s to allow both monitoring and policy making Shortages are no options as it is threat to the coverage and quality Universal coverage Affordability Effectiveness Education to meet Healthcare needs Quality of work/private Principles Planning & forecasting are must do s to allow both monitoring and policy making Shortages are no options as it is a a threat to the coverage and quality Universal coverage Affordability Effectiveness Education to meet Healthcare needs Quality of work/private balance Targets Current HWF Benchmark against population information's (incl. real coverage) Measuring Monitoring cost Monitoring HWF Monitoring Evaluate Targets Current HWF Benchmark against population information's (incl. real coverage) Measuring the Monitoring the effect of HWF on cost Monitoring the HWF Monitoring HWF workload Evaluate potential new strategies & forecasting are must the impact of policies the effect of HWF on impact of policies the effectiveness of effectiveness of HWF workload potential new strategies balance

  8. WE NEED TO ISSUE A DEFINITION OF MINIMAL DATA SET WE NEED TO POPULATE IT TODAY PART 1 / WE PROPOSE AN OPTION (DEFINITION OF MINIMAL) PART 2 / WORKSHOP CHALLENGING THE OPTION PART 3 / WORKSHOP FOR POPULATING THE CHOOSEN OPTION

  9. Michel Van Hoegaerden Giovanni Lombardi & you

  10. WP5 By Month 7: Minimal Data Planning Requirements By Month 18: Handbook on planning methodologies By Month 36: Report on the pilot studies WP7 (sustainability) By Month 8: Technical recommandations version 1 By Month 20: Technical recommandations version 2 By Month 36: Final technical recommandations

  11. Version MDS 1a Version What Today, focus on a subset of the principles and targets listed yesterday that, within the priority one items, are the very obvious and feasible. Delivery: Minimal Data Set Month 7 During the Joint Action, focus on an additionnal subset of the principles and targets listed yesterday taking main number of priority one items on board Delivery: Together with the handbook on methodology Month 18 Together with WP7, listing the most important proposed enhancement to the methodology and the data set which could be subjects for future actions Delivery : Within the final recommendation Month 36 What MDS 1b MDS 2

  12. We need to agree on criteria's ! Assumption Real Life decision making process on a short (1-3) to mid-term (4-9) threat If validated, building of scenarios and evaluations Validation of the threat Civil Society calls for attention on a potential threat 1a 1a 1b & 2 1b & 2

  13. WP5 should focus to share current experience with non planning countries WP5: Planning decisions with visible impact Slow healthcare context evolutions WP6: Planning scenarios with long term impact Healthcare context evolutions (medium to fast)

  14. 1a should: Be feasible Allow the identification of acute overall shortages 1a should not Take into account International reporting requirements

  15. 1a Identify high level shortage vs. overall evaluation demand of Healthcare Monitor overall coverage 1a 1b Identify detailed shortage Monitor geographical variances of coverage Identify if in land production meets the needs Identify major costs aspects of HWF First evaluation on impact of shortages on quality 1b 2 2 Impact on scenario like skills transfert Impact on scenario on coverage Impact on scenario on updating the in-land production Evaluate effectiveness & cost vs. Results Balance between primary care & Specialized care International migration aspects

  16. Now: 2 Groups (same composition as yesterday Ragnar & Lieve / group A Giovanni & Achille / group B Objective : Discuss the proposed split & criteria s Then: Plenary reconciliation And after the break 3 groups populating 1a and 1b list of data

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