Aquaculture Adapting to Climate Change: Insights and Strategies

Projected changes to
aquaculture
Based on…….
Outline
Freshwater aquaculture (tilapia, milkfish,
freshwater prawn)
Vulnerability of freshwater aquaculture
Coastal aquaculture (marine shrimp, marine
ornamentals)
Vulnerability of coastal aquaculture
Cage culture
Household subsistence
production
Tilapia
Food security
Cage culture
Semi-intensive
ponds
Aquaponics
PNG - 10-15,00
0
households with
tilapia farms
Tilapia
Livelihoods
Tilapia
Tilapia farming is expanding in the region
PNG  10-15,00
0
 households
Fiji produces 200-300 tonnes per year
Vanuatu 65-70 tonnes p.a., hatchery established
Samoa has 25 farms
Hatchery-based culture
Hatchery-based culture
(
(
M. rosenbergii)
Capture-based culture
Capture-based culture
(
(
M.  lar)
Freshwater prawn 
Macrobrachium
Fiji produces about 25 t per year
Vulnerability of freshwater aquaculture
Tilapia, freshwater prawn
Likely to benefit from
climate change
 Higher rainfall and
warmer temperatures
will allow farming in
more places and at
higher altitudes
Increased risks from flooding
Stratification from higher temperatures
causes de-oxygenation
Tilapia, freshwater prawn
How should we respond?
Build fish ponds to avoid more severe floods
Photo:  Avinash Singh
How should we respond?
I
ncrease aeration to
combat stratification
Conclusion
Freshwater pond aquaculture is likely to be
favoured by climate change
Source: Pickering et al. (2011)
Coastal aquaculture - livelihoods
Vulnerability of coastal aquaculture
Ocean acidification
Source: IPCC (2007), Ganachaud et al. (2011)
Temperature
Spatial variation
in temperature
increase
2035
2035
2100
2050*
* Based on B1 2100
Source: Lough et al. (2011) 
Sea-level rise
Expected to benefit in short term from higher temperatures
In the long-term, the main threats to shrimp culture are:
Sea-level rise
Ocean acidification
Pathogens
Scarcity of fishmeal?
Marine shrimp
Sea-level rise will make
it difficult to:
dry out ponds between
crops
harvest shrimp
Marine shrimp
Now: crop in progress
Now: pond preparation
Future: poor pond prep
.
Future: difficult to harvest
 
How should we adapt
Modify shrimp ponds to drain well
Effects  due  to:
Increased temperature
Ocean acidification
Greater runoff
More-intense cyclones
Giant clams and marine ornamentals
How should we adapt?
Grow-out animals at greater depth (cooler waters)
Identify sites where CO2 is reduced
Outlook for coastal aquaculture
Conclusion
Scope for development over next 30-40 years
Production efficiency is likely to be reduced
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Aquaculture faces evolving challenges due to climate change. Freshwater and coastal aquaculture, focusing on tilapia, milkfish, freshwater prawn, and marine species, are explored. The vulnerability of aquaculture is highlighted, along with potential benefits and risks posed by climate change. Strategies to mitigate risks, such as building fish ponds and increasing aeration, are suggested. Ultimately, freshwater pond aquaculture emerges as a favored industry in adapting to climate fluctuations.

  • Aquaculture
  • Climate Change
  • Freshwater
  • Coastal
  • Vulnerability

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Presentation Transcript


  1. Projected changes to aquaculture

  2. Based on.

  3. Outline Freshwater aquaculture (tilapia, milkfish, freshwater prawn) Vulnerability of freshwater aquaculture Coastal aquaculture (marine shrimp, marine ornamentals) Vulnerability of coastal aquaculture

  4. Tilapia Food security Cage culture Household subsistence production

  5. Tilapia Livelihoods Cage culture Semi-intensive ponds Aquaponics

  6. Tilapia Tilapia farming is expanding in the region PNG 10-15,000 households Fiji produces 200-300 tonnes per year Vanuatu 65-70 tonnes p.a., hatchery established Samoa has 25 farms

  7. Freshwater prawn Macrobrachium Hatchery-based culture (M. rosenbergii) Capture-based culture (M. lar) Fiji produces about 25 t per year

  8. Vulnerability of freshwater aquaculture

  9. Tilapia, freshwater prawn Likely to benefit from climate change Higher rainfall and warmer temperatures will allow farming in more places and at higher altitudes

  10. Tilapia, freshwater prawn Increased risks from flooding Stratification from higher temperatures causes de-oxygenation

  11. How should we respond? Build fish ponds to avoid more severe floods Photo: Avinash Singh

  12. How should we respond? Increase aeration to combat stratification

  13. Conclusion Freshwater pond aquaculture is likely to be favoured by climate change Source: Pickering et al. (2011)

  14. Coastal aquaculture - livelihoods

  15. Vulnerability of coastal aquaculture

  16. Ocean acidification Source: IPCC (2007), Ganachaud et al. (2011)

  17. Temperature 2035 2050* Spatial variation in temperature increase 2035 2100 Source: Lough et al. (2011) * Based on B1 2100

  18. Sea-level rise Projection 2035 2050 2100 IPCC 8 cm 18-38 cm 23-51 cm Semi-empirical 20-30 cm 70-110 cm 90-140 cm

  19. Marine shrimp Expected to benefit in short term from higher temperatures In the long-term, the main threats to shrimp culture are: Sea-level rise Ocean acidification Pathogens Scarcity of fishmeal?

  20. Marine shrimp Now: crop in progress Now: pond preparation Sea-level rise will make it difficult to: dry out ponds between crops Future: poor pond prep. harvest shrimp Future: difficult to harvest

  21. How should we adapt Modify shrimp ponds to drain well

  22. Giant clams and marine ornamentals 2035 2050 2100 Effects due to: Increased temperature Ocean acidification Greater runoff More-intense cyclones

  23. How should we adapt? Grow-out animals at greater depth (cooler waters) Identify sites where CO2 is reduced

  24. Outlook for coastal aquaculture

  25. Conclusion Scope for development over next 30-40 years Production efficiency is likely to be reduced

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