Uncertainty quantification - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


FragPipe: One-Stop Proteomics Data Analysis Suite

FragPipe offers a comprehensive solution for DDA and DIA bottom-up proteomics analysis, supporting various advanced functionalities such as closed and open searches, FDR estimation, PTM discovery, and label-free quantification. It simplifies deep-learning-based rescoring and provides an easy-to-use

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Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle in Elementary Quantum Mechanics

Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, proposed by German scientist Werner Heisenberg in 1927, states the impossibility of simultaneously and accurately determining the position and momentum of microscopic particles like electrons. This principle challenges classical concepts of definite position and m

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Introduction to Predicate Logic in Mathematics

Predicate logic is a powerful tool used in mathematics to express complex relationships and assertions that cannot be adequately represented by propositional logic. It allows for the quantification of statements over a range of elements using predicates and quantifiers like universal and existential

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Measurement Uncertainty in Testing: Essentials and Guidelines

Measurement uncertainty in testing is a crucial aspect that characterizes the dispersion of values attributed to a measurand. This uncertainty plays a key role in reporting accurate test results, requiring careful evaluation of all significant contributions. The ISO/IEC Guide 98 GUM provides essenti

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GridPIQ Web Calculator for Grid Project Impact Quantification

Explore the Grid Project Impact Quantification Tool (GridPIQ) for assessing impacts of grid projects, visualizing time series, comparing assumptions, and more. Quickly input data and analyze scenarios for energy storage, PV, emissions, and peak power impacts using this intuitive online tool.

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Managing Tension Between Creativity and Efficiency: A Framework for Uncertainty in Innovation

Explore the tension between creativity and efficiency in innovation through Pearsons' Uncertainty Map (1991), which categorizes uncertainty about ends and means. The map helps analyze uncertainty in various innovation processes, from exploratory research to improving existing products, offering insi

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Development of Cumulative Fission Yield Covariances for Uncertainty Quantification

This study by A.A. Sonzogni and E.A. McCutchan focuses on developing cumulative fission yield covariances for uncertainty quantification in nuclear reactors. The research involves calculating cumulative fission yields, using decay data and nuclear databases, to improve accuracy in predicting fission

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Uncertainty in Cryptocurrency Returns: An Analysis Using Copula Approach

Amidst the rise of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, this study by Dr. Ur Koumba explores the relationship between uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns using a Copula-based approach. The research delves into the impact of uncertainty on the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, shedding light

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Advancing Computational Modeling for National Security and Climate Missions

Irina Tezaur leads the Quantitative Modeling & Analysis Department, focusing on computational modeling and simulation of complex multi-scale, multi-physics problems. Her work benefits DOE nuclear weapons, national security, and climate missions. By employing innovative techniques like model order re

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Update on O2 CO2 Calibration Uncertainty Review

Reviewing the O2 CO2 calibration uncertainty, recent updates include identifying beam clipping on the reflection photodiode, switching to the transmitted photodiode, correcting time-dependent errors, and reducing overall uncertainty budget to primarily statistical uncertainty. Data and scripts used

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Uncertainty and Precommitment in Social Dilemmas

This research explores the impact of uncertainty and precommitment on social dilemmas, specifically focusing on the Interdependent Security (IDS) scenario. It investigates how precommitment influences investment rates and decision-making in situations involving stochastic losses and risky investment

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Transaction Cost Approach to Make-or-Buy Decisions

This study explores the influences of supplier market competition, volume uncertainty, technological uncertainty, and production costs on make-or-buy decisions. Transaction cost economics theory highlights the impact of uncertainty and asset specificity on such decisions, with a focus on buyer-suppl

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Economic Uncertainty: A Global Perspective

Explore the sources of economic, social, and political uncertainty at regional and global levels. Discuss the rising tide of uncontrollable uncertainty and its implications for public policy and communities. Delve into economic globalization, social fragmentation, and the challenges posed by a world

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UV-Vis Spectroscopy and Electronic Transitions

UV-Vis spectroscopy involves the absorption of electromagnetic radiation by molecules, causing electronic transitions. Different chromophores and conjugated systems determine the wavelength absorbed, with the Beer-Lambert Law essential for quantification. Specific compounds like caffeine showcase un

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Uncertainty in Bayesian Reasoning and Decision Making

Explore the concepts of uncertainty in Bayesian reasoning, including probabilistic effects, multiple causes, and incomplete knowledge. Understand decision-making under uncertainty through rational behavior principles. Delve into scenarios involving alarm systems and predicting outcomes based on prob

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Effective Mind Management Skills Workshop for Overcoming Uncertainty

Explore the concept of worry and uncertainty in the mind management skills workshop. Understand the vicious cycle of worry, practice skills to manage worry effectively, and review your progress through homework assignments. Discover how worry is a response to uncertainty and learn strategies to brea

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Strategies Used by General Practitioners to Manage Uncertainty in Practice

General Practitioners (GPs) encounter uncertainty in their practice and utilize various strategies to address it. These strategies include safety netting, seeking advice from colleagues, sharing uncertainty with patients, review/follow-up processes, investigations, building rapport, and more. Collea

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Sampling Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Overview

Sampling uncertainty arises due to variations in sample values, impacting statistical estimates. Larger samples reduce uncertainty, providing more precise estimates. Adequate sample sizes are crucial, especially for comparing different groups or magnitudes of effects. By quantifying uncertainty, res

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Uncertainty Quantification: A Comprehensive Overview

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial in determining likely outcomes in scenarios with unknown factors. Explore the concept through the Algae Example, where parameters like growth rates pose challenges due to uncertainty. Statistical techniques like MCMC and the DRAM algorithm play key roles in

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Reliability Analysis of Multi-State Systems in Engineering

Analysis by Elena Zaitseva on the quantification of uncertainty in the behavior of multi-state systems, including binary-state and multiple-state systems. Discusses the principal problem in reliability engineering, the quantification of system models, and the structure function defining system perfo

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Managing Uncertainty in Demand Planning: Tools and Techniques

Uncertainty in demand planning can lead to inefficiencies in the supply chain. This course covers various tools and techniques to manage demand, supply, and lead time variability, reducing costs and optimizing operations. Learn to recognize and address causes of uncertainty, apply forecasting techni

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Confidence, Uncertainty, Risk, and Decision-Making in Engineering Design

This presentation explores the intricate relationship between confidence, uncertainty, and risk in decision-making processes within engineering design studies. It highlights the importance of considering various perspectives and evaluating potential risks and benefits to make informed decisions. The

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Analyzing Uncertainty's Impact on Investment Decisions in Real Options Framework

This study by Konstantinos Drakos explores the relationship between uncertainty and investment decisions in a real options framework using plant-level data from Greece. It reveals a negative correlation between uncertainty and the investment extensive margin, suggesting a wait-and-see strategy in am

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Assessment and Quantification of HF Radar Uncertainty

This project focuses on assessing and quantifying uncertainty in High Frequency (HF) radar measurements, with key areas including sensitivity analysis and data record discussions. The team, comprised of experts from IBM, Rutgers, and ODU, aims to provide real-time ocean circulation forecasts for mar

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Uncertainty Estimation in Hydrology: Incorporating Physical Knowledge in Stochastic Modeling

The presentation discusses the longstanding issue of uncertainty estimation in hydrology and the importance of incorporating physical knowledge in stochastic modeling of uncertain systems. It highlights the role of expert judgment and how uncertainty will always be present in hydrological assessment

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Enhancing Nuclear Data Pipeline for Improved Simulation Quality

Efforts to enhance the nuclear data pipeline focus on providing high-quality nuclear physics parameters for simulation community, incorporating uncertainty studies, theory evaluations, and software improvements. Recent endeavors include evaluation of 239Pu, uncertainty quantification, processing and

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Uncertainty in Health Measurements

Concept of uncertainty in health measurements is crucial for ensuring accuracy in diagnostic processes. This involves factors such as within-run precision, between-run precision, calibrator coverage, mean calculations, standard deviation, and expanded uncertainty. Proper calibration, repeated testin

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Measuring Uncertainty in the Financial Sector: Insights and Challenges

The paper explores the concept of uncertainty in the financial sector, proposing a novel measure using expectation errors of managers. It discusses the impact of uncertainty on economic activity, drawing from relevant literature and financial services survey data. The study aims to address the lack

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Taming Uncertainty through Bayesian Networks

In Chapters 13 and 14 of Artificial Intelligence, explore how agents handle uncertainty with degrees of belief and probabilistic reasoning. Discover the use of probability theory in building network models to reason under uncertainty. Delve into topics like conditional probabilities, Bayesian networ

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Micro-economic Linkages Between Uncertainty and Investments

This content delves into the interlinkages between uncertainty and investments at a micro-economic level, focusing on the impact of global economic policy uncertainty on investment flows. It highlights the relationship between uncertainty and investments in both advanced and emerging economies, disc

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Experimental Considerations for Library Construction: Input Material & Quality Control

This content provides insights into experimental considerations for library construction, focusing on input material quantification, quality control methods, and considerations for DNA, RNA, and ChIP-Seq library preparation. It covers topics such as methods for DNA and RNA quantification, optimal in

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Logic as a Tool: Quantification with David Gries

Delve into the complexities of quantification in logic with David Gries, a Professor Emeritus in Computer Science at Cornell University. Explore the nuances of quantification, discussing notation, evaluation, and permissible operators. Gain insights into foundational axioms and theorems as you devel

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**Differential Statistics Tutorial with Skyline: Chromatography-Based Quantification and Group Comparisons**

In this tutorial webinar, hosted by Brendan MacLean, delve into DDA to Targeted statistics using Skyline. Explore chromatography-based quantification, hypothesis testing, and group comparisons in mass spectrometry data analysis. Uncover insights from a case study, learn about sample preparation, and

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Surrogate Modeling for Fission Cross Sections using Artificial Neural Networks

This work explores the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) in surrogate modeling for fission cross sections and criticality studies within the nuclear domain. Leveraging past simulations and data-driven ML techniques, the goal is to reduce the costs of uncertainty quantification, identi

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Introducing Grid Project Impacts Quantification Web Calculator

Grid Project Impacts Quantification Web Calculator, presented by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, offers a user-friendly tool to ask 'what if?' questions, compare scenarios, and assess the impacts of grid projects. With intuitive functionalities, users can explore assumptions, visualize time s

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Evaluation of Complex Measurement Uncertainty in Methane Discharge from Coal Mining Ventilation Shaft

This study focuses on evaluating the impact of complex measurement uncertainty on the volume of methane discharged through a ventilation shaft in the hard coal mining industry. The research covers the methodology for measuring air flow rate and methane concentration, determination of complex measure

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Principles of Artificial Intelligence: Basics of Probability & Uncertainty

Explore the fundamentals of probability and uncertainty in the context of artificial intelligence, covering topics such as acting under uncertainty, probability models, belief states, uncertain beliefs, dental diagnosis, reasoning under uncertainty, and probability basics.

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Advanced Techniques in Uncertainty Quantification and Analytical Modeling

Explore cutting-edge techniques in Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) and Analytical Modeling (AM) for quantitative assessment of uncertainties, generation of response surfaces, leveraging PSUADE and Dakota toolkits, MARS algorithm, and resource allocation choices in a global computing environment.

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Communicating Uncertainty in Science Teams

Discover the challenges and strategies for effectively communicating uncertainty in scientific products within teams. Join the Uncertainty Working Group as they share their achievements, plans, and the burning question every CMS science team member wants to address. Explore the sources of uncertaint

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Transaction Cost Approach for Make-or-Buy Decisions

Explore the transaction cost approach in make-or-buy decisions, analyzing factors like supplier market competition, volume uncertainty, technological uncertainty, and comparative production costs. Understand the impact of uncertainty and asset specificity on decision-making processes, emphasizing th

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