Uncertainty intervals - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


Understanding 95% Confidence Intervals in Statistics

Confidence intervals are a key concept in statistics that provide a range within which the true value of an estimate is likely to fall. This video series explores the interpretation of 95% CIs, compares them to standard error and standard deviation, and explains how sample size and standard deviatio

1 views • 8 slides


Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle in Elementary Quantum Mechanics

Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, proposed by German scientist Werner Heisenberg in 1927, states the impossibility of simultaneously and accurately determining the position and momentum of microscopic particles like electrons. This principle challenges classical concepts of definite position and m

0 views • 49 slides



Understanding Bayesian Reasoning and Decision Making with Uncertainty

Exploring Bayesian reasoning principles such as Bayesian inference and Naïve Bayes algorithm in the context of uncertainty. The content covers the sources of uncertainty, decision-making strategies, and practical examples like predicting alarm events based on probabilities.

0 views • 32 slides


Understanding Confidence Intervals in Statistics

Confidence intervals provide a range of plausible values for a parameter, increasing our confidence in the estimate. In this context, you will learn to interpret confidence intervals, determine point estimates and margins of error, and make decisions based on confidence intervals. The concept is ess

0 views • 13 slides


RRM Measurement Relaxation for UE Power Saving in 3GPP Meeting #94ebis

This document discusses methods for relaxing RRM measurements to save power in UE devices during idle/inactive states. It covers scenarios with low mobility, non-cell edge, and combinations, suggesting options like longer measurement intervals and relaxing neighbor cell measurement requirements. The

0 views • 7 slides


Understanding Real Analysis: Intervals, Bounds, and Problem-solving

Explore the concepts of intervals and bounds in real analysis, including open and closed intervals, semi-closed intervals, least upper bound, and greatest lower bound. Learn how to solve problems based on intervals and bounded sets through detailed explanations and examples.

0 views • 11 slides


Understanding Real Analysis: Intervals, Bounds, and Problem Solving

Explore the world of real analysis through intervals, bounds, and problem-solving techniques. Learn about open intervals, closed intervals, semi-closed intervals, infinite intervals, least upper bound, greatest lower bound, and solve problems based on intervals and bounded sets. Enhance your underst

0 views • 11 slides


Understanding Measurement Uncertainty in Testing: Essentials and Guidelines

Measurement uncertainty in testing is a crucial aspect that characterizes the dispersion of values attributed to a measurand. This uncertainty plays a key role in reporting accurate test results, requiring careful evaluation of all significant contributions. The ISO/IEC Guide 98 GUM provides essenti

1 views • 18 slides


Optimizing Calibration Intervals Using Weibull Analysis at Eli Lilly

Eli Lilly implements Weibull analysis to determine optimal calibration intervals, highlighting the importance of avoiding excessive preventive maintenance, addressing infant mortality issues, and accurately identifying out-of-tolerance issues to enhance equipment reliability. The company's robust me

0 views • 36 slides


Understanding the Fibonacci Method for Function Optimization

The Fibonacci method offers a systematic approach to finding the minimum of a function even if it's not continuous. By utilizing a sequence of Fibonacci numbers, this method helps in narrowing down the interval of uncertainty to determine the optimal solution through a series of experiments. Despite

1 views • 19 slides


Managing Tension Between Creativity and Efficiency: A Framework for Uncertainty in Innovation

Explore the tension between creativity and efficiency in innovation through Pearsons' Uncertainty Map (1991), which categorizes uncertainty about ends and means. The map helps analyze uncertainty in various innovation processes, from exploratory research to improving existing products, offering insi

3 views • 42 slides


Exploring Confidence Intervals Using Hershey's Kisses

Dive into the world of confidence intervals by conducting an engaging activity with Hershey's Kisses. Students drop cups of Kisses to determine the proportion of them landing on their base. The activity involves data collection, calculation of intervals, and graphing results to understand statistica

0 views • 7 slides


Development of Cumulative Fission Yield Covariances for Uncertainty Quantification

This study by A.A. Sonzogni and E.A. McCutchan focuses on developing cumulative fission yield covariances for uncertainty quantification in nuclear reactors. The research involves calculating cumulative fission yields, using decay data and nuclear databases, to improve accuracy in predicting fission

0 views • 5 slides


Hypothesis Testing and Confidence Intervals in Econometrics

This chapter delves into hypothesis testing and confidence intervals in econometrics, covering topics such as testing regression coefficients, forming confidence intervals, using the central limit theorem, and presenting regression model results. It explains how to establish null and alternative hyp

1 views • 24 slides


Uncertainty in Cryptocurrency Returns: An Analysis Using Copula Approach

Amidst the rise of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, this study by Dr. Ur Koumba explores the relationship between uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns using a Copula-based approach. The research delves into the impact of uncertainty on the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, shedding light

0 views • 17 slides


Exploring Patterns and Probabilities of Heavy Rainfall in Forecasting

Known patterns and models exist for heavy rainfall forecasting, but uncertainty remains. Ensembles and probabilities help manage this uncertainty. Sharp edges in precipitation shields are key, with models improving to anticipate these features more accurately. Understanding the dynamics of edges can

0 views • 28 slides


Understanding Uncertainties in Direct Radiative Forcing of Aerosols

The uncertainties in the direct radiative forcing of aerosols can be assessed by considering factors such as emissions, lifetime, Mass Absorption Cross Section (MAC), Aerosol Absorption Optical Depth (AAOD), and forcing efficiency. Variations in these factors contribute to the overall uncertainty in

0 views • 9 slides


Understanding Estimation and Confidence Intervals in Statistics

Explore the concepts of point estimates and interval estimates in statistics. Learn how to construct confidence intervals for the mean and proportion, consider the finite population correction factor, choose an appropriate sample size, and calculate confidence levels using known population standard

0 views • 25 slides


Gaussian Statistics and Confidence Intervals in Population Sampling

Explore Gaussian statistics in population sampling scenarios, understanding Z-based limit testing and confidence intervals. Learn about statistical tests such as F-tests and t-tests through practical examples like fish weight and cholesterol level measurements. Master the calculation of confidence i

0 views • 8 slides


Update on O2 CO2 Calibration Uncertainty Review

Reviewing the O2 CO2 calibration uncertainty, recent updates include identifying beam clipping on the reflection photodiode, switching to the transmitted photodiode, correcting time-dependent errors, and reducing overall uncertainty budget to primarily statistical uncertainty. Data and scripts used

0 views • 13 slides


Well Re-Completion and Evaluation Summary for AKAKOCA-1 Platform: Overview of Operations and Pay Intervals

This detailed summary covers the re-completion, log evaluation, and perforation carried out on the AKAKOCA-1 platform on 26th October 2023. It includes information on the well location, trajectory, gas pay intervals, sand intervals (C, B, A, and AA), along with gas percentages, resistivity, and flui

0 views • 15 slides


Understanding Prediction and Confidence Intervals in Meta-Analysis

Conceptually, I-squared represents the proportion of total variation due to true differences between studies, while Proportion of total variance is due to random effects. Prediction intervals provide a range where study outcomes are expected, unlike confidence intervals which contain the parameter's

0 views • 26 slides


Uncertainty and Precommitment in Social Dilemmas

This research explores the impact of uncertainty and precommitment on social dilemmas, specifically focusing on the Interdependent Security (IDS) scenario. It investigates how precommitment influences investment rates and decision-making in situations involving stochastic losses and risky investment

0 views • 56 slides


Transaction Cost Approach to Make-or-Buy Decisions

This study explores the influences of supplier market competition, volume uncertainty, technological uncertainty, and production costs on make-or-buy decisions. Transaction cost economics theory highlights the impact of uncertainty and asset specificity on such decisions, with a focus on buyer-suppl

0 views • 10 slides


Exploring Economic Uncertainty: A Global Perspective

Explore the sources of economic, social, and political uncertainty at regional and global levels. Discuss the rising tide of uncontrollable uncertainty and its implications for public policy and communities. Delve into economic globalization, social fragmentation, and the challenges posed by a world

0 views • 20 slides


Understanding Probability and Planning Under Uncertainty

Probability plays a crucial role in decision-making under uncertainty, where factors like laziness, ignorance, and randomness influence outcomes. This lecture covers key concepts in probability, including outcomes, events, random variables, and conditional independence. It also delves into the chall

0 views • 42 slides


Understanding Uncertainty with Estimation and Standard Error

Explore the concept of estimating with uncertainty, focusing on calculating a mean and using standard error to describe the uncertainty in that mean. Delve into human height, a variable described by a normal distribution, to understand how samples may deviate from the true mean. Discover sampling er

0 views • 13 slides


Confidence Intervals and Interval Estimation in Statistics

Understanding how to compute confidence intervals is crucial in statistics to estimate parameters accurately. Confidence intervals are constructed based on sample size, mean estimate, estimated standard error, and chosen level of confidence. Using the Student-T distribution for sampling distribution

0 views • 14 slides


Uncertainty in Bayesian Reasoning and Decision Making

Explore the concepts of uncertainty in Bayesian reasoning, including probabilistic effects, multiple causes, and incomplete knowledge. Understand decision-making under uncertainty through rational behavior principles. Delve into scenarios involving alarm systems and predicting outcomes based on prob

0 views • 32 slides


Effective Mind Management Skills Workshop for Overcoming Uncertainty

Explore the concept of worry and uncertainty in the mind management skills workshop. Understand the vicious cycle of worry, practice skills to manage worry effectively, and review your progress through homework assignments. Discover how worry is a response to uncertainty and learn strategies to brea

0 views • 21 slides


Strategies Used by General Practitioners to Manage Uncertainty in Practice

General Practitioners (GPs) encounter uncertainty in their practice and utilize various strategies to address it. These strategies include safety netting, seeking advice from colleagues, sharing uncertainty with patients, review/follow-up processes, investigations, building rapport, and more. Collea

0 views • 35 slides


Understanding Sampling Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Overview

Sampling uncertainty arises due to variations in sample values, impacting statistical estimates. Larger samples reduce uncertainty, providing more precise estimates. Adequate sample sizes are crucial, especially for comparing different groups or magnitudes of effects. By quantifying uncertainty, res

0 views • 27 slides


Understanding Uncertainty Quantification: A Comprehensive Overview

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial in determining likely outcomes in scenarios with unknown factors. Explore the concept through the Algae Example, where parameters like growth rates pose challenges due to uncertainty. Statistical techniques like MCMC and the DRAM algorithm play key roles in

0 views • 13 slides


Managing Uncertainty in Demand Planning: Tools and Techniques

Uncertainty in demand planning can lead to inefficiencies in the supply chain. This course covers various tools and techniques to manage demand, supply, and lead time variability, reducing costs and optimizing operations. Learn to recognize and address causes of uncertainty, apply forecasting techni

0 views • 31 slides


Understanding Risk and Uncertainty in Insurance Markets

Explore the concept of risk and uncertainty in insurance markets, with insights on the definitions, expected value calculations, and practical examples like daily number bets and roulette. Gain a deeper understanding of how risk and uncertainty play crucial roles in decision-making and financial out

0 views • 54 slides


Understanding Confidence Intervals and Point Estimates in Statistics

Explore how confidence intervals are constructed around point estimates such as sample mean in statistics. Learn the significance of confidence levels and how to develop confidence intervals using practical examples. Follow step-by-step instructions to analyze data and interpret results for populati

0 views • 20 slides


Understanding Confidence, Uncertainty, Risk, and Decision-Making in Engineering Design

This presentation explores the intricate relationship between confidence, uncertainty, and risk in decision-making processes within engineering design studies. It highlights the importance of considering various perspectives and evaluating potential risks and benefits to make informed decisions. The

0 views • 21 slides


Understanding Confidence Intervals in Statistics for Engineers

Exploring confidence intervals in statistical analysis, particularly focusing on providing confidence intervals for sample means, normal distributions, exponential means, and indicator samples. The concept of confidence intervals and their importance in interpreting data accurately are discussed wit

0 views • 22 slides


Computing Tolerance Intervals in JMP: An Add-In for Efficient Data Analysis

Tolerance intervals play a crucial role in statistical analysis, especially in industries like pharmaceuticals. This article introduces an add-in in JMP for computing tolerance intervals, highlighting the significance of understanding and interpreting these intervals correctly. The tool aims to simp

0 views • 4 slides


Analyzing Uncertainty's Impact on Investment Decisions in Real Options Framework

This study by Konstantinos Drakos explores the relationship between uncertainty and investment decisions in a real options framework using plant-level data from Greece. It reveals a negative correlation between uncertainty and the investment extensive margin, suggesting a wait-and-see strategy in am

0 views • 21 slides