Understanding Decision-Making in Thermal Soaring

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Explore the intersection of bounded rationality, risk strategy, and cognitive psychology in thermal soaring, analyzing how glider pilots manage risk and make decisions during flights. From glider basics to risk management techniques, uncover the cognitive processes behind successful soaring expeditions.


Uploaded on Oct 06, 2024 | 0 Views


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  1. Bounded Rationality and Risk Strategy in Thermal Soaring Daniel Sazhin, John Bird and Jack W. Langelaan

  2. Agenda What is a glider? Why is soaring interesting from a decision- making perspective? How does risk work in the sport? How can we manage it (as humans!) How do these findings relate to cognitive psychology?

  3. What Is a Glider?

  4. What is Soaring?

  5. Thermal Soaring

  6. Cross-Country Soaring

  7. Glider Competitions

  8. Risk Management vs. Efficiency

  9. Landouts!

  10. Landouts!

  11. Soaring as a Decision-Making Game

  12. Risk Management

  13. Assessing Risk in the Cockpit

  14. Decision Frames

  15. Decision Frames

  16. Monte Carlo Simulations

  17. Reliable Conditions

  18. Unreliable Conditions

  19. Risk Management

  20. Bounded Optimality Solving a complex problem using cognitive psychology. Normative model using empirical insights. Bifurcating maximizing reward and minimizing risk via heuristics. Decision-making frames in prioritizing gains/losses. Ordering of lines using frames, maximizing expected value of result.

  21. Thanks for Listening!

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