Real-time Lightning Flash Prediction Research Update

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Experimental lightning flash prediction based on initial conditions for Day 1, including total lightning flash counts and hourly accumulated data with maximum reflectivity overlays. Day 2 forecast updates coming soon. Prepared by the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology.

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Disclaimer The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use only.

EXPERIMENTAL LIGHTNING FLASH PREDICTION Real-time forecast based on INITIAL CONDITION (IC): 02062019 0000UTC (GFS T1534) WRF (With DLP-scheme)- 3 km resolution Note: Includes Day1 (02062019) Prepared by: Greeshma M. Mohan, K Gayatri Vani, Anupam Hazra, Chandrima Mallick and Team for Lightning/TS forecast, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Ministry of Earth Sciences, India.

24 hr Accumulated Total Lightning Flash Counts (Day1)

3 hourly Accumulated Total Lightning Flash Count (Max. Reflectivity overlaid) 3 hourly Accumulated Total Lightning Flash Count (Max. Reflectivity overlaid) 3 hourly Accumulated Total Lightning Flash Count (Max. Reflectivity overlaid)

3 hourly Accumulated Total Lightning Flash Count (Max. Reflectivity overlaid) 3 hourly Accumulated Total Lightning Flash Count (Max. Reflectivity overlaid) 3 hourly Accumulated Total Lightning Flash Count (Max. Reflectivity overlaid)