Essex Police and Crime Plan 2016-2021 Monthly Performance Update September 2021
Four of the seven PFCC Priorities for Essex Police have been graded as Good, while three priorities require improvement. Crime rates fluctuated due to COVID-19 restrictions, with a decrease in all crime but an increase in Violence with Injury. Anti-Social Behaviour incidents were lower in September 2021 compared to previous years. Confidence in local police increased, and there was a rise in Modern Slavery referrals. Essex Police was recognized with two Gold Awards for innovative practices and service transformation.
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Police and Crime Plan 2016-2021 Monthly Performance Update September 2021 National and MSG positions are to 31 July 2021 (Essex Police data are to 30 September 2021). Version 1.7 Produced October 2021 Performance Analysis Unit, Essex Police Sensitivity: Official
Executive Summary Four of the seven PFCC Priorities for Essex Police have been given a recommended grade of Good . Recommended grades have been determined with reference to comparisons with Essex Police s Most Similar Group (MSG) of forces, Key Performance Indicators (KPIs), and professional judgement. Three of the seven PFCC priorities 3 (Breaking the cycle of Domestic Abuse), 4 (Tackling Gangs and Serious Violence) and 6 (Protecting children and vulnerable people) have been given a recommended grade of Requires Improvement . The level of improvement required to reach Good have been added to the narrative for each priority. All Crime fell by 3.3% for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020; this equates to 5,268 fewer offences. This decrease has been primarily influenced by the Government s restrictions on gathering and movement in relation to COVID-19. Each change in the rules relating to social distancing has affected the number of All Crime offences reported to Essex Police.* There was a 1.4% increase in All Crime in September 2021 compared to September 2019 (13,998 September 2021 v. 13,804 September 2019). The Force recorded 3,438 more offences in September 2021 than in April 2020 (10,560 offences), when the Government implemented the first lockdown; this equates to 32.6% more offences. The Force recorded 570 more Violence with Injury (VWI) offences (65.1% increase) in September 2021 compared to April 2020 (1,445 v. 875 offences). The number of VWI offences recorded in September 2021 was higher than the number recorded before COVID restrictions were introduced; compared with September 2019, there was an 18.4% increase (225 more crimes). There were 31.7% fewer reports of Anti-Social Behaviour (ASB) in September 2021 (2,618 incidents) compared to September 2020 (3,831 incidents). Since March 2020, the number of ASB incidents reported has generally been higher when tighter restrictions have been implemented by the Government, and lower when restrictions have been eased. The average daily number of ASB incidents was 1.8% lower in September 2021 (ave. 87 incidents) compared to August 2021 (ave. 89 incidents). ASB incidents in September 2021 were also 22.2% lower compared to pre-COVID levels; there were 748 fewer incidents in September 2021 compared to September 2019 (3,366 incidents). September 2021 experienced the lowest number of ASB incidents recorded per month since April 2017 (2,618 incidents). Confidence (from the independent survey commissioned by Essex Police) is at 79.8% (results to the 12 months to June 2021). Compared to year ending June 2020, confidence in the local police increased by 10.1% points. There was an increase of 36.0% (41 more) Modern Slavery referrals in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the same period in 2019-20. Essex Police have worked towards increasing the number of referrals to achieve greater range and engagement with hard to access groups, thereby creating more opportunities to help vulnerable people. This has resulted in the number of referrals being higher in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the same period the previous year. Essex Police was awarded two Gold Awards in the Improvement and Efficiency Social Enterprise (iESE) Public Sector Transformation Awards, which celebrate the most innovative practices in transforming local public services. The first award, Police Force of the Year , was for transforming the Force to an organisation which is exceptional in respecting victims of crime by accurately recording offences, and with record levels of trust. The second award, the Customer Focus award, was for Operation HARRIER, which makes use of GPS technology to support vulnerable, high risk missing person living with Alzheimer s and Dementia who have previously been reported missing to the police. 2 * Please see table showing the affect of social distancing measures on pages 14 - 17.
Priority 1 - More local, visible and accessible policing Grade: Good 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Essex per 1,000 pop. MSG Ave per 1,000 pop. Essex MSG Position Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 # diff. 11.5 8 Number of all crime offences 168,237 158,951 153,683 -5,268 -3.3 83.6 72.1 Essex experienced a 3.3% decrease in All Crime (5,268 fewer offences) for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. This decrease in crime has been primarily influenced by the Government s restrictions on gathering and movement in relation to COVID-19. Essex is eighth in its Most Similar Group of forces (MSG) for crime per 1,000 population. Essex Police recorded a daily average of 467 crimes in September 2021, compared with an average of 450 crimes in August 2021. This equates to an increase of 3.6%. 13,998 offences were recorded in September 2021. This equates to an increase of 1.6% (224 more offences) compared to September 2020 (13,774 offences). There was a 1.4% increase in September 2021 compared to September 2019 (13,804 offences). Essex Police was awarded two Gold Awards in the Improvement and Efficiency Social Enterprise (iESE) Public Sector Transformation Awards, which celebrate the most innovative practices in transforming local public services. The first award, Police Force of the Year , was for transforming the Force to an organisation which is exceptional in respecting victims of crime by accurately recording offences, and with record levels of trust. The second award, the Customer Focus award, was for Operation HARRIER, which makes use of GPS technology to support vulnerable, high risk missing person living with Alzheimer s and Dementia who have previously been reported missing to the police. 3
Priority 1 - More local, visible and accessible policing Grade: Good 12 months to June 2019 12 months to June 2020 12 months to June 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 Percentage of people who have confidence in policing in Essex (internal survey) 66.7 1.1 69.7 1.0 79.8 0.9 10.1 - Confidence Interval Essex MSG Ave # diff. Essex MSG Position 12 months to March 2018 12 months to March 2019 12 months to March 2020 Number Difference 2019/20 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2019/20 55.1 1.6 -6.5 8 Confidence in the local police (Crime Survey of England and Wales)* 52.4 4.5 46.9 4.5 48.6 3.9 1.6 - 48.6 3.9 Confidence Interval Essex MSG Ave # diff. Essex MSG Position 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 11.1 1.9 7 Harm (Crime Severity) Score** v. Most Similar Group of Forces (MSG) - All Crime 13.3 71.6 13.0 78.5 13.0 80.8 - - - 13.0 Emergency response attendance within 15 mins (urban) or 20 mins (rural) (GOS %)*** 2.3 Confidence (from the independent survey commissioned by Essex Police) is at 79.8% (results to the 12 months to June 2021). Compared to year ending June 2020, confidence in the local police has significantly increased (an improvement of 10.1% points). The All Crime Harm (Crime Severity) Score** (13.0) places Essex seventh in its MSG. Essex Police s performance in relation to emergency response attendance within 15 minutes (urban) or 20 minutes (rural) has improved by 2.3 percentage points to 80.8% in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. This is above the 80% target. Due to the fact that the percentage of people who have confidence in policing in Essex has improved and the emergency response attendance is above the 80% target, a grade of Good is recommended. Please note: * Crime Survey of England and Wales data are no longer available at Force level. Data are for the 12 months to March 2020. ** Crime Severity Scores (as calculated by the Office for National Statistics) measure the relative harm of crimes by taking into account both their volume and their severity. Data are for the 12 months to July in all three years. *** Grade of Service. 4
Grade: Good Priority 2 - Crack down on anti-social behaviour 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 Number of anti-social behaviour incidents 43,010 48,361 50,849 2,488 5.1 Essex MSG Ave # diff. Essex MSG Position 12 months to March 2018 12 months to March 2019 12 months to March 2020 Number Difference 2019/20 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2019/20 4.8 1.4 -0.5 4 ASB Perception:- Perception that ASB is a problem (CSEW)* 11.0 5.4 3.3 2.5 4.3 2.9 1.0 - 4.3 2.9 Confidence Interval 12 months to June 2019 12 months to June 2020 12 months to June 2021 % pt. % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 Difference 2020/21 Percentage of people who have confidence Essex Police and the organisations they work with are dealing with ASB (internal survey) 64.5 69.4 69.8 0.4 - Confidence Interval 1.1 1.1 1.1 Essex experienced a 5.1% increase (2,488 more) in Anti-Social Behaviour (ASB) incidents for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. This increase was due to the COVID-19 restriction period, during which many additional reports were received that related to activities that were not previously considered to be ASB; examples include social gatherings and shops and businesses continuing to trade. Since March 2020 the number of ASB incidents reported has generally been higher when tighter restrictions were implemented by the Government, and lower when restrictions were eased. There was a decrease of 31.7% ASB reports in September 2021 compared to September 2020 (1,213 fewer incidents). The average daily number of ASB incidents decreased by 1.8% in September 2021 (87 incidents) compared to August 2021 (89 incidents). September 2021 experienced the lowest number of ASB incidents recorded per month since April 2017 (2,618 incidents). The number of ASB incidents for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2019 increased by 18.2% (7,839 more incidents). The results of Essex s independent survey in relation to how well residents perceive Essex Police and partner organisations to be dealing with ASB showed a slight improvement: 0.4% points. Due to the increase in public perception from the Essex independent survey, and the fact that the lowest monthly number of ASB incidents since pre-COVID were recorded in September 2021, a grade of Good is recommended. 5 Please note: * Crime Survey of England and Wales data are no longer available at Force level. Data are for the 12 months to March 2020.
Grade: Requires Improvement Priority 3 - Breaking the cycle of domestic abuse 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2019/20 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2019/20 Number of incidents of domestic abuse Number of repeat incidents of domestic abuse Number of domestic abuse arrests Number of Domestic Violence Protection Notices (DVPNs) and Protection Orders (DVPOs) 42,490 20,028 11,898 42,849 19,792 13,886 40,714 20,143 14,446 -2,135 351 560 -5.0 1.8 4.0 173 241 211 -30 -12.4 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 Total domestic abuse offences solved 3,127 776 1,017 1,121 3,499 755 956 1,605 3,015 702 646 1,516 -484 -53 -310 -89 -13.8 -7.0 -32.4 -5.5 High Risk domestic abuse offences solved Medium Risk domestic abuse offences solved Standard Risk domestic abuse offences solved Essex experienced a 5.0% decrease (2,135 fewer) in Domestic Abuse incidents but a 1.8% increase (351 more) in repeat incidents of Domestic Abuse for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. There was also a 4.0% increase (560 more) in Domestic Abuse arrests but a 12.4% decrease (30 fewer) in the number of Domestic Violence Protection Notices (DVPN) and Protection Orders (DVPO) issued in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. Domestic Abuse incidents in September 2021 were higher than at pre-COVID levels, with a 3.1% increase (111 more incidents) compared to September 2019. There was a 13.8% decrease (484 fewer) in the number of solved Domestic Abuse outcomes in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020 and a 3.6% decrease (112 fewer) compared to the 12 months to September 2019. Due to the fact that the number of DA solved offences has decreased for the fifth month in a row, a grade of Requires Improvement is recommended. In the past 12 months, on average 251 Domestic Abuse offences were solved each month. A Good grade required an average of 292 solved offences per month, put another way about 41 more solved offences were required each month. For DVPN/Os, an average of 18 were issued monthly in the last 12 months with an average of 20 needed to achieve a Good grade. 6
Grade: Requires Improvement Priority 4 Tackling gangs and serious violence Essex per 1,000 pop. MSG Ave per 1,000 pop. # diff. Essex MSG Position 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 0.002 -0.283 5 5 Number of homicides Number of violence with injury offences (new definition from Nov 2017) 19 60 23 -37 -829 -61.7 -5.6 0.011 7.532 0.009 7.815 15,214 14,725 13,896 37 fewer Homicides (to 23 offences) were recorded for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. The 12 months to September 2020 includes the tragic incident where 39 Vietnamese nationals were discovered in a lorry trailer in Grays in October 2019. Essex is fifth in its Most Similar Group (MSG) of forces for offences per 1,000 population, and is slightly higher than the MSG average. There were four Homicide offences in September 2021 compared to one offence in September 2020 and two offences in September 2019. There was a 5.6% decrease (829 fewer offences) in Violence with Injury offences for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. The average daily number of Violence with Injury offences was 48 for September 2021 and 43 for August 2021. 570 more offences (65.1%) were recorded in September 2021 (1,445 offences) compared to April 2020 (875 offences) when the Government first implemented national restrictions. The number of Violence with Injury offences decreased by 8.7% (1,318 fewer offences) in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2019. Essex is fifth in its MSG for Violence with Injury offences per 1,000 population, and is better than the MSG average. There was also a decrease in domestic abuse-related Violence with Injury (6.0% decrease, 348 fewer offences); 38.9% of Violence with Injury is domestic abuse-related. 7
Grade: Requires Improvement Priority 4 Tackling gangs and serious violence Essex MSG Ave # diff. Essex MSG Position 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 Harm (Crime Severity) Score* v. Most Similar Group of Forces (MSG) for Violence with Injury, Rape, Other Sexual Offences and Robbery of Personal Property Number of Violence with Injury, Rape, Other Sexual Offences and Robbery of Personal Property solved 7.7 7.7 8.4 - - 8.4 7.0 1.4 7 2,951 3,059 2,604 -455 -14.9 -63.1 -18.3 Stop and search for weapons Knife-enabled crime** 2,373 891 3,479 1,873 1,284 1,531 -2,195 -342 The combined harm (Crime Severity) score* (8.4) for Violence with Injury, Rape, Other Sexual Offences and Robbery of Personal Property places Essex seventh in its Most Similar Group of Forces (MSG). There was a 14.9% decrease (455 fewer) in the number of solved high harm offences (Violence with Injury, Rape, Other Sexual Offences and Robbery of Personal Property combined) in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. Please see page 19 for the numbers of solved for each category. There was a 63.1% decrease (2,195 fewer) in the number of stop and search for weapons in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. There was an 18.3% decrease (342 fewer) in the number of Knife-enabled crime offences in the 12 months to September 2021** compared to the 12 months to September 2020. The number of solved high harm offences decreased by 11.8% (347 fewer) in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2019. The number of stop and search for weapons also decreased by 45.9% (1,089 fewer) in the same period. Due to the fact that Essex is higher than the MSG average in the number of Homicides, and that the number of solved high harm offences has reduced, a grade of Requires Improvement is recommended. On average in the last 12 months, 217 High Harm offences were solved each month. A Good grade required a monthly average of 255 solved offences; put another way, about 38 more solved offences were required each month. Four fewer homicides in Essex in the last year would have been the equivalent of the average rate per 1,000 population in Essex s MSG. Please note: * Crime Severity Scores (as calculated by the Office for National Statistics) measure the relative harm of crimes by taking into account both their volume and their severity. Data are for the 12 months to July in all three years. ** The number of knife crime offences is an indicator of how effective Essex Police is at identifying knife-enabled offences, and is not necessarily reflective of the number of these offences that have been committed in the county. This is because the identification of these offences is reliant on the appropriate indicator being manually added to the crime record. A new data quality process was introduced in June 2020 and Essex Police is currently working with the National Data Quality Improvement Service (NDQIS) to revise knife crime flags. In September 2021, data from April 2019 was revised; this resulted in an increase in the number of offences recorded, particularly in the 2019/20 financial year. Whilst this has enabled Essex Police to better understand knife crime in Essex, the process has consequently inflated the figures. As such, no inferences can be drawn as to the current trend. 8
Priority 5 Disrupting and preventing organised crime Grade: Good 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 Number of Organised Criminal Group disruptions* Trafficking of drugs arrests 65 191 1,943 287 1,820 96 -123 50.3 -6.3 1,795 Essex experienced a 50.3% increase in Organised Crime Group (OCG) disruptions (96 more) for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. In January 2019 there was a change in the way in which the number of OCG disruptions were counted; this follows National Crime Agency (NCA) and Eastern Region Special Operations Unit (ERSOU) guidance to ensure that all forces record disruptions in the same way. Trafficking of drug arrests, which are primarily driven by police proactivity, decreased by 6.3% (123 fewer) for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. In the same period, 13.3% more trafficking of drugs offences have been recorded (150 more offences to 1,278). The number of trafficking of drug arrests increased by 1.4% (25 more) in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2019. Due to the increase in OCG disruptions, a grade of Good is recommended. * OCG disruptions are now reported quarterly. Data are to September 2021. Due to the change in recording in January 2019 it is not possible to compare the 12 months to September 2019 to the 12 months to September 2021. 9
Priority 6 - Protecting children & vulnerable people Grade: Requires Improvement 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 Number of child abuse outcomes Number of child abuse offences 240 4,770 5.0 2,066 60 365 5,491 6.6 2,018 114 327 5,925 5.5 2,350 155 -38 434 -1.1 332 41 -10.4 7.9 - 16.5 36.0 Child abuse solved rate Child Sexual Abuse/Exploitation investigations Modern Slavery referrals made to the National Referral Model (NRM)* Although there was a 16.5% increase (332 more) in the number of Child Sexual Abuse/Exploitation investigations in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020, there was a 10.4% decrease (38 fewer) in the number of solved Child Abuse Outcomes. 7.9% more Child Abuse offences (an increase of 434) were recorded in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. This increase in offences can be partly attributed to a rise in referrals from schools in the latter part of 2020. There was a 1.1% point decrease in the solved rate (from 6.6% to 5.5%). 155 Modern Slavery referrals were made in the 12 months to September 2021 compared with 114 in the 12 months to September 2020 (41 more). The number of child abuse outcomes increased by 36.3% (87 more outcomes) and the number of child abuse offences increased by 24.2% (1,155 more offences) in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2019. 13.7% more Child Sexual Abuse/Exploitation investigations (an increase of 284) were recorded in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2019. Due to the decrease in the number of child abuse outcomes and the increase of child abuse offences, a grade of Requires Improvement is recommended. On average in the last 12 months, 27 Child Abuse offences were solved each month. A Good grade required a monthly average of 30 solved offences over the past 12 months. * Due to a change in recording of Modern Slavery referrals in April 2019 it is not possible to compare the 12 months to September 2019 to the 12 months to September 2021. 10
Priority 7 - Improve safety on our roads Grade: Good # diff. Essex MSG Position 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Essex MSG Ave Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 (per 100 million km) Data to June 2020 (per 100 million km) Data to June 2020 Data to December 0.795 Data to December 0.652 0.144 6 All people killed or seriously injured (KSI) in road collisions Number of driving related mobile phone crime on Essex roads* 881 2,269 726 604 736 455 10 -149 1.4 -24.7 Number of driving under the influence of drink and/or drugs on Essex roads 3,487 1,394 1,706 387 4,310 1,465 2,382 463 2,954 1,299 1,303 352 -1,356 -166 -1,079 -111 -31.5 -11.3 -45.3 -24.0 Number of driving under the influence of drink on Essex roads Number of driving under the influence of drugs on Essex roads Number of Failure to Provide samples 12 months to Sep 2019 881 42 839 828 12 months to Sep 2020 726 48 678 677 12 months to Sep 2021 736 39 697 670 Number Difference 2020/21 10 -9 19 -7 % Rolling 12 months Difference 2020/21 1.4% -18.8% 2.8% -1.0% KSI - All KSI - Fatalities KSI - Serious injuries Number of Collisions There was a 1.4% increase (10 more) in the number of those Killed or Seriously Injured (KSI) in Essex for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. The number of KSIs decreased by 16.5% (145 fewer offences) in the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2019. Please note that most KSIs do not necessarily result in criminal offences (such as death or serious injury caused by dangerous driving) being recorded. Essex is sixth in its Most Similar Group (MSG) of forces for casualties per 100 million vehicle kilometres (results to June 2020) and slightly worse than the MSG average. However, due to the fact that more recent national figures have not been released, the current position cannot be determined (the date of the next national release has not yet been confirmed). There was a 24.7% decrease (149 fewer offences) in the number of driving related mobile phone offences recorded for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020.* There was also a 31.5% decrease (1,356 fewer offences) in drink/drug driving offences for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020; of these offences, there was an 11.3% decrease (166 fewer offences) in drink driving and a 45.3% decrease (1,079 fewer offences) in drug driving. All of these offence types are primarily driven by police proactivity in relation to road safety. Due to the decrease in the number of drink/drug driving offences in the past 12 months, a grade of Good is recommended. * In 2019, the definition as to what constituted use of a mobile phone in relation to driver-related mobile phone offences was subject to a legal challenge. This resulted in a ruling, which held that while use included accessing the interactive functions of the mobile phone (such as making calls, sending messages or using the internet), it did not extend to solely accessing the device s internal functions (such as making use of the camera). Fewer mobile phone offences were subsequently prosecuted from this point. In 2021, however, the law was changed: it is now illegal to hold a phone or sat nav when driving or riding a motorcycle. It is therefore likely that offences will now start to increase. 11
Monthly Performance Overview: Exceptions Grade: Good Exceptions Overview Hate Crime HO Definition offences experienced a statistically a significant increase for the month of September 2021. Hate Crime HO Definition Increase 27.9% increase (909 more crimes) for the 12 months to September 2021 compared to the 12 months to September 2020. The Force saw a statistically exceptional increase in September 2021. 12
Monthly Performance Overview: Exceptions Monthly Performance Overview: Of Note COVID-19: Restrictions of movement and social distancing Since 13 March 2020, the Government implemented a series of alert levels and steps regarding the level of social distancing allowed in relation to COVID- 19. Each change has affected the number of All Crime offences recorded. On 14October 2020 the Government introduced three levels of restrictions according to different levels of infections around the country. Tier 1 Medium, Tier 2 High and Tier 3 Very High. On 5 November 2020 the Government implemented a period of increased restrictions which ended on 2nd December 2020 when the country returned to the Tier system. Number of days Daily Average Date Period Level Restrictions Only 15 people able to attend weddings and civil partnerships, in groups of six Indoor adult sports only permitted in groups of less than six c 01/10/2020 - 13/10/2020 Level 4 13 421 Number of days Daily Average Date Period Alert Level - Essex County Council Alert Level - Thurrock and Southend 14/10/2020 - 16/10/2020 17/10/2020 - 04/11/2020 Tier 1 - Medium Tier 2 - High Tier 1 - Medium Tier 1 - Medium 3 19 437 417 Number of days Daily Average Date Period Level Restrictions Main Restrictions Pubs and restaurants closed but takeaways permitted Non-essential shops, leisure and entertainment venues closed No households mixing indoors, or in private gardens, unless in your support bubble Stay home - only leave for specific reasons including education and work Schools, universities and colleges remain open Outdoor recreation encouraged, you can meet one person outside your household 05/11/2020 - 02/12/2020 Period of increased restrictions 28 406 13
Monthly Performance Overview: Exceptions Monthly Performance Overview: Of Note (continued) COVID-19: Restrictions of movement and social distancing On 20 December the Government introduced Tier 4 Stay at Home and on 5th January 2021 a third period of increased restrictions was implemented. In March 2021 the Government announced its roadmap out of restrictions, starting with Step 1 on 8th March, Step 1a on 29th March and Step 2 on 12th April. 03/12/2020 - 15/12/2020 16/12/2020 - 19/12/2020 20/12/2020 - 04/01/2021 05/01/2021 - 07/03/2021 Tier 2 - High Tier 3 - Very High* Tier 4 - Stay at Home* Tier 4 - Stay at Home with increased restrictions Tier 2 - High Tier 3 - Very High Tier 4 - Stay at Home Tier 4 - Stay at Home with increased restrictions 13 4 16 63 381 375 318 361 Schools and colleges are open for all students. University students can return for practical courses. Recreation or exercise outdoors with household or one other person. 30 people allowed to attend funerals. 6 people allowed to attend weddings and wakes. 08/03/2021 - 28/03/2021 Easing of restrictions - Step 1 20 413 Rule of 6 or two households outdoors. No household mixing indoors. Outdoor Sport and leisure facilities reopen. Organised outdoor sport allowed (childen and adults). Minimise travel. No holidays. Outdoor parent and child groups (up to 15 parents). 29/03/2021 - 11/04/2021 Easing of restrictions - Step 1a 14 382 Advice remains to keep journeys to a minimum and work from home where possible. Pubs and restaurants are allowed to serve drinks and meals outdoors. All shops can open. Hairdressers, nail salons and other personal care businesses can reopen. Indoor gyms and sports facilities reopen for individual exercise or for exercise with your household or bubble. Indoor children's activities. Members of the same household can take a holiday in self-contained accommodation. 30 people allowed to attend funerals. 15 people allowed to attend weddings and wakes. 12/04/2021 - 16/05/2021 Easing of restrictions - Step 2 35 448 14
Monthly Performance Overview: Exceptions Monthly Performance Overview: Of Note (continued) COVID-19: Restrictions of movement and social distancing The Government continued on its roadmap out of restrictions with Step 3 on 17th May 2021 and Step 3a on 21st June. Social distancing will remain in place in social care, medical, retail, hospitality and business settings. People will still eineed to wear face coverings on transport and in shops, unless they are exempt People can meet in groups of up to 30 outdoors Six people, or two households, can meet indoors with overnight stays allowed Pubs, restaurants bars and cafes allowed to serve customers indoors Museums, theatres and cinemas can open Hotels, hostels and B&Bs can reopen Adult indoor group exercise classes can restart People urged to be cautious about hugging close friends and family Face coverings no longer recommended in secondary schools for pupils All remaining university students eligible to return to in-person teaching Easing of restrictions - Step 3 17/05/2021 - 20/06/2021 35 470 Social distancing will remain in place in social care, medical, retail, hospitality and business settings. People will still eineed to wear face coverings on transport and in shops, unless they are exempt The number of guests at a wedding is no longer limited to 30, (although risk assessments must be carried out to mmeensure social distancing can take place). Similar rules apply to wakes Care home residents will not necessarily have to self-isolate after leaving their care homes and they will be able mmeto nominate an "essential care-giver" who can visit even if they are self-isolating Children can go on overnight trips in groups of 30 Large events pilots will continue, including sport, art and music events Easing of restrictions - Step 3a 21/06/2021 - 18/07/2021 28 484 15
Monthly Performance Overview: Exceptions Monthly Performance Overview: Of Note (continued) COVID-19: Restrictions of movement and social distancing On 19th July 2021 all legal restrictions were lifted but the Government urged caution due to rising case numbers. Number of days Daily Average Date Period Level Restrictions Social distancing No limit on meeting people but try to meet others outside where possible 1m-plus guidance removed (except in some places like hospitals and passport control when entering) Face coverings no longer required by law, although the government still "expects and recommends" them in aaaacrowded and enclosed spaces Some shops and transport operators will still require masks Events and gatherings Nightclubs can reopen Business and large events encouraged to use Covid-certification to limit the spread of the virus Pubs and restaurants no longer table-service only No limits on guests at weddings and funerals No limits on people attending concerts, theatres, cinemas or sports events No restrictions on communal worship Other changes People currently working from home should return to the workpace gradually Limits on visitors to care homes will be removed 19/07/2021 - 30/09/2021 End of legal restrictions 74 460 Essex hotspot policing trial to be rolled out nationally After identifying hotspots with higher levels of violence in Southend, and committing to visible policing by implementing regular patrols throughout 2020, Operation Grip resulted in a 73.5% drop in violent crime and a 31.9% drop in street crime in test areas in Southend. The initiative, created and piloted in Essex, has been praised by Policing Minister Kit Malthouse and will be rolled out across the country. 16
2016-2021 Police and Crime Plan Performance Indicators Table 1 12 months to Sep 2019 12 months to Sep 2020 12 months to Sep 2021 Number Difference 2020/21 % Direction of Travel 2020/21 Police and Crime Plan Priorities Police Priority Indicators Difference 2020/21 Percentage of people who have confidence in policing in Essex (internal survey) 66.7 1.1 52.4 4.5 168,237 13.3 71.6 69.7 1.0 46.9 4.5 158,951 13.0 78.5 79.8 0.9 48.6 3.9 153,683 13.0 80.8 10.1 - Improving Confidence Interval2 Confidence in the local police (CSEW)3 Priority 1 - More local, visible and accessible policing 1.6 - Improving Confidence Interval2 Number of all crime offences Harm (Crime Severity) Score - All Crime Emergency response attendance within 15 minutes (urban) or 20 minutes (rural) -5,268 - 2.3 -3.3 - - Improving Stable Number of anti-social behaviour incidents Percentage of people who have confidence that the policing response to ASB is improving (internal survey)4 43,010 64.5 1.1 48,361 69.4 1.1 50,849 69.8 1.1 2,488 0.4 5.1 - Deteriorating Stable Priority 2 - Crack down on anti-social behaviour Confidence Interval2 Number of incidents of domestic abuse Number of repeat incidents of domestic abuse Number of domestic abuse arrests Number of Domestic Violence Protection Notices (DVPNs) and Protection Orders (DVPOs) Number of domestic abuse offences solved 42,490 20,028 11,898 173 3127 42,849 19,792 13,886 241 3,499 40,714 20,143 14,446 211 3,015 -2,135 351 560 -30 -484 -5.0 1.8 4.0 -12.4 -13.8 Improving Priority 3 - Breaking the cycle of domestic abuse Improving Deteriorating Deteriorating Number of homicides7 Number of violence with injury offences (new definition from Nov 2017) Harm (Crime Severity) Score for Violence with Injury, Rape, Other Sexual Offences and Robbery of Personal Property Number of Violence with Injury, Rape, Other Sexual and Robbery of Personal Property Offences solved Stop and search for weapons Knife-enabled crime 19 60 23 -37 -829 - -455 -2,195 -342 -61.7 -5.6 - -14.9 -63.1 -18.3 Improving Deteriorating Deteriorating Deteriorating Deteriorating Improving 15,214 7.7 2,951 2,373 891 14,725 7.7 3,059 3,479 1,873 13,896 8.4 2,604 1,284 1,531 Priority 4 - Tackling gangs and serious violence Number of Organised Criminal Group disruptions 65 191 1,943 287 1,820 96 -123 50.3 -6.3 Improving Deteriorating Priority 5 - Disrupting and preventing organised crime Trafficking of drugs arrests 1,795 Number of child abuse outcomes5 Child abuse offences 240 4,770 5.0 2,066 60 365 5,491 6.6 2,018 114 327 5,925 5.5 2,350 155 -38 434 -1.1 332 41 -10.4 7.9 - 16.5 36.0 Deteriorating Deteriorating Deteriorating - Improving Priority 6 - Protecting children & vulnerable people Child abuse solved rate Child Sexual Abuse/Exploitation investigations Modern Slavery referrals made to the National Referral Model (NRM) Number of driving related mobile phone crime on Essex roads10 Number of driving under the influence of drink and/or drugs on Essex roads 2,269 3,487 881 604 4,310 726 455 2,954 736 -149 -1,356 10 -24.7 -31.5 1.4 Improving Improving Deteriorating Priority 7 - Improve safety on our roads All people killed or seriously injured (KSI) in road collisions Please view above table with the explanations and caveats detailed on page 19. 17
End Notes 1 Question from the independent survey commissioned by Essex Police (Percentage of people who have confidence in policing in Essex). Results are for the period 12 months June 2021 versus the 12 months to June 2020. 2 The confidence interval is the range +/- between where the survey result may lie. This is mainly influenced by the number of people answering the survey. The more people that answer the survey, the smaller the interval range. 3 Crime Survey of England and Wales data are no longer available at Force level. Data are for the 12 months to March 2020. 4Question from Essex Police s own confidence and perception survey (Percentage of people who have confidence that the policing response to ASB is improving). Results are for the period 12 months to June 2021 versus the 12 months to June 2020. 5 Solved outcomes are crimes that result in: charge or summons, caution, crimes taken into consideration, fixed penalty notice, cannabis warning or community resolution. 6 Killed or Seriously Injured (KSI) refers to all people killed or seriously injured on Essex s roads, regardless of whether any criminal offences were committed. Causing Death/Serious Injury by Dangerous/Inconsiderate Driving offences (detailed on p.11) refers to the number of crimes of this type. 7 Please note that on Wednesday 23 October 2019 the bodies of 39 Vietnamese nationals were discovered in a lorry trailer in Grays. This tragic incident is reflected in the Homicide numbers. 8Crime Severity Score measures relative harm of crimes by taking into account both the volume and the severity of offences, and by weighting offences differently. Data are for the 12 months to July 2021. 9 The number of knife crime offences is an indicator of how effective Essex Police is at identifying knife-enabled offences, and is not necessarily reflective of the number of these offences that have been committed in the county. This is because the identification of these offences is reliant on the appropriate indicator being manually added to the crime record. A manual review of knife flags was conducted and missing flags were added retrospectively. Additionally a new data quality process was introduced in June 2020. Whilst this has enabled us to better understand knife crime in Essex, the process has consequently inflated the figures. As such, no inferences can be drawn as to the current trend. 10 The year on year data for driving offences related to mobile phones are not comparable due to a legal appeal (which occurred in October 2019). The current phone use legislation is awaiting clarification in the courts, which has been delayed due to the impact of COVID-19. Since the appeal, fewer offences have been prosecuted. 11 NRM data only available from April 2019 due to recording change at that time. 12 OCG disruptions are now reported quarterly. Data are to September 2021. 18
Crime Tree Data Rolling 12 Months to September Table 2 Force Crime Tree Data - Rolling 12 Months to September Top Level Offences Solved Outcomes Solved Rates % % DA 2021 - 1m Sep 20 - 1m Sep 21 - Yr on Yr 1m % diff. - 3m Sep 20 - 3m Sep 21 - Yr on Yr 3m % diff. - 1m Sep 20 - 1m Sep 21 - Yr on Yr 1m % diff. - 3m Sep 20 - 3m Sep 21 - Yr on Yr 3m % diff. - % pt. diff. - 1m Sep 20 - 1m Sep 21 - Yr on Yr 1m % pt. diff. - 3m Sep 20 - 3m Sep 21 - Yr on Yr 3m % pt. diff. - Crime Type 2020 2021 # diff. % diff. Z CSS 2020 2021 # diff. % diff. 2020 2021 Z Anti-Social Behaviour (incidents) 48361 50849 2488 5.1 -1.4 - - - - - - - - All Crime (excl. Action (NFIB) Fraud) 19.1 158951 153683 -5268 -3.3 0.5 13774 13998 1.6 42533 43110 1.4 24127 20531 -3596 -14.9 1794 1510 -15.8 5789 4770 -17.6 15.2 13.4 -1.8 -1.4 13.0 10.8 -2.2 13.6 11.1 -2.5 - State Based Crime 6.5 27962 27510 -452 -1.6 0.8 2408 2479 2.9 7851 7774 -1.0 10282 9065 -1217 -11.8 792 630 -20.5 2511 2071 -17.5 36.8 33.0 -3.8 -2.0 32.9 25.4 -7.5 32.0 26.6 -5.3 - Victim Based Crime 21.8 130989 126173 -4816 -3.7 0.4 11366 11519 1.3 34682 35336 1.9 13845 11466 -2379 -17.2 1002 880 -12.2 3278 2699 -17.7 10.6 9.1 -1.5 -1.3 8.8 7.6 -1.2 9.5 7.6 -1.8 Victim Based Crime Offences Solved Outcomes Solved Rates % % DA 2021 34.1 1m Sep 20 5928 1m Sep 21 6459 Yr on Yr 1m % diff. 9.0 3m Sep 20 18443 3m Sep 21 19443 Yr on Yr 3m % diff. 5.4 1m Sep 20 647 1m Sep 21 545 Yr on Yr 1m % diff. -15.8 3m Sep 20 2040 3m Sep 21 1621 Yr on Yr 3m % diff. -20.5 % pt. diff. -1.7 1m Sep 20 10.9 1m Sep 21 8.4 Yr on Yr 1m % pt. diff. -2.5 3m Sep 20 11.1 3m Sep 21 8.3 Yr on Yr 3m % pt. diff. -2.7 Crime Type 2020 2021 # diff. % diff. Z CSS 2020 2021 # diff. % diff. 2020 2021 Z Violence Against the Person 65810 68158 2348 3.6 1.8 7743 6850 -893 -11.5 11.8 10.1 -1.3 - Homicide 34.8 60 23 -37 -61.7 0.2 14 1 4 300.0 4 7 75.0 59 13 -46 -78.0 1 3 200.0 4 4 0.0 98.3 56.5 -41.8 0.3 100.0 75.0 -25.0 100.0 57.1 -42.9 - Violence with Injury 38.9 14725 13896 -829 -5.6 1.4 1 1305 1445 10.7 4195 4220 0.6 2460 2068 -392 -15.9 218 162 -25.7 679 473 -30.3 16.7 14.9 -1.8 -1.6 16.7 11.2 -5.5 16.2 11.2 -5.0 - Death or Serious Injury caused by unlawful driving 5.3 29 19 -10 -34.5 -1.1 20 2 0 -100.0 9 4 -55.6 32 19 -13 -40.6 1 0 -100.0 7 5 -28.6 110.3 100.0 -10.3 -0.7 50.0 - - 77.8 125.0 47.2 - Death or serious injury by dangerous driving 0.0 23 15 -8 -34.8 - 1 0 -100.0 7 4 -42.9 24 14 -10 -41.7 1 0 -100.0 6 4 -33.3 104.3 93.3 -11.0 - 100.0 - - 85.7 100.0 14.3 - Death by careless driving (drink or drugs) - 0 0 0 - - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - Death by careless or inconsiderate driving 0.0 5 2 -3 -60.0 - 0 0 - 1 0 -100.0 7 2 -5 -71.4 0 0 - 1 0 -100.0 140.0 100.0 -40.0 - - - - 100.0 - - - Death or serious injury driving - unlicensed, disqualified, uninsured - 1 0 -1 -100.0 - 1 0 -100.0 1 0 -100.0 0 1 1 - 0 0 - 0 1 - 0.0 - - - 0.0 - - 0.0 - - - Causing death by aggravated vehicle taking 50.0 0 2 2 - - 0 0 - 0 0 - 1 2 1 100.0 0 0 - 0 0 - - 100.0 - - - - - - - - - Violence without Injury 36.5 27448 27237 -211 -0.8 1.7 6 2335 2611 11.8 7261 7879 8.5 3315 2979 -336 -10.1 266 255 -4.1 852 771 -9.5 12.1 10.9 -1.1 -0.9 11.4 9.8 -1.6 11.7 9.8 -1.9 - Stalking and Harassment 29.2 23548 26983 3435 14.6 1.2 8 2285 2399 5.0 6974 7333 5.1 1877 1771 -106 -5.6 161 125 -22.4 498 368 -26.1 8.0 6.6 -1.4 -1.3 7.0 5.2 -1.8 7.1 5.0 -2.1 Sexual Offences 24.8 4708 5645 937 19.9 1.6 379 544 43.5 1265 1605 26.9 454 425 -29 -6.4 30 28 -6.7 87 92 5.7 9.6 7.5 -2.1 -0.8 7.9 5.1 -2.8 6.9 5.7 -1.1 - Rape 42.0 1986 2445 459 23.1 1.9 172 252 46.5 533 755 41.7 84 69 -15 -17.9 6 7 16.7 19 19 0.0 4.2 2.8 -1.4 -0.1 3.5 2.8 -0.7 3.6 2.5 -1.0 - Rape - Under 16 yrs 4.9 487 616 129 26.5 1.6 4 48 64 33.3 131 164 25.2 41 36 -5 -12.2 3 4 33.3 12 12 0.0 8.4 5.8 -2.6 0.0 6.3 6.3 0.0 9.2 7.3 -1.8 - Rape - Over 16 yrs 54.6 1499 1829 330 22.0 1.8 2 124 188 51.6 402 591 47.0 43 33 -10 -23.3 3 3 0.0 7 7 0.0 2.9 1.8 -1.1 -0.3 2.4 1.6 -0.8 1.7 1.2 -0.6 - Other Sexual Offences 11.6 2722 3200 478 17.6 1.1 5 207 292 41.1 732 850 16.1 370 356 -14 -3.8 24 21 -12.5 68 73 7.4 13.6 11.1 -2.5 -0.8 11.6 7.2 -4.4 9.3 8.6 -0.7 - Other sexual offences : Under 13 2.6 625 774 149 23.8 - 39 73 87.2 149 188 26.2 82 55 -27 -32.9 4 5 25.0 11 13 18.2 13.1 7.1 -6.0 - 10.3 6.8 -3.4 7.4 6.9 -0.5 - Other sexual offences : Under 16 4.8 778 890 112 14.4 - 52 63 21.2 190 201 5.8 133 138 5 3.8 6 4 -33.3 18 15 -16.7 17.1 15.5 -1.6 - 11.5 6.3 -5.2 9.5 7.5 -2.0 - Other sexual offences : Age 13 to 17 12.2 14 41 27 192.9 - 0 0 - 4 5 25.0 2 2 0 0.0 0 1 - 1 1 0.0 14.3 4.9 -9.4 - - - - 25.0 20.0 -5.0 - Other sexual offences : Over 13 23.8 1025 1195 170 16.6 - 85 135 58.8 297 371 24.9 98 96 -2 -2.0 7 6 -14.3 19 23 21.1 9.6 8.0 -1.5 - 8.2 4.4 -3.8 6.4 6.2 -0.2 - Other sexual offences : Over 16 50.0 12 8 -4 -33.3 - 0 0 - 5 0 -100.0 0 1 1 - 0 0 - 0 1 - 0.0 12.5 12.5 - - - - 0.0 - - - Other sexual offences : Not Age Specific 4.8 268 292 24 9.0 - 31 21 -32.3 87 85 -2.3 55 64 9 16.4 7 5 -28.6 19 20 5.3 20.5 21.9 1.4 - 22.6 23.8 1.2 21.8 23.5 1.7 Robbery 2.9 1367 1290 -77 -5.6 -0.3 115 116 0.9 393 383 -2.5 175 138 -37 -21.1 8 9 12.5 42 37 -11.9 12.8 10.7 -2.1 -0.8 7.0 7.8 0.8 10.7 9.7 -1.0 - Robbery of business property 0.0 98 99 1 1.0 -0.7 16 7 7 0.0 20 21 5.0 30 27 -3 -10.0 1 1 0.0 6 1 -83.3 30.6 27.3 -3.3 -0.5 14.3 14.3 0.0 30.0 4.8 -25.2 - Robbery of Personal Property 3.2 1269 1191 -78 -6.1 -0.2 7 108 109 0.9 373 362 -2.9 145 111 -34 -23.4 7 8 14.3 36 36 0.0 11.4 9.3 -2.1 -0.6 6.5 7.3 0.9 9.7 9.9 0.3 Theft Offences 3.0 42965 36974 -5991 -13.9 -0.7 3667 3235 -11.8 10405 10164 -2.3 3875 2694 -1181 -30.5 203 213 4.9 706 626 -11.3 9.0 7.3 -1.7 -0.6 5.5 6.6 1.0 6.8 6.2 -0.6 - Burglary 2.8 8607 6178 -2429 -28.2 -1.1 642 487 -24.1 1744 1580 -9.4 472 374 -98 -20.8 24 39 62.5 134 82 -38.8 5.5 6.1 0.6 1.2 3.7 8.0 4.3 7.7 5.2 -2.5 - Burglary Residential 3.7 6379 4658 -1721 -27.0 -0.9 3 446 386 -13.5 1263 1238 -2.0 300 249 -51 -17.0 12 26 116.7 100 47 -53.0 4.7 5.3 0.6 0.6 2.7 6.7 4.0 7.9 3.8 -4.1 - Burglary Business & Community 0.3 2228 1520 -708 -31.8 -1.3 12 196 101 -48.5 481 342 -28.9 172 125 -47 -27.3 12 13 8.3 34 35 2.9 7.7 8.2 0.5 2.4 6.1 12.9 6.7 7.1 10.2 3.2 - Burglary Dwelling (pre-Apr 17 definition) 5.4 4430 3068 -1362 -30.7 -0.6 308 290 -5.8 893 855 -4.3 278 231 -47 -16.9 10 25 150.0 96 42 -56.3 6.3 7.5 1.3 0.5 3.2 8.6 5.4 10.8 4.9 -5.8 - Burglary Other (pre-Apr 17 definition) 0.4 4177 3110 -1067 -25.5 -1.6 334 197 -41.0 851 725 -14.8 194 143 -51 -26.3 14 14 0.0 38 40 5.3 4.6 4.6 0.0 2.2 4.2 7.1 2.9 4.5 5.5 1.1 - Vehicle Offences (incl. Interference) 1.3 12372 10659 -1713 -13.8 -0.8 1071 907 -15.3 2903 2649 -8.7 334 226 -108 -32.3 22 15 -31.8 56 43 -23.2 2.7 2.1 -0.6 -0.5 2.1 1.7 -0.4 1.9 1.6 -0.3 - Theft from a Vehicle 0.2 6335 5351 -984 -15.5 -1.1 13 554 409 -26.2 1511 1257 -16.8 106 51 -55 -51.9 7 5 -28.6 16 6 -62.5 1.7 1.0 -0.7 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.0 1.1 0.5 -0.6 - Theft of a Vehicle 3.3 4208 3720 -488 -11.6 -0.1 10 365 374 2.5 990 1034 4.4 155 137 -18 -11.6 14 6 -57.1 33 27 -18.2 3.7 3.7 0.0 -1.4 3.8 1.6 -2.2 3.3 2.6 -0.7 - Vehicle Interference 0.2 1829 1588 -241 -13.2 -0.9 21 152 124 -18.4 402 358 -10.9 73 38 -35 -47.9 1 4 300.0 7 10 42.9 4.0 2.4 -1.6 0.2 0.7 3.2 2.6 1.7 2.8 1.1 - Theft 3.9 21986 20137 -1849 -8.4 -0.32 1954 1841 -5.8 5758 5935 3.1 3069 2094 -975 -31.8 157 159 1.3 516 501 -2.9 14.0 10.4 -3.6 -1.0 8.0 8.6 0.6 9.0 8.4 -0.5 - Theft from the Person 3.8 1117 969 -148 -13.2 0.7 18 94 119 26.6 282 368 30.5 18 9 -9 -50.0 0 2 - 4 4 0.0 1.6 0.9 -0.7 0.1 0.0 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.1 -0.3 - Theft of Pedal Cycle 0.0 1924 1489 -435 -22.6 -0.3 19 218 141 -35.3 618 453 -26.7 54 52 -2 -3.7 2 8 300.0 5 22 340.0 2.8 3.5 0.7 1.6 0.9 5.7 4.8 0.8 4.9 4.0 - Shoplifting 0.0 8354 7634 -720 -8.6 -0.5 15 700 666 -4.9 2035 2175 6.9 2435 1629 -806 -33.1 135 117 -13.3 426 381 -10.6 29.1 21.3 -7.8 -1.1 19.3 17.6 -1.7 20.9 17.5 -3.4 - Other Theft 7.4 10591 10045 -546 -5.2 -0.3 9 942 915 -2.9 2823 2939 4.1 562 404 -158 -28.1 20 32 60.0 81 94 16.0 5.3 4.0 -1.3 -0.4 2.1 3.5 1.4 2.9 3.2 0.3 Criminal Damage inc. Arson 12.6 16139 14106 -2033 -12.6 -0.9 1277 1165 -8.8 4176 3741 -10.4 1598 1359 -239 -15.0 114 85 -25.4 403 323 -19.9 9.9 9.6 -0.3 -1.2 8.9 7.3 -1.6 9.7 8.6 -1.0 - Criminal Damage - Arson 13.4 2.3 14827 1312 13160 946 -1667 -366 -11.2 -27.9 -1.0 -0.1 17 11 1146 131 1066 99 -7.0 -24.4 3794 382 3476 265 -8.4 -30.6 1564 34 1317 42 -247 8 -15.8 23.5 113 1 83 2 -26.5 100.0 393 10 307 16 -21.9 60.0 10.5 2.6 10.0 4.4 -0.5 1.8 -1.2 -0.4 9.9 0.8 7.8 2.0 -2.1 1.3 10.4 2.6 8.8 6.0 -1.5 3.4 19
Crime Tree Data Rolling 12 Months to September Table 3 Victim Based: Under Reported Offences Solved Outcomes Solved Rates % % DA 2021 1.4 3.6 1m Sep 20 169 315 1m Sep 21 201 435 Yr on Yr 1m % diff. 18.9 38.1 3m Sep 20 572 985 3m Sep 21 588 1275 Yr on Yr 3m % diff. 2.8 29.4 1m Sep 20 13 30 1m Sep 21 29 46 Yr on Yr 1m % diff. 123.1 53.3 3m Sep 20 70 104 3m Sep 21 75 109 Yr on Yr 3m % diff. 7.1 4.8 % pt. diff. -0.8 -2.5 1m Sep 20 7.7 9.5 1m Sep 21 14.4 10.6 Yr on Yr 1m % pt. diff. 6.7 1.1 3m Sep 20 12.2 10.6 3m Sep 21 12.8 8.5 Yr on Yr 3m % pt. diff. 0.5 -2.0 Crime Type 2020 2021 # diff. % diff. Z CSS 2020 2021 # diff. % diff. 2020 2021 Z Racial/Religiously Aggravated Offences Hate Crime HO Definition 1770 3259 1942 4168 172 909 9.7 27.9 1.7 2.1 278 408 290 419 12 11 4.3 2.7 15.7 12.5 14.9 10.1 -0.3 -0.3 Domestic Abuse 100.0 30043 29326 -717 -2.4 1.2 2445 2664 9.0 7764 8038 3.5 3499 3015 -484 -13.8 274 247 -9.9 861 715 -17.0 11.6 10.3 -1.4 -0.8 11.2 9.3 -1.9 11.1 8.9 -2.2 - High Risk Domestic Abuse 100.0 2682 2829 147 5.5 1.4 202 271 34.2 616 841 36.5 755 702 -53 -7.0 73 70 -4.1 194 194 0.0 28.2 24.8 -3.3 -0.4 36.1 25.8 -10.3 31.5 23.1 -8.4 - Medium Risk Domestic Abuse - Standard Risk Domestic Abuse 100.0 100.0 4224 21607 3412 21838 -812 231 -19.2 1.1 0.0 1.2 318 1744 353 1888 11.0 8.3 989 5700 938 5875 -5.2 3.1 956 1605 646 1516 -310 -89 -32.4 -5.5 60 123 59 106 -1.7 -13.8 212 406 154 331 -27.4 -18.5 22.6 7.4 18.9 6.9 -3.7 -0.5 -0.7 -0.8 18.9 7.1 16.7 5.6 -2.2 -1.4 21.4 7.1 16.4 5.6 -5.0 -1.5 - No Risk Assessment 100.0 1530 1247 -283 -18.5 -1.2 181 152 -16.0 459 384 -16.3 183 151 -32 -17.5 18 12 -33.3 49 36 -26.5 12.0 12.1 0.1 -0.2 9.9 7.9 -2.1 10.7 9.4 -1.3 State Based Crime Offences Solved Outcomes Solved Rates % % DA 2021 0.0 1m Sep 20 499 1m Sep 21 415 Yr on Yr 1m % diff. -16.8 3m Sep 20 1575 3m Sep 21 1278 Yr on Yr 3m % diff. -18.9 1m Sep 20 460 1m Sep 21 346 Yr on Yr 1m % diff. -24.8 3m Sep 20 1465 3m Sep 21 1126 Yr on Yr 3m % diff. -23.1 % pt. diff. -1.6 1m Sep 20 92.2 1m Sep 21 83.4 Yr on Yr 1m % pt. diff. -8.8 3m Sep 20 93.0 3m Sep 21 88.1 Yr on Yr 3m % pt. diff. -4.9 Crime Type 2020 2021 # diff. % diff. Z CSS 2020 2021 # diff. % diff. 2020 2021 Z Drug Offences 6967 6042 -925 -13.3 -0.8 6371 5429 -942 -14.8 91.4 89.9 -1.3 - Trafficking of Drugs - Possession of Drugs 0.0 0.0 1128 5839 1278 4764 150 -1075 13.3 -18.4 0.4 -1.0 94 405 96 319 2.1 -21.2 284 1291 286 992 0.7 -23.2 836 5535 957 4472 121 -1063 14.5 -19.2 66 394 65 281 -1.5 -28.7 217 1248 203 923 -6.5 -26.0 74.1 94.8 74.9 93.9 0.8 -0.9 -0.4 -0.9 70.2 97.3 67.7 88.1 -2.5 -9.2 76.4 96.7 71.0 93.0 -5.4 -3.6 Possession of Weapons 1.3 1427 1185 -242 -17.0 -0.5 119 106 -10.9 376 353 -6.1 816 704 -112 -13.7 60 58 -3.3 206 195 -5.3 57.2 59.4 2.2 -0.5 50.4 54.7 4.3 54.8 55.2 0.5 Public Order Miscellaneous Crimes against Society 7.6 14.3 15967 3601 16908 3375 941 -226 5.9 -6.3 1.3 0.1 1498 292 1650 308 10.1 5.5 4973 927 5267 876 5.9 -5.5 2312 783 2302 630 -10 -153 -0.4 -19.5 206 66 178 48 -13.6 -27.3 656 184 602 148 -8.2 -19.6 14.5 21.7 13.6 18.7 -0.9 -3.1 -1.4 -0.8 13.8 22.6 10.8 15.6 -3.0 -7.0 13.2 19.8 11.4 16.9 -1.8 -3.0 Crime Severity Score (CSS) - Based on the ONS Crime Severity Score which replaces the Cambridge Harm Index - data are for the 12 months to July 2021, (a total of 21 crime types have been ranked where scores are available). The CSS excludes proactively generated crime detection by police i.e. State Based Crime, as these offences do not reliably measure harms experienced by the population. Rather, they measure the resources invested in catching offenders. Yr on Yr 1m %/% pt. diff. - compares the month of September 2021 with the month of September 2020. Yr on Yr 3m %/% pt. diff. - compares the three months to September 2021 with the three months to September 2020. Z Score - Standard Score over 1.96 or under -1.96. Standard Scores are used to calculate the probability of an event occurring within a normal distribution; they are also used to compare two scores from different normal distributions (for example the number of offences per police District). In this document, Standard Scores are calculated in the following way: (current month's figure, minus the average figure per month over the previous three years) divided by the Standard Deviation of the same three year period. Standard Deviation is a measure to determine how spread out figures are from the average or "mean" a large standard deviation indicates the data is widely spread; if small, the data will be more clustered together. 20
