Trust as a Proxy for Certainty in Social Cohesion

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Exploring the intricate relationship between trust, security, and social cohesion, this study delves into how trust serves as a proxy for certainty in uncertain environments. By analyzing societal properties and the role of trust in managing risks and insecurities, the Peace Research Institute Oslo provides insights into how trust fosters a sense of security and unity within communities.


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  1. Trust as a proxy for certainty J. Peter Burgess Peace Research Institute Oslo

  2. Trust as a proxy for certainty I. Introduction and definitions What is trust? Societal properties of trust What is security? Societal properties of security II. Argument A necessary accessory Trust makes insecurity acceptable Trust engages risk Trust, security and social cohesion III. Illustrations Peace Research Institute Oslo

  3. Trust as a proxy for certainty I. Introduction and definitions What is trust? Societal properties of trust What is security? Societal properties of security Peace Research Institute Oslo

  4. Trust as a proxy for certainty II. Argument A necessary accessory Trust makes insecurity acceptable Trust engages risk Trust expresses the social cohesion in security Peace Research Institute Oslo

  5. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Trust model Certainty0 about0 the0 future Threshold0 for0 security Knowledge0 of0 the0 future Unknown Trust Known Uncertainty0 about0 the0 future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  6. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Moon landing ! Rela%ve' insecurity Certainty0 about0 the0 future Knowledge0 of0 the0 future Threshold0 for0 security Unknown Trust Known Uncertainty0 about0 the0 future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  7. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Tuna sandwich your mother made Rela%ve' security Certainty)about)the)future Knowledge)of)the)future Unknown Threshold)for)security Known Uncertainty)about)the)future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  8. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Injection from the family doctor ! Rela%ve' security Certainty0 about0 the0 future Threshold0 for0 security Knowledge0 of0 the0 future Unknown Trust Known Uncertainty0 about0 the0 future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  9. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: First day of school ! Rela%ve' insecurity Certainty0 about0 the0 future Threshold0 for0 security Knowledge0 of0 the0 future Unknown Trust Known Uncertainty0 about0 the0 future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  10. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Norwegian crossing the street in Oslo ! Rela%ve' security Certainty)about)the)future Unknown Knowledge)of)the)future Threshold)for)security Known Uncertainty)about)the)future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  11. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Norwegian crossing the street in Kolkata Rela%ve' insecurity Certainty)about)the)future Knowledge)of)the)future Threshold)for)security Unknown Trust Known Uncertainty)about)the)future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  12. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Indian crossing the street in Kolkata Certainty)about)the)future Knowledge)of)the)future Trust) Intui: on Unknown Threshold)for)security Known Uncertainty)about)the)future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  13. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Indian crossing the street in Kolkata ! Rela%ve' security Certainty)about)the)future Knowledge)of)the)future Unknown Threshold)for)security Known Uncertainty)about)the)future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  14. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Experience of terror threat in Oslo ! Rela%ve' security Certainty)about)the)future Knowledge)of)the)future Unknown Threshold)for)security Known Uncertainty)about)the)future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  15. Trust as a proxy for certainty III. Illustrations: Experience of terror threat in Tel Aviv ! Rela%ve' insecurity Certainty)about)the)future Threshold)for)security Knowledge)of)the)future Unknown Trust Known Uncertainty)about)the)future Peace Research Institute Oslo

  16. J. Peter Burgess peter@prio.no Peace Research Institute Oslo

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