Tobacco Industry: Big Tobacco vs Juul

 
Tobacco Industry: Big Tobacco vs Juul
 
Amanda Rushton
Jesse Prent
Jonathan Faerman
Winnie Hu
 
Three primary product categories in tobacco industry
 
Tobacco has developed substitute products to appeal to smokers looking to switch/quit
Traditional
Cigarettes
Vaping
Products
Hybrid
Products
 
Tobacco Industry has faced a change in trends for the past 40 years
 
Tobacco Industry reaction:
 
Traditional companies have reacted slowly and waited for market signals
 
Market and regulations are changing rapidly
 
Traditional companies have not adapted to the new environment
Marketing
Society
Consumers
Direct communication
with customers is no
longer possible
Tobacco is becoming against
new lifestyles and smoking is
no longer free
Health conscious
consumers are looking for
alternatives
 
JUUL’s success threatens Big Tobacco’s ability to compete in vaping market
Technology
Nicotine salt
formulation
Discrete Size
Flavors
Clean”
Marketing
Social Media
Style
Not as much
regulation
“Meme” culture
Inconclusive
medical studies
 
Juul: 80% of market share
 
Juul
 
Others
 
Declining tobacco sales means long-term success in vaping or further diversification is necessary
 
How Big Tobacco has reacted to JUUL
R&D
 
Product innovations
that can compete with
JUUL
 
 
Acquisition
 
Altria purchased 30%
stake in JUUL
 
Altria investing in
cannabis industry
 
 
Marketing
 
Leveraging marketing
budget and distribution
capabilities 
convenience and
awareness
Issue Maturity
(in public realm)
Approach
 
Latent
 
Emerging
 
Institutionalized
 
Consolidating
 
Defensive
 
Compliance
 
Managerial
 
Strategic
 
Risky Red Zone
 
Tobacco companies must adapt to changing perceptions of tobacco and vaping
 
Focus on
British
American
Tobacco
Japan
Tobacco
Inc.
Phillip
Morris
(+ Altria)
Issue Maturity
(in public realm)
Approach
 
Latent
 
Emerging
 
Institutionalized
 
Consolidating
 
Defensive
 
Compliance
 
Managerial
 
Strategic
 
Risky Red Zone
 
Tobacco companies must adapt to changing perceptions of tobacco and vaping
British
American
Tobacco
Japan
Tobacco
Inc.
Phillip
Morris
(+ Altria)
Issue Maturity
(in public realm)
Approach
 
Latent
 
Emerging
 
Institutionalized
 
Consolidating
 
Defensive
 
Compliance
 
Managerial
 
Strategic
 
Risky Red Zone
 
Tobacco companies must adapt to changing perceptions of tobacco and vaping
 
Focus on developing ethical leadership that can sustain organization beyond tobacco
British
American
Tobacco
Japan
Tobacco
Inc.
Phillip
Morris
(+ Altria)
 
Why Tobacco companies should care? Because there is a lot of money involved
 
Adults are rapidly switching to Vape and is already penetrated on younger population
 
Tobacco Smoker
 
$5,000
 
$200K
 
$260K
 
Yearly Spend
 
(Between 1 and 2
packages daily)
 
LTV (40 Years)
 
Margin (30%)
 
1 in 10 adults smoke
 
2M
 
Size of the market:
 
$120Bn
 
How Big Tobacco initially reacted to the disruption
Innovation
Market
Adaptation
 
Boring product
Lack of innovation in tobacco
industry has stayed the same
for centuries
 
Long history of success for
tobacco without need for
change
 
Next generation of
consumers looking for
exciting and healthier
product
 
Tobacco alternatives meeting the market demands of present and future consumers
 
Tobacco industry needs to reinvent itself
 
Invest in product development
Risks
Mitigation
Contingency
 
Risks can be mitigated!
 
Big Tobacco should have taken an ethical leadership approach
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The tobacco industry has seen a shift in trends with the emergence of Juul threatening Big Tobacco's market share. Market dynamics, alternatives, and reactions of major players like Altria are analyzed in light of changing consumer preferences and regulations.

  • Tobacco Industry
  • Big Tobacco
  • Juul
  • Market Analysis
  • Disruption

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  1. Tobacco Industry: Big Tobacco vs Juul Amanda Rushton Jesse Prent Jonathan Faerman Winnie Hu JMSB Consulting

  2. Industry The Disruption Analysis Alternatives Recommendation Three primary product categories in tobacco industry Traditional Cigarettes Vaping Products Hybrid Products Tobacco has developed substitute products to appeal to smokers looking to switch/quit

  3. Industry The Disruption Analysis Alternatives Recommendation Tobacco Industry has faced a change in trends for the past 40 years R&D on hybrid products: IQOS Mesh in development Health Phillip Morris Consciousness British American Tobacco Perception Second movers: Released hybrid and vapes Tobacco Industry reaction: Fast Followers: Hybrid products & Vape in the US Convenience Japan Tobacco Traditional companies have reacted slowly and waited for market signals

  4. Industry The Disruption Analysis Alternatives Recommendation Market and regulations are changing rapidly Marketing Society Consumers Direct communication with customers is no longer possible Tobacco is becoming against new lifestyles and smoking is no longer free Health conscious consumers are looking for alternatives Traditional companies have not adapted to the new environment

  5. Industry The Disruption Analysis Alternatives Recommendation JUUL s success threatens Big Tobacco s ability to compete in vaping market Juul: 80% of market share Technology Marketing Nicotine salt formulation Social Media Style Others Discrete Size Not as much regulation Flavors Clean Meme culture Inconclusive medical studies Juul 80% Declining tobacco sales means long-term success in vaping or further diversification is necessary

  6. Industry The Disruption Analysis Alternatives Recommendation How Big Tobacco has reacted to JUUL Marketing Acquisition R&D Leveraging marketing budget and distribution capabilities convenience and awareness Altria purchased 30% stake in JUUL Product innovations that can compete with JUUL Altria investing in cannabis industry

  7. Industry Analysis The Disruption Alternatives Recommendation Tobacco companies must adapt to changing perceptions of tobacco and vaping Approach Strategic Phillip Morris (+ Altria) Managerial British American Tobacco Japan Tobacco Inc. Compliance Risky Red Zone Defensive Issue Maturity (in public realm) Emerging Consolidating Latent Institutionalized Focus on

  8. Industry Analysis The Disruption Alternatives Recommendation Tobacco companies must adapt to changing perceptions of tobacco and vaping Approach Strategic Phillip Morris (+ Altria) Managerial British American Tobacco Japan Tobacco Inc. Compliance Risky Red Zone Defensive Issue Maturity (in public realm) Emerging Consolidating Latent Institutionalized

  9. Industry Analysis The Disruption Alternatives Recommendation Tobacco companies must adapt to changing perceptions of tobacco and vaping Approach Strategic Phillip Morris (+ Altria) Managerial British American Tobacco Japan Tobacco Inc. Compliance Risky Red Zone Defensive Issue Maturity (in public realm) Emerging Consolidating Latent Institutionalized Focus on developing ethical leadership that can sustain organization beyond tobacco

  10. Industry Analysis The Disruption Alternatives Recommendation Why Tobacco companies should care? Because there is a lot of money involved Size of the market: Tobacco Smoker 1 in 10 adults smoke 2M Yearly Spend LTV (40 Years) Margin (30%) $5,000 $200K $260K (Between 1 and 2 packages daily) $120Bn Adults are rapidly switching to Vape and is already penetrated on younger population

  11. Industry Analysis The Disruption Alternatives Recommendation How Big Tobacco initially reacted to the disruption Product Innovation Slow product innovation Increased R&D spend, acquisitions Imperfect products pushed to market Regulatory Environment Exploited lack of regulations No ethical use lobbying power Lifestyle marketing Unsubstantiated health claims Marketing

  12. Industry Alternatives The Disruption Analysis Recommendation Tobacco alternatives meeting the market demands of present and future consumers Innovation Boring product Lack of innovation in tobacco industry has stayed the same for centuries Product Adaptation Strategic Focus Long history of success for tobacco without need for change Market Market Next generation of consumers looking for exciting and healthier product Tobacco industry needs to reinvent itself

  13. Industry Alternatives The Disruption Analysis Recommendation Invest in product development Enter New Industry Innovate Product Ethical Leadership Criteria Feasibility Profitability Sustainable Growth

  14. Industry Alternatives The Disruption Analysis Recommendation Risks can be mitigated! Risks Contingency Mitigation Public backlash for hypocrisy Invest marketing and rebranding campaign Spin off Develop additional products Regulatory limitations Invest in lobbying Expensive to innovate product Invest in more R&D Acquire smaller player

  15. Industry The Disruption Analysis Alternatives Recommendation Big Tobacco should have taken an ethical leadership approach Product Innovation Technology to improve safety: app-based age verification Partnerships with independent labs for health studies Medical applications: aerosol administration of medicine Regulatory Environment Work with governments to shape regulations Collaborate with other regulating bodies to explore medical applications No lifestyle marketing Use substantiated claims only Increase transparency to improve public relations Marketing

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