Technology Sector Overview and Trends

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Taylor Woodruff
Kyle Temple
Austin Frazier
Brady Parsons
Thomas Laskowski
 
Current State: slightly bearish
Some hesitation on fiscal cliff
 Consists of:
information technology consulting, semiconductor
products, computers and computer peripherals,
telecommunication services and wireless
telecommunication services
 
Weak demand, cut IPhone 5 orders
 
RIM, Blackberry 10 this week
 
Google cofounder, Google glasses
 
Netflix- 37% price increase over growth
expectations
 
The technology sector is volatile.
extremely sensitive to consumer estimates
Demand is shifting from hardware to
software and high end services.
Not as heavily impacted during recession
In business cycle, XLK is in expansion
near peak.  Jan-March are consistently
XLK strongest months.
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Apple: 14.42%
Intl Business Machine Corp: 7.59%
Microsoft: 7.36%
Google: 6.99%
AT&T: 6.73%
 
No Changes
Snapdragon 800 Chip
 
Product Innovation/ Research and
Development
Billions of dollars spent each year
Must be cutting edge or could become obsolete
 
 
Government Regulation
Need protection of patents and trademarks to
protect new ideas
 
 
Consumer Sentiment
For Tech firms to thrive there must be a substantial
amount of consumer spending.
 
Economy
The performance of the sector tends to be very
volatile, dependent upon current state of the
economy.
 
Key Drivers
 
PEG
P/E divided by the growth rate of a company’s
earnings.
Many companies in growth stage.
Lower = more undervalued.
P/E
Current share price compared to per share
earnings.
Important to what each company is trading at in
relation to their earnings.
 
P/CF
compares the stock's market price to the amount of
cash flow the company generates.
Many smaller firms are acquired by corporate
giants.
Strong indicator of having sufficient cash for future
endeavors.
 
Apple
Intel
Dell
F5 Networks
Ebay
AT&T
Verizon
Oracle
 
Qualcomm
Texas Instruments
Microsoft
Crown Castle International
IBM
Centurylink
Salesforce.com
 
Recommended buy on 12/6
CIF Decision: Bought @ $63.94
Review Performance: +.75%
 
Continued growth in 4G networks
Lagged by Apple
Announce on Jan. 30
th
 
Recommended no buy on 12/3
Review Performance: +13.20%
 
Announced Q4 “sneak peak”
Restructured wireless segment
New products demo at CES
 
Recommended buy on 11/15         CIF:
NO BUY
Review Performance: +1.60%
 
Weak holiday computer sells
Surface tablet sales, Surface Pro
Windows 8 phone, cloud network
Intel Buyout
 
 
 
Recommended buy on 12/7           CIF: NO
BUY
Review Performance: +5.5%
 
Reached agreements with Sprint and
Clearwire
Acquisition of shared wireless towers
 
Recommended buy on 11/13   CIF: NO BUY
Review Performance: +3.7%
 
Recently beat wall street estimates
Revenue continues to slowly decline
Supercomputer and cloud computing
 
 
Recommended buy on 11/8    CIF: NO BUY
Review Performance: +1.9%
 
Combines network sales & operations
Announced $.725 dividend
Earnings Feb. 13th
 
 
 
Recommended no buy on 10/16
Review Performance: +9.3%
 
Recently beat wall street estimates
Facing increased competition
4-1 split announced
 
 
 
Recommendation: YES
Dropped 20.97% since purchased on
10/18
Analysts wonder whether the tech giant
has “lost its steam”
Missed earnings on January 24
th
Iphone is no longer the best selling
phone
What’s next to come? 
 will determine
their future
 
 
Recommendation: NO
Lost 1.57% since recommended on 10/23
Told analysts that they would be
spending $13 billion to build and
develop manufacturing technology, up $2
billion from 2012
Wall Street doesn
t see the value, they see PC’s
becoming more obsolete by the year
 
Recommendation: NO
Has gained 12.14% since it was
recommended on 10/25
Earnings beat estimates, unexpected
Holiday spending online was up
Outlook is somewhat mixed, as some
analysts see Amazon bullying for market
share
 
Recommendation: YES
Lost 3.07% since it was recommended on
October 25
th
Executives blamed Hurricane Sandy for
lost revenue in the quarter
Added 80,000 subscribers above what
analysts estimated, providing for some
optimisim in 2013.
 
Recommendation: YES
F5 networks has exploded since
recommended on 10/30, up 17.31%
The stock dropped 20% the week prior to
its recommendation due to lower revenues
and several analyst downgrades.
Their new products have been entering the
market and are receiving positive
affirmation, pushing the stock towards their
all-time highs.
 
Recommendation: NO
The stock has fallen 5.7% since
recommended on 11/1
Talks about the outright buyout of
Vodaphone have worried investors.
VZ already owns 55% of Vodaphone, yet analysts
don
t the acquisition as the best source of cash
for the shareholders.
 
Recommendation: YES
Oracle was purchased on 10/18 and
posted an 8% gain before it was sold in
December.
Overall, it has gained 12.82%, sold a bit
too early!
Their announcement to pay three early
dividends in 2012 inclined investors to
jump on board, as they were all scared
about capital gains taxes going into 2013.
 
 
Recommendation: NO
Dell has posted gains of 34.73% since it was
recommended on 11/6.
Dell has been in talks about going private
Currently 4 major banks lined up to help with
financing, as well as Microsoft
Microsoft could monopolize the PC market (possibly) by
buying Dell outright, yet its unexpected
Dell has lost a lot of market share and has no
competition in the tablet generation
 
With XLK’s 15% stake in Apple, we
definitely see the value of an
underweight ETF proportion
Bullish on IT computing, cloud
computing, and telecommunication
services
Bearish on semiconductors and
computers sales
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The technology sector is experiencing slight bearishness with some concerns over the fiscal cliff. It includes IT consulting, semiconductor products, computers, telecommunication services, and more. Recent developments show weak demand with iPhone 5 order cuts and Netflix facing challenges. Despite volatility, the sector remains less impacted during recession. Key drivers include consumer sentiment and economic conditions. Innovation and R&D are crucial for staying competitive, along with government regulations for protecting intellectual property.

  • Technology
  • Sector
  • Trends
  • Innovation
  • Consumer

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Presentation Transcript


  1. Taylor Woodruff Kyle Temple Austin Frazier Brady Parsons Thomas Laskowski

  2. Current State: slightly bearish Some hesitation on fiscal cliff Consists of: information technology consulting, semiconductor products, computers and computer peripherals, telecommunication services and wireless telecommunication services

  3. Weak demand, cut IPhone 5 orders RIM, Blackberry 10 this week Google cofounder, Google glasses Netflix- 37% price increase over growth expectations

  4. The technology sector is volatile. extremely sensitive to consumer estimates Demand is shifting from hardware to software and high end services. Not as heavily impacted during recession In business cycle, XLK is in expansion near peak. Jan-March are consistently XLK strongest months.

  5. Apple: 14.42% Intl Business Machine Corp: 7.59% Microsoft: 7.36% Google: 6.99% AT&T: 6.73%

  6. No Changes Snapdragon 800 Chip

  7. Product Innovation/ Research and Development Billions of dollars spent each year Must be cutting edge or could become obsolete Government Regulation Need protection of patents and trademarks to protect new ideas

  8. Key Drivers Consumer Sentiment For Tech firms to thrive there must be a substantial amount of consumer spending. Economy The performance of the sector tends to be very volatile, dependent upon current state of the economy.

  9. PEG P/E divided by the growth rate of a company s earnings. Many companies in growth stage. Lower = more undervalued. P/E Current share price compared to per share earnings. Important to what each company is trading at in relation to their earnings.

  10. P/CF compares the stock's market price to the amount of cash flow the company generates. Many smaller firms are acquired by corporate giants. Strong indicator of having sufficient cash for future endeavors.

  11. Apple Intel Dell F5 Networks Ebay AT&T Verizon Oracle Qualcomm Texas Instruments Microsoft Crown Castle International IBM Centurylink Salesforce.com

  12. Recommended buy on 12/6 CIF Decision: Bought @ $63.94 Review Performance: +.75% Continued growth in 4G networks Lagged by Apple Announce on Jan. 30th

  13. Recommended no buy on 12/3 Review Performance: +13.20% Announced Q4 sneak peak Restructured wireless segment New products demo at CES

  14. Recommended buy on 11/15 CIF: NO BUY Review Performance: +1.60% Weak holiday computer sells Surface tablet sales, Surface Pro Windows 8 phone, cloud network Intel Buyout

  15. Recommended buy on 12/7 CIF: NO BUY Review Performance: +5.5% Reached agreements with Sprint and Clearwire Acquisition of shared wireless towers

  16. Recommended buy on 11/13 CIF: NO BUY Review Performance: +3.7% Recently beat wall street estimates Revenue continues to slowly decline Supercomputer and cloud computing

  17. Recommended buy on 11/8 CIF: NO BUY Review Performance: +1.9% Combines network sales & operations Announced $.725 dividend Earnings Feb. 13th

  18. Recommended no buy on 10/16 Review Performance: +9.3% Recently beat wall street estimates Facing increased competition 4-1 split announced

  19. Recommendation: YES Dropped 20.97% since purchased on 10/18 Analysts wonder whether the tech giant has lost its steam Missed earnings on January 24th Iphone is no longer the best selling phone What s next to come? will determine their future

  20. Recommendation: NO Lost 1.57% since recommended on 10/23 Told analysts that they would be spending $13 billion to build and develop manufacturing technology, up $2 billion from 2012 Wall Street doesn t see the value, they see PC s becoming more obsolete by the year

  21. Recommendation: NO Has gained 12.14% since it was recommended on 10/25 Earnings beat estimates, unexpected Holiday spending online was up Outlook is somewhat mixed, as some analysts see Amazon bullying for market share

  22. Recommendation: YES Lost 3.07% since it was recommended on October 25th Executives blamed Hurricane Sandy for lost revenue in the quarter Added 80,000 subscribers above what analysts estimated, providing for some optimisim in 2013.

  23. Recommendation: YES F5 networks has exploded since recommended on 10/30, up 17.31% The stock dropped 20% the week prior to its recommendation due to lower revenues and several analyst downgrades. Their new products have been entering the market and are receiving positive affirmation, pushing the stock towards their all-time highs.

  24. Recommendation: NO The stock has fallen 5.7% since recommended on 11/1 Talks about the outright buyout of Vodaphone have worried investors. VZ already owns 55% of Vodaphone, yet analysts don t the acquisition as the best source of cash for the shareholders.

  25. Recommendation: YES Oracle was purchased on 10/18 and posted an 8% gain before it was sold in December. Overall, it has gained 12.82%, sold a bit too early! Their announcement to pay three early dividends in 2012 inclined investors to jump on board, as they were all scared about capital gains taxes going into 2013.

  26. Recommendation: NO Dell has posted gains of 34.73% since it was recommended on 11/6. Dell has been in talks about going private Currently 4 major banks lined up to help with financing, as well as Microsoft Microsoft could monopolize the PC market (possibly) by buying Dell outright, yet its unexpected Dell has lost a lot of market share and has no competition in the tablet generation

  27. With XLKs 15% stake in Apple, we definitely see the value of an underweight ETF proportion Bullish on IT computing, cloud computing, and telecommunication services Bearish on semiconductors and computers sales

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