Probability of Simple Events

 
Unit 5A
Probability
 
Probability of Simple Events
 
Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events
 
Objective: 
 Swbat find the probability of an
event.
 
Do Now:
 
Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events
 
Definitions
Probability
 is the chance that some event will
occur.
A 
simple event 
is one outcome or a collection of
outcomes.
Outcome
 is a possible result in a probability
experiment.
Random
 – each outcome is equally likely to
occur.
Complementary events 
are two events in which
either one or the other must happen.
 
 
 Probability can be written as a fraction,
decimal or percent.
 
Value is between 
0 (impossible) 
and
 
1 (certain).
 
Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events
 
Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events
The probability of an event is a ratio that
compares the number of favorable outcomes
to the number of possible outcomes.
 
  
P(event) = 
number of favorable outcomes
    
number of possible outcomes
 
Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events
 
Example:  Flip of a Coin
  
2 outcomes (Heads or Tails)
 
 
  
P(Heads) = ½  or   .5  or   50%
  
P(Tails) = ½  or   .5  or   50%
 
 
Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events
 
Example:  Roll of a Number Cube
  
6 outcomes (1,2,3,4,5,6)
 
  
P(0) = 0/6 
 
0%
 
 
  
P(1) = 1/6    or .17  or 17%
 
  
P(2,3,or 4) = 3/6  or .5  or 50%
 
  
P(1,2,3,4,5,6) = 6/6 or 100%
 
Complement
 
P(not a 6) = 5/6  or  83%
 
Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events
 
Example: Roll of a set of dice
 
Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events
 
Real-World Problem
Mr. Harada surveyed his class and discovered
that 30% of his students have blue eyes.
Identify the complement of this event.
 
Classwork
 
Guided Practice #1 – 5
 
Independent Practice #1 – 5
 
Problem Solving Practice #1 - 8
 
Closure
 
Question:
  What do the possibilities of an event
range between?
 
Exit Ticket
 
Homework:
  Practice # 1 - 18
 
Exit Ticket
 
There are 3 red marbles, 2 yellow marbles and
3 purple marbles in a bag.
What is the probability of picking a purple
marble?
 
What is the probability of the complement?
 
Homework
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Explore the concept of probability by learning about simple events, outcomes, and calculating probabilities using favorable outcomes. Discover how to express probability as fractions, decimals, or percentages through real-world examples like coin flips and dice rolls. Enhance your understanding of complementary events and their probabilities in various scenarios. Dive into practical applications of probability in everyday situations, such as Mr. Harada's survey on eye colors in his class.

  • Probability
  • Simple Events
  • Outcomes
  • Fractions
  • Decimals

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  1. Unit 5A Probability Probability of Simple Events

  2. Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events Objective: Swbat find the probability of an event. Do Now:

  3. Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events Definitions Probability is the chance that some event will occur. A simple event is one outcome or a collection of outcomes. Outcome is a possible result in a probability experiment. Random each outcome is equally likely to occur. Complementary events are two events in which either one or the other must happen.

  4. Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events Probability can be written as a fraction, decimal or percent. Value is between 0 (impossible) and 1 (certain).

  5. Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events The probability of an event is a ratio that compares the number of favorable outcomes to the number of possible outcomes. P(event) = number of favorable outcomes number of possible outcomes

  6. Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events Example: Flip of a Coin 2 outcomes (Heads or Tails) P(Heads) = or .5 or 50% P(Tails) = or .5 or 50%

  7. Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events Example: Roll of a Number Cube 6 outcomes (1,2,3,4,5,6) P(0) = 0/6 0% P(1) = 1/6 or .17 or 17% P(2,3,or 4) = 3/6 or .5 or 50% P(1,2,3,4,5,6) = 6/6 or 100% Complement P(not a 6) = 5/6 or 83%

  8. Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events Example: Roll of a set of dice 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6

  9. Lesson 1: Probability of Simple Events Real-World Problem Mr. Harada surveyed his class and discovered that 30% of his students have blue eyes. Identify the complement of this event.

  10. Classwork Guided Practice #1 5 Independent Practice #1 5 Problem Solving Practice #1 - 8

  11. Closure Question: What do the possibilities of an event range between? Exit Ticket Homework: Practice # 1 - 18

  12. Exit Ticket There are 3 red marbles, 2 yellow marbles and 3 purple marbles in a bag. What is the probability of picking a purple marble? What is the probability of the complement?

  13. Homework

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