Myanmar's Peace Process Update and Ceasefire Progress Overview
The updates on Myanmar's peace process include insights into the ceasefires under the Tatmadaw government, a timeline of ceasefires, a roadmap of the peace process, incidents in states and regions, conflict statistics, and alleged illegal activities. The information provides a comprehensive view of the peace negotiations and conflict dynamics in Myanmar from 2011 to 2014.
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Myanmars Peace Process Update Min Zaw Oo Washington D.C. March 25, 2015
Ceasefires under the Tatmadaw Government 40 Total number of armed groups that agreed ceasefire under the Tatmadaw government Number of remaining ceasefire groups by 2009 25 5 Number of ceasefire groups that joined BGF 15 Number of ceasefire groups that transformed into People Militia 5 Number of ceasefire groups refused to join BGF and People Militia Number of armed groups that the government currently recognizes as dialogue partners 16
ROAD MAP OF THE PEACE PROCESS Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement and Implementation Framework for Political Dialogue Union Peace Dialogue Union Peace Accord and Implementation
INCIDENTS IN STATES AND REGIONS (JANUARY 2011 DECEMBER 2014 ) 180 160 140 120 100 2011 2012 80 2013 60 2014 40 20 0 All Without Kachin Without Kachin and Shan *Majority of incidents are in Kachin and Shan State
Kachin State June 2011 to Dec 2013 1450 clashes (47 clashes per month average) Jan to Dec 2014 .67 clashes (6 clashes per month average)
CONFLICT AFFECTED TOWNSHIPS* (JANUARY 2011 DECEMBER 2014 ) Before Ceasefire Initiatives (2011) 2014 N= 43 N= 28 * Both Government and Media Sources
NUMBER OF ARMED CONFLICT AFFECTED TOWNSHIPS ( JANUARY 2011 DECEMBER 2014 ) 50 45 43 40 35 32 30 30 28 25 20 15 10 5 0 2011 2012 2013 2014
ALLEGED ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES ( JANUARY 2013 DECEMBER 2014 ) 250 203 200 150 116 116 108 101 100 82 79 75 45 38 50 36 34 31 31 28 23 22 11 7 7 0 2013 2014
ALLEGED ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES CONFLICT IMPACTED TOWNSHIPS 2014 2013 N=93 N=113
Summary of Nationwide Incidents by the Government (September 2012 October 2013) Source : ND-Burma Report (AAPP, KWAT, CHRO, HURFOM, PWO, TSYO) 60 54 50 42 38 40 30 30 20 20 16 12 10 2 0 Arbitrary/ illegal arrest/ detention Confiscation/ destruction of property Disappearances Forced Labour Killings Sexual violence Torture Arbitrary Taxation
NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT DRAFTING MEETINGS Require to Discuss 8% 3rd Meeting 24% 1st Meeting 46% 2nd Meeting 22% Discussion Discussion Point Agreements Require to Discuss 104 49 55 First Meeting 55 24 31 Second Meeting 31 26 5 Third Meeting 5 0 8 Fourth Meeting
