Modelling Drivers Licences & Auto Ownership in GTA

This detailed study delves into the intricate dynamics of drivers' licenses and vehicle ownership within the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). The research encompasses various factors such as gender, age, occupation, income level, and transit usage to model the patterns of license acquisition and vehicle ownership. Through a series of logit models and assignments, the study provides a comprehensive overview of travel behavior and vehicle ownership determinants.

• Modelling
• Drivers Licences
• Auto Ownership
• GTA
• Travel Behaviour

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Uploaded on Mar 06, 2025 | 0 Views

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Presentation Transcript

1. Modelling Drivers Licences & Auto Ownership in GTAModel 4.1 2020.02.05 Travel Modelling Group 1

2. Initial Network Assignment GTAModel V4.1 Overview Load LoS Data Initial Network Assignments Compute Access Station Choice Models Compute Aggregate Place of Work/School Models Assign Discrete Work and School Zones Assign Licenses to Household Members Assign Number of Vehicles to Household TASHA / Mode Choice Special Generators Network Assignment Compute Access Station Models Compute Aggregate PoRPoW Compute Aggregate PoRPoS Load Household Assign Work/School Zones Assign Driver Licenses Assign Cars to Household TASHA Mode Choice External Model Network Assignment Airport Model Compute Next Iteration Freight Model Travel Modelling Group 2

3. Acknowledgment The following models were estimated by Dr. Ahmadreza Imani now at Imperial College London Travel Modelling Group

4. Driver Licenses Binary logit model Based on: Gender Age Category Occupation Employment Status Household Income level Population density of home Transit utility to work or school Distance to work or school Travel Modelling Group 4

5. Multinomial Logit Model ???? ? ? = ????? Travel Modelling Group 5

6. Vehicle Ownership Based on: Number of Adults Number of Kids (<16) Number of Full-time workers Number of driver licenses 0, 1, 2, 3+ Household Income category Population density of home zone Job density of home zone Average distance to work for home zone Average transit utility to work for home zone Average auto travel time to work for home zone Travel Modelling Group 6

7. Vehicle Ownership Ordered-logit model Spatial Segmentation Inner Toronto (Base) Outer Toronto 905 Old City of Hamilton Travel Modelling Group 7

8. Generalized Ordered Logit Model Logit CDF 1 1 + ??? ? ??? ???? Travel Modelling Group 8 8

9. Questions? Travel Modelling Group