Investigating Fair Coin Tossing Mechanisms and Properties

8. Fair Coin
Review
Tom Divehall
New Zealand
2018
The Problem
In many cases, disputes are resolved with a coin
toss. It is presumed that this procedure gives
equal chances 
of winning to both sides.
Investigate how the chances depend on the
tossing mechanism 
and the 
coin properties
.
2
The report
Did not state the problem
Probability theory + history
Right coin
Properties of coins
Probability of heads and tails
Did not describe methods
Showed results tables
Showed conclusions from results (1 ruble is best
coin)
3
The opposition
CQs: Does the drop height affect results? Did
you change the angle of the coin when
dropped? Do you have anything to predict
what result you will get?
Cons: did not explain problem, did not control
important parameters, did not use different
tossing mechanisms.
Praised for doing many tests
4
Points discussed
How is the angle effective?
Change results
what things are error
another toss method
Angle
Opponent
How does the drop angle
affect results?
But how?
Reporter
It will change the
probability
Did not know
6
Our opinion: Agree with opponent
What changes results?
Opponent
Reporter
7
Our opinion
Another Method
Opponent
Could you tell us another
method?
Reporter
I do not know any other
methods
8
Our opinion : I believe that the reporter should have used
another method however the opponent did also not suggest
one.
Situation
Opponent
Would changing the
situation e.g doing it in
water affect the
probability?
Why?
Reporter
Yes
I am not sure
9
Our opinion : I agree with the opponent that it could affect the
results and should have been tested by the reporter.
Points missed
Repeats
Didn’t explain why the coin was the best
10
11
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The review explores how fair coin tosses are resolved and the dependency on tossing mechanisms and coin properties. It discusses probability theory, right coin properties, probability of heads and tails, and different methods used. The report lacked a clear problem statement and control of important parameters. The angle of dropping the coin and other variables were examined, suggesting alternative methods for future studies to improve accuracy.

  • Coin Toss
  • Probability Theory
  • Tossing Mechanisms
  • Coin Properties
  • Fairness

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Presentation Transcript


  1. 8. Fair Coin Review Tom Divehall New Zealand 2018

  2. The Problem In many cases, disputes are resolved with a coin toss. It is presumed that this procedure gives equal chances of winning to both sides. Investigate how the chances depend on the tossing mechanism and the coin properties. 2

  3. The report Did not state the problem Probability theory + history Right coin Properties of coins Probability of heads and tails Did not describe methods Showed results tables Showed conclusions from results (1 ruble is best coin) 3

  4. The opposition CQs: Does the drop height affect results? Did you change the angle of the coin when dropped? Do you have anything to predict what result you will get? Cons: did not explain problem, did not control important parameters, did not use different tossing mechanisms. Praised for doing many tests 4

  5. Points discussed How is the angle effective? Change results what things are error another toss method

  6. Angle Opponent Reporter How does the drop angle affect results? But how? It will change the probability Did not know Our opinion: Agree with opponent 6

  7. What changes results? Opponent Reporter Our opinion 7

  8. Another Method Opponent Reporter Could you tell us another method? I do not know any other methods Our opinion : I believe that the reporter should have used another method however the opponent did also not suggest one. 8

  9. Situation Opponent Reporter Would changing the situation e.g doing it in water affect the probability? Why? Yes I am not sure Our opinion : I agree with the opponent that it could affect the results and should have been tested by the reporter. 9

  10. Points missed Repeats Didn t explain why the coin was the best 10

  11. 11

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