Insights from October 2022 FWD.US Immigration Poll on Dreamers Legislation Support
Broad bipartisan support exists for legislation providing an earned pathway to citizenship for Dreamers and investment in border security among likely 2024 General Election voters nationwide. The key findings emphasize strong support for protecting Dreamers across party lines, including among Republican primary voters and Trump supporters. Messaging recommendations include highlighting Dreamers' American identity and the requirements for earning citizenship. Current support for the legislation is robust, with over 70% backing it, notably among various voter segments.
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October 2022 FWD.US Immigration Poll Findings And Recommendations from a Multi-Modal Poll of Likely 2024 GE Voters Nationwide
Methodology Impact Research and Public Opinion Strategies conducted a poll of N=800 likely 2024 GE voters nationwide via text-to-web and an online panel. Interviews were conducted between September 23 October 1, 2022. The margin of error for a sample of this size is 3.5 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence. The margin of error for subgroups varies and is higher.
Key Findings There is broad support for legislation that would create an earned pathway to citizenship for Dreamers and invest in border security. A majority of voters across partisanship support the legislation, and support is also strong among Republican primary voters and those who voted for Trump in 2020. Voters also support the individual components of the legislation, especially providing protections for Dreamers 8-in-10 voters support providing a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers, including a majority (52%) strongly supporting. 3
Recommendations Messaging should highlight two things: This legislation package helps Dreamers, who are American in every way but their paperwork. There is strong support across partisanship for providing protections for Dreamers. Almost half (48%) find a message on protecting Dreamers to be a very convincing to support the legislation. To earn citizenship, people will have to follow the rules. Citizenship can only be earned by people who learn/speak English, pay any back taxes, and pass a background check. 4
CURRENT SUPPORT FOR LEGISLATION
Support for the legislation package is strong, with more than 7- in-10 voters supporting and a plurality (45%) strongly supporting. Support - Strongly Support - Somewhat Oppose - Strongly Oppose - Somewhat Don't Know 100 80 Do you support or oppose legislation that would create an earned path to citizenship for Dreamers who came to the U.S. as young children and invest in border security to secure our southern border? 71 60 40 45 21 20 13 8 0 Overall NET +50 SUPPORT 6
Voters across partisanship support the package, including a majority of Republican Primary voters and those who voted for Trump in 2020. LEGISLATION SUPPORT BY PARTISANSHIP Support Oppose Don't Know 100 80 83 82 73 71 60 59 59 58 40 35 34 34 20 9 21 8 8 8 7 7 7 18 10 9 0 Overall Democrats Independents Republicans Republican Primary Voters +25 2020 Biden Voters +74 2020 Trump Voters +25 NET +50 +72 +55 +23 SUPPORT 7
The individual components of the package also receive majority support. More than 7-in-10 support an earned pathway to citizenship for undocumented farmworkers and essential workers. % TOTAL SUPPORT IND Strongly support Somewhat support DEM REP Creating an earned path to citizenship for Dreamers who came to the U.S. as young children who graduated high school and either attend college or get a job. 93 74 71 52 80 Creating an earned pathway to citizenship for undocumented farmworkers and other essential workers. 92 69 52 37 72 Investing in border security and building a high-tech, virtual wall along the border with Mexico that would use laser sensors and drones to help prevent illegal border crossings. 44 64 86 41 64 0 20 40 60 80 100 8
Good messaging: Itd be wrong to send Dreamers home (Dem + Ind), and people will be required to follow rules (Rep + Ind). LEGISLATION POSITIVES TOP TIER % Very convincing [DREAMERS] Dreamers came to the U.S. as young children and many have been here for over 20 years. They are American in every way but their paperwork, and it would be wrong to send them with no family to a country they don t know. [RULES] This earned pathway to citizenship includes requirements like participants learning English, paying any taxes owed, and passing a background check and those who do not pass these strict requirements will not be able to qualify. Overall Democrats Independents Republicans 73 43 23 48 40 41 34 38 10
Messages on border security, that immigrants make America stronger, and that this is a chance to finally take action on immigration test with less intensity. LEGISLATION POSITIVES SECOND TIER % Very convincing [BORDER] While we continue to invest in smart border security to reduce illegal immigration, we also need to create an earned pathway to citizenship for Dreamers who have come to this country as children and have lived here for over two decades on average. [STRONGER] Immigrants make America stronger by driving business creation, fueling innovation, strengthening communities, and bolstering the middle class. This legislation will help the U.S. stay competitive and drive economic growth. [SYSTEM] This is a bipartisan opportunity to take a step forward after three decades of inaction on immigration. This legislation will result in better security for our border and protections for Dreamers. Overall Democrats Independents Republicans 61 30 17 37 46 22 12 28 34 23 10 23 11
The vote moves against us after positive and negative messaging we do not benefit from an extended debate. The U.S. is a nation of laws, and we shouldn t reward those who come to this country illegally. This legislation will only encourage more illegal immigration and open borders increasing crime and the number of immigrants living off U.S. taxpayer dollars. LEGISLATION SUPPORT PROGRESSION Support Oppose Don't Know 100 80 74 71 60 64 40 29 20 8 7 21 21 6 0 Initial Support Post-Positives Support Post-Negative Support NET +50 +53 +35 SUPPORT 12
