InfoTech Sector Outlook - Key Insights

INFO TECH
SECTOR OUTLOOK
Sean McDowell | Abby Marks | Tony Kajfasz 
Ryan McCuen | Tori Magers | Meghdeep Mukherjee | Connor Koehnke
AGENDA
SECTOR OVERVIEW
SECTOR
SIZE & WEIGHT
https://eresearch.fidelity.com
SECTOR
PERFORMANCE
https://eresearch.fidelity.com
SECTOR
10 LARGEST
Top 10 
companies comprise 
68.5% of
weighting
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SP-
S5INFT/components/
SECTOR
PERFORMANCE
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SP-
S5INFT/components/
https://novelinvestor.com/sector-performance/
SECTOR
PERFORMANCE
InfoTech
https://novelinvestor.com/sector-performance/
BUSINESS ANALYSIS
SECTOR
BUSINESS CYCLE
Sourced from: Fidelity Investments
SECTOR
BUSINESS CYCLE
Sourced from: Fidelity Investments
SECTOR
BUSINESS CYCLE
Sourced from: Fidelity Investments
Trends and Takeaways
“Tracking the digital economy’s growth trajectory is essential because it
serves as an integral forward-looking barometer of U.S. economic growth
and international competitiveness” - Brookings Institute
Major Focal Points Moving Forward
The info tech industry grew from an annual value-add of $835 billion
in ‘08 to $1,480 billion in ‘17 (77% increase)
Global competition in key areas can heavily impact supply and
demand as well as profitability
46% of new revenue growth in the tech sector is attributed to
emerging technologies categories from 2018-2023
Abby or potentially HIDE
SECTOR
BUSINESS CYCLE
Key Takeaways: 
Best performing sector year-
to-date and S&P 500
Technology is up over 12% 
Technology’s strong balance
sheet makes it a rare cyclical
safe-haven. High Cash, Low
Debt.
Key Driver: 
Strong Balance Sheet
Only 10% of S&P 500
Technology’s constituents have
interest coverages ratios below
4, the lowest among all sectors.
The sector’s largest companies,
Apple & Microsoft (40% of
sector market cap), have
abundant cash reserves, & have
outperformed by over 2800
and 3100 basis points YTD
Negatives: 
June is the weakest month for sector seasonality, Bipartisan support to
break up big-tech companies, US tension with China rising
Positives: 
Outperforms in periods of falling volatility, Q2 earnings revision ratio of
-.20 is highest among all sectors, highest sector model score (for NDR)
NDR Sector Highlights
Key Indicator: 
Watch Software spending trends. Q1
GDP showed software capex growth
slowed, but it remained above 7%. 
Sourced from: Ned Davis Research
Group
PORTER’S 5 FORCES
New Entrants: Low
Economies of scale held by existing firms
High capital requirement
Established brand recognition
Supplier: Medium
Strong supplier relationships: long-
term & collaborative
Standard Specs for most products
New suppliers difficulty entering
Substitutes: Low
Info Tech currently doesn’t have a
substitute
Buyer: Medium - High
Low switching cost
Variety of choices for buyer
Incentive backed purchases
Price is a driving factor
Rivalry: High
Stiff competition amongst existing companies 
Strong brands have loyal and large customer
base
Uneven market share
INFOTECH IN
COVID-19
Negatives: 
Disrupting raw material supply chain
Disrupting electronics value chain 
Inflationary risk on products 
Positives: 
Rapid move to and emphasis on working from home 
Increased need in software, teleconferencing, social
media, etc. 
Focus on de-risking the end-to-end value chain
Renewed focus on sustainability practices. 
https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/about-deloitte/articles/covid-
19/understanding-covid-19-s-impact-on-the-technology-sector-.html
Covid-19 Impact,
Continued
E-commerce Quick Facts
According to a study done by Adobe,
Total online spending in May hit $82.5 billion, up
77% year over year
Memorial Day sales grew 75% compared to last
year
Mobile e-commerce grew 10% since January
In May, Connecticut saw a 99% growth in e-
commerce
SECTOR
VS. REIT
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
SECTOR
PERFORMANCE VS. S&P 500
Source: Fidelity
SECTOR
VS. US GDP
Source: Information Technology
Presentation
Source: Information Technology Presentation 
SECTOR
VS. SEMICONDUCTORS
Source: NetAdvantage
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Sales Growth and R&D
C
ommunications Equipment - Cisco, Motorola
Electronic Equipment - CDW
IT Services - Accenture, Fiserv, Paypal, Visa
Semiconductor - Intel, Nvidia
Software - Microsoft, Adobe, Oracle, Salesforce
Hardware, Storage & Peripherals - Apple, HP, Xerox
Source: NetAdvantage
Gross Margin % and 
Net Income %
C
ommunications Equipment - Cisco, Motorola
Electronic Equipment - CDW
IT Services - Accenture, Fiserv, Paypal, Visa
Semiconductor - Intel, Nvidia
Software - Microsoft, Adobe, Oracle, Salesforce
Hardware, Storage & Peripherals - Apple, HP,
Xerox
Source: NetAdvantage
Levered Cash Flow
Source: NetAdvantage
Sector Levered Cash increased 55% from 2015-
2019. 
S&P 23%
Sector Dividend Per Share Increased 84% from
2015-2019. 
S&P 35%
Sector EPS increased 73% from 2015-2019. 
S&P 57%
SECTOR
ST LIQUIDITY + LT SOLVENCY
Source: NetAdvantage
 VALUATION
ANALYSIS
SECTOR
VALUATION
SECTOR
VALUATION
Software Industry:
$3.61T Market Cap
SECTOR
VALUATION
SECTOR
VALUATION
 RECOMMENDATION
RECOMMENDATION
Match the S&P weight (+.53) and pull from overweight sectors of
communications and financials. Further recommend industries
within our sector with low debt and high cash balance sheets in this
time of uncertainty, best equipped to weather the storm.
QUESTIONS???
Slide Note

Sean

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This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the Information Technology sector outlook, covering sector size, performance, top companies, business analysis, and growth trajectory. Key takeaways include significant industry growth and the impact of emerging technologies on revenue. Stay informed to gauge economic growth and competitiveness.

  • InfoTech
  • Sector Outlook
  • Technology
  • Growth Trajectory
  • Business Analysis

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  1. INFO TECH SECTOR OUTLOOK Sean McDowell | Abby Marks | Tony Kajfasz Ryan McCuen | Tori Magers | Meghdeep Mukherjee | Connor Koehnke

  2. AGENDA

  3. SECTOR OVERVIEW

  4. SECTOR SIZE & WEIGHT Category Market Cap Market Weight Industries in Sector Result $9.95T 26.21% 6 Total Constituents 71 https://eresearch.fidelity.com

  5. SECTOR PERFORMANCE https://eresearch.fidelity.com

  6. https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SP- S5INFT/components/ SECTOR 10 LARGEST Top 10 companies comprise 68.5% of weighting

  7. https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SP- S5INFT/components/ SECTOR PERFORMANCE

  8. https://novelinvestor.com/sector-performance/ SECTOR https://novelinvestor.com/sector-performance/ PERFORMANCE InfoTech

  9. BUSINESS ANALYSIS

  10. SECTOR BUSINESS CYCLE Sourced from: Fidelity Investments

  11. SECTOR BUSINESS CYCLE Sourced from: Fidelity Investments

  12. SECTOR BUSINESS CYCLE Sourced from: Fidelity Investments

  13. Tracking the digital economys growth trajectory is essential because it serves as an integral forward-looking barometer of U.S. economic growth and international competitiveness - Brookings Institute Major Focal Points Moving Forward Trends and Takeaways The info tech industry grew from an annual value-add of $835 billion in 08 to $1,480 billion in 17 (77% increase) Global competition in key areas can heavily impact supply and demand as well as profitability 46% of new revenue growth in the tech sector is attributed to emerging technologies categories from 2018-2023

  14. NDR Sector Highlights Key Takeaways: Best performing sector year- to-date and S&P 500 Technology is up over 12% Technology s strong balance sheet makes it a rare cyclical safe-haven. High Cash, Low Debt. Key Indicator: Watch Software spending trends. Q1 GDP showed software capex growth slowed, but it remained above 7%. Key Driver: Strong Balance Sheet Only 10% of S&P 500 Technology s constituents have interest coverages ratios below 4, the lowest among all sectors. The sector s largest companies, Apple & Microsoft (40% of sector market cap), have abundant cash reserves, & have outperformed by over 2800 and 3100 basis points YTD SECTOR Abby or potentially HIDE BUSINESS CYCLE Negatives: June is the weakest month for sector seasonality, Bipartisan support to break up big-tech companies, US tension with China rising Positives: Outperforms in periods of falling volatility, Q2 earnings revision ratio of -.20 is highest among all sectors, highest sector model score (for NDR) Sourced from: Ned Davis Research

  15. Substitutes: Low Info Tech currently doesn t have a substitute Buyer: Medium - High Low switching cost Variety of choices for buyer Incentive backed purchases Price is a driving factor Supplier: Medium Strong supplier relationships: long- term & collaborative Standard Specs for most products New suppliers difficulty entering PORTER S 5 FORCES New Entrants: Low Economies of scale held by existing firms High capital requirement Established brand recognition Rivalry: High Stiff competition amongst existing companies Strong brands have loyal and large customer base Uneven market share

  16. Negatives: Disrupting raw material supply chain Disrupting electronics value chain Inflationary risk on products INFOTECH IN COVID-19 Positives: Rapid move to and emphasis on working from home Increased need in software, teleconferencing, social media, etc. Focus on de-risking the end-to-end value chain Renewed focus on sustainability practices. https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/about-deloitte/articles/covid- 19/understanding-covid-19-s-impact-on-the-technology-sector-.html

  17. E-commerce Quick Facts According to a study done by Adobe, Total online spending in May hit $82.5 billion, up 77% year over year Memorial Day sales grew 75% compared to last year Mobile e-commerce grew 10% since January In May, Connecticut saw a 99% growth in e- commerce Covid-19 Impact, Continued

  18. SECTOR VS. REIT

  19. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

  20. SECTOR PERFORMANCE VS. S&P 500 Source: Fidelity

  21. SECTOR VS. US GDP Source: Information Technology Presentation

  22. Source: NetAdvantage SECTOR VS. SEMICONDUCTORS Source: Information Technology Presentation

  23. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

  24. Sales Growth and R&D Communications Equipment - Cisco, Motorola Electronic Equipment - CDW IT Services - Accenture, Fiserv, Paypal, Visa Semiconductor - Intel, Nvidia Software - Microsoft, Adobe, Oracle, Salesforce Hardware, Storage & Peripherals - Apple, HP, Xerox Source: NetAdvantage

  25. Gross Margin % and Net Income % Communications Equipment - Cisco, Motorola Electronic Equipment - CDW IT Services - Accenture, Fiserv, Paypal, Visa Semiconductor - Intel, Nvidia Software - Microsoft, Adobe, Oracle, Salesforce Hardware, Storage & Peripherals - Apple, HP, Xerox Source: NetAdvantage

  26. Sector Levered Cash increased 55% from 2015- 2019. S&P 23% Sector Dividend Per Share Increased 84% from 2015-2019. S&P 35% Levered Cash Flow Sector EPS increased 73% from 2015-2019. S&P 57% Source: NetAdvantage

  27. SECTOR ST LIQUIDITY + LT SOLVENCY Source: NetAdvantage

  28. VALUATION ANALYSIS

  29. Absolute Basis High Low Median Current 28.8 12.5 18.9 26.4 P/E 8.1 2.8 4.5 8.1 P/B 5.3 1.9 3.2 5.2 P/S 18.3 7.9 12.1 16.9 P/EBITDA SECTOR VALUATION Relative to SP500 High Low Median Current 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.3 P/E 2.4 1.3 1.6 2.4 P/B 2.3 1.5 1.8 2.3 P/S 1.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 P/EBITDA

  30. Software Industry: $3.61T Market Cap SECTOR VALUATION

  31. SECTOR VALUATION

  32. SECTOR VALUATION

  33. RECOMMENDATION

  34. SECTOR S&P Weight SIM WEIGHT +/- Info Tech 26.21% 25.68% (0.53%) RECOMMENDATION Match the S&P weight (+.53) and pull from overweight sectors of communications and financials. Further recommend industries within our sector with low debt and high cash balance sheets in this time of uncertainty, best equipped to weather the storm.

  35. QUESTIONS???

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