Balanced Vortex Dynamics in Tropical Cyclones

 
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Kerry Emanuel
Lorenz Center
MIT
Main Points
 
 What’s wrong with comprehensive complexity?
 
 The beauty of PV-thinking in understanding baroclinic
 
instability
 
 Wayne Schubert’s application of PV thinking to tropical
 
cyclones
 
  The analogy between surface semigeostrophy for baroclinic
 
wave dynamics and an extension of Wayne’s transformed
 
balanced vortex equations for tropical cyclones
 
Nonhydrostatic, Axisymmetric Equations
Nonhydrostatic, Axisymmetric Equations
 
Comprehensive complexity is no virtue in
modelling, but rather an admission of failure
    
-- Ian James
Semi-geostrophy and PV-thinking
  (after Brian Hoskins)
 
 
Geostrophic momentum
approximation:
 
Rephrasing of geopotential:
 
Geostrophic coordinates:
Semi-geostrophic Eady Problem:
Constant potential vorticity, 
q
g
, between two plates
 
All the dynamics collapse to conservation of potential temperature
on the two boundaries
 
Invertibility:
 
Conservation of 
θ
 on boundaries:
Baroclinic Instability
 
Image credit: 
Kerry Emanuel
 
Wayne Schubert* extended the semigeostrophic
framework to “semigradient” axisymmetric vortices
*Schubert, W. H., and J. J. Hack, 1983: 
Transformed Eliassen-balanced vortex model
.
J. Atmos. Sci.
, 
40,
 1571-1583.
 
Coordinate transform:
 
Potential vorticity:
 
Invertibility:
Eady Analogy
Except for their eyes, TCs are nearly zero “saturation PV” vortices
 
Neutrality to slantwise moist convection
 
Invertibility:
 
Lower boundary condition: Boundary layer
 
Surface drag
 
Surface enthalpy flux
 
Neglects
downdraft flux
through PBL top
 
Angular momentum and 
θ
*
e
from nonhydrostatic, axisymmetric simulation:
As with Eady model, all the dynamics collapses
to evolution of 
θ
e
 in boundary layer and at
tropopause
Together with upper boundary condition that assumes that the
Richardson Number equals its critical value, one may derive and
approximate equation for TC intensification, assuming that the core of the
storm is always saturated:
 
Comparison to axisymmetric, nonhydrostatic model
Summary
 
  Much has been learned about tropical cyclone dynamics
 
through Wayne Schubert’s semi-gradient equations
  Like baroclinic waves, the “action” in tropical cyclone occurs in
 
the boundary layer and at or near the tropopause, because
 
the interior (saturation) potential vorticity is passive
  Unlike in baroclinic waves, reversible boundary advection is
 
unimportant compared to surface enthalpy fluxes and drag
  Supergradient winds in the boundary layer appear to have
 
little effect on the interior flow or on surface winds
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Exploring the application of Potential Vorticity (PV) thinking in understanding tropical cyclones, focusing on Wayne Schubert's contributions to balanced vortex dynamics. The discussion covers the beauty of PV-thinking in relation to baroclinic instability, the analogy between baroclinic wave dynamics and balanced vortex equations, and the insights gained from nonhydrostatic, axisymmetric equations.

  • Balanced Vortex Dynamics
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • Potential Vorticity
  • Baroclinic Instability
  • Nonhydrostatic Equations

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  1. PV-Thinking and Tropical Cyclones: Wayne Schubert s Contribution to Balanced Vortex Dynamics Kerry Emanuel Lorenz Center MIT

  2. Main Points What s wrong with comprehensive complexity? The beauty of PV-thinking in understanding baroclinic instability Wayne Schubert s application of PV thinking to tropical cyclones The analogy between surface semigeostrophy for baroclinic wave dynamics and an extension of Wayne s transformed balanced vortex equations for tropical cyclones

  3. Nonhydrostatic, Axisymmetric Equations u t v t u r v r u z v z v r + + = + v c + , u w f D p v u r v r + + = + + , u w f u D v w t w r w z + + = + + , u w c g D p v w z 2 1 r r c ( ) ( ) + + = 0, ru w v v 2 t c z p v s s r s z + + = + , v v v u w D R s t L Density temperature + , v s q v v v c Diffusion of x, Radiation D R p x + conservation of water

  4. Nonhydrostatic, Axisymmetric Equations u t v t u r v r u z v z v r + + = + v c + , u w f D p v u r v r + + = + + , u w f u D v w t w r w z + + = + + , u w c g D p v w z 2 1 r r c ( ) ( ) + + = 0, ru w v v 2 t c z p v s s r s z + + = + , v v v u w D R s t Density temperature L + , v s q v v v c Diffusion of x, Radiation D R p x + conservation of water

  5. Simulation Understanding Comprehensive complexity is no virtue in modelling, but rather an admission of failure -- Ian James

  6. Semi-geostrophy and PV-thinking (after Brian Hoskins) V d V d dt g Geostrophic momentum approximation: dt v g + , X x f Geostrophic coordinates: u g Y y f 1 2 ( ) + + 2 g 2 g u v Rephrasing of geopotential:

  7. Semi-geostrophic Eady Problem: Constant potential vorticity, qg, between two plates 1 f 1 q ( ) + + = 1 Invertibility: XX YY 2 g Conservation of on boundaries: + + = = 0 on Z 0, U V H g g X Y Z All the dynamics collapse to conservation of potential temperature on the two boundaries

  8. Baroclinic Instability Image credit: Kerry Emanuel

  9. Wayne Schubert* extended the semigeostrophic framework to semigradient axisymmetric vortices 1 2 1 2 + = 2 2 fR rV fr M Coordinate transform: R "Potential Radius" 1 g = q Potential vorticity: f Z 3 = R r r Z r r + 2 0 f qR R Invertibility: 2 Z R *Schubert, W. H., and J. J. Hack, 1983: Transformed Eliassen-balanced vortex model. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 1571-1583.

  10. Eady Analogy Except for their eyes, TCs are nearly zero saturation PV vortices 1 * q f * e g 0 * e Z Neutrality to slantwise moist convection ( ) * e ln d 1 r 1 r ( ) = c T T Invertibility: p b o 2 2 MdM b t e Lower boundary condition: Boundary layer Neglects downdraft flux through PBL top d dM dt + = e e e M dt Surface drag Surface enthalpy flux

  11. Angular momentum and *e from nonhydrostatic, axisymmetric simulation:

  12. As with Eady model, all the dynamics collapses to evolution of e in boundary layer and at tropopause Together with upper boundary condition that assumes that the Richardson Number equals its critical value, one may derive and approximate equation for TC intensification, assuming that the core of the storm is always saturated: V C ( ) = 2 pot 2 max k h V V max 2 C V k pot h = tanh V V max pot 2

  13. Comparison to axisymmetric, nonhydrostatic model

  14. Summary Much has been learned about tropical cyclone dynamics through Wayne Schubert s semi-gradient equations Like baroclinic waves, the action in tropical cyclone occurs in the boundary layer and at or near the tropopause, because the interior (saturation) potential vorticity is passive Unlike in baroclinic waves, reversible boundary advection is unimportant compared to surface enthalpy fluxes and drag Supergradient winds in the boundary layer appear to have little effect on the interior flow or on surface winds

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