Policy uncertainty - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


Decolonising Approach to Policy Impact: Lessons for Research Culture

Engaging with policy in Global South countries and addressing power imbalances and historical complexities is crucial in policy impact and research culture. The Institute for Policy and Engagement at the University of Nottingham focuses on decolonising policies and research practices to promote equi

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Practical Guide to Writing Policy Briefs for Research Engagement with Policy Makers

Effective communication with policy makers is essential for influencing policy decisions. This practical guide offers advice on creating high-quality policy briefs based on research evidence, providing tools and indicators to measure impact.

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Gender Equity and Social Inclusion Policy Overview

This overview highlights the Gender Equity and Social Inclusion (GESI) Policy promoted by the Department of Personnel Management in Papua New Guinea. The policy aims to ensure fair participation of disadvantaged individuals in employment and opportunities, along with social inclusion to realize the

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Amidst Global IPO Uncertainty US IPOs Anticipate Rebound in 2024

Amidst the uncertainty of subdued global IPO activity in 2024, the US IPO market emerges as a beacon of hope, showing signs of recovery fueled by stable rates and soaring S&P 500 valuations.

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Investment Responses to Biophysical Climate Impacts on Water, Energy, and Land in SDGs and Climate Policies

Investment assessments using Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are evolving to include biophysical climate impacts, assessing climate uncertainty on investments. The approach involves the MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM IAM, considering climate policy, SDG measures, and impacts under different scenarios. Climat

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Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle in Elementary Quantum Mechanics

Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, proposed by German scientist Werner Heisenberg in 1927, states the impossibility of simultaneously and accurately determining the position and momentum of microscopic particles like electrons. This principle challenges classical concepts of definite position and m

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Understanding Bayesian Reasoning and Decision Making with Uncertainty

Exploring Bayesian reasoning principles such as Bayesian inference and Naïve Bayes algorithm in the context of uncertainty. The content covers the sources of uncertainty, decision-making strategies, and practical examples like predicting alarm events based on probabilities.

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Overview of Policy Service Node (PSN) Architecture

The Policy Service Node (PSN) architecture consists of various key components such as Policy Administration Node (PAN), Monitoring Node (MnT), Inline Posture Node (IPN), and Multi-Function Node. These components work together to enable efficient policy management and network monitoring within a netw

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Navigating Uncertainty for Sustainable Growth

Annabella Matute-Castro, a UK-Latin America lawyer, will delve into managing uncertainty for sustainable economic growth at the PBEC 55th Annual Dialogues Summit 2022. Explore strategies for thriving in a complex economic landscape. Contact M C Services Links for more information.

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Understanding Policy-Making Process for Health Improvement

Policy-making involves defining policy, recognizing its complex nature, identifying windows of opportunity, and framing health issues. The policy-making cycle includes stages like agenda setting, formulation, and implementation. Alignment of problems, policies, and politics is crucial for effective

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Effective Writing and Policy Briefs: Enhancing Impact in Policy-making

A policy brief is a compelling document designed to influence decision-makers by outlining policy alternatives and courses of action. Discover the value of policy briefs, effective characteristics, and strategies for agenda setting and policy formulation in this comprehensive module.

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Understanding Theories of the Policy Cycle in Policy Analysis

The policy cycle theory describes the evolution of policy issues from inception to evaluation, impacting scientific research and policy formulation. It outlines stages from the 1950s, influenced by Lasswell's seven-stage model, serving as a framework for organizing policy processes. Despite the line

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National Youth Policy 2030 Presentation to the Portfolio Committee

The National Youth Policy 2030 presentation provides an update on the approved policy, focusing on the youthful population in South Africa and the importance of youth development. The policy aims to address past injustices and current challenges, empowering young people to drive positive change. Pas

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Understanding Agricultural Price Policy and Its Importance

Agricultural price policy plays a crucial role in determining, regulating, and controlling prices of agricultural products. Its objectives include preventing violent price fluctuations, ensuring fair prices for farmers, and integrating prices across regions. The policy aims to provide remunerative p

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Understanding Measurement Uncertainty in Testing: Essentials and Guidelines

Measurement uncertainty in testing is a crucial aspect that characterizes the dispersion of values attributed to a measurand. This uncertainty plays a key role in reporting accurate test results, requiring careful evaluation of all significant contributions. The ISO/IEC Guide 98 GUM provides essenti

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Understanding the Fibonacci Method for Function Optimization

The Fibonacci method offers a systematic approach to finding the minimum of a function even if it's not continuous. By utilizing a sequence of Fibonacci numbers, this method helps in narrowing down the interval of uncertainty to determine the optimal solution through a series of experiments. Despite

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Managing Tension Between Creativity and Efficiency: A Framework for Uncertainty in Innovation

Explore the tension between creativity and efficiency in innovation through Pearsons' Uncertainty Map (1991), which categorizes uncertainty about ends and means. The map helps analyze uncertainty in various innovation processes, from exploratory research to improving existing products, offering insi

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Essential Principles for Effective Risk Management

Risk management involves minimizing or mitigating risks that arise from uncertainty. In organizations, this uncertainty often stems from the marketplace. Ideally, risk management follows a prioritization process, addressing risks that pose the greate

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Developing a Participatory Approach to Fisheries Management in UK Offshore MPAs

The 2-year project launched in April 2018 aims to address uncertainty around fishing impacts in offshore environments by engaging key stakeholders through Adaptive Management. The project focuses on developing a consistent approach for managing sedimentary habitats in light of scientific uncertainty

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Understanding Bayesian Reasoning: A Comprehensive Overview

Bayesian reasoning involves utilizing probabilities to make inferences and decisions in the face of uncertainty. This approach allows for causal reasoning, decision-making under uncertainty, and prediction based on available evidence. The concept of Bayesian Belief Networks is explored, along with t

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Building Resilience in Times of Uncertainty

Amid the challenges brought by COVID-19, individuals are facing instability and stress due to social and physical distancing measures. This webinar by Aileen Castro and Samantha Spector explores strategies to enhance resilience in the face of uncertainty and change, emphasizing the importance of ada

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Challenges in Policy Implementation and Lessons Learned

The content discusses the challenges faced in policy implementation, focusing on the gap between policy design and execution. It highlights key steps in policy-making, reasons for implementation failures, and factors influencing successful policy outcomes. Examples from Zambia's National Science and

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Stochastic Coastal Regional Uncertainty Modelling II (SCRUM2) Overview

SCRUM2 project aims to enhance CMEMS through regional/coastal ocean-biogeochemical uncertainty modelling, ensemble consistency verification, probabilistic forecasting, and data assimilation. The research team plans to contribute significant advancements in ensemble techniques and reliability assessm

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Development of Cumulative Fission Yield Covariances for Uncertainty Quantification

This study by A.A. Sonzogni and E.A. McCutchan focuses on developing cumulative fission yield covariances for uncertainty quantification in nuclear reactors. The research involves calculating cumulative fission yields, using decay data and nuclear databases, to improve accuracy in predicting fission

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Uncertainty in Cryptocurrency Returns: An Analysis Using Copula Approach

Amidst the rise of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, this study by Dr. Ur Koumba explores the relationship between uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns using a Copula-based approach. The research delves into the impact of uncertainty on the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, shedding light

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Global Warming Theory: Complexity and Uncertainty

Global warming theory presents three main propositions, with uncertainty arising from factors such as the industrial revolution's impact on CO2 levels, aerosols' cooling and warming effects, and measurement errors impacting data accuracy. Alternative arguments question traditional views on evolution

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Finding Faith in Times of Uncertainty - Biblical Reflections

In times of uncertainty, biblical passages provide comfort, emphasizing faith, resilience, and trust in God's provisions. The verses from 1 Kings, Psalms, Luke, and Hebrews highlight themes of faithfulness, obedience, and holding onto hope without wavering. They encourage believers to trust in God's

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Challenges in Forecasting Monetary Policy Amid Economic Uncertainty

Economic forecasters faced challenges in predicting the impact of inflation post-pandemic, leading to delayed monetary policy adjustments by the Fed. By analyzing inflation forecasts and policy rates, the study evaluates the potential outcomes with perfect foresight. The comparison between actual an

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Exploring Patterns and Probabilities of Heavy Rainfall in Forecasting

Known patterns and models exist for heavy rainfall forecasting, but uncertainty remains. Ensembles and probabilities help manage this uncertainty. Sharp edges in precipitation shields are key, with models improving to anticipate these features more accurately. Understanding the dynamics of edges can

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Decoding Uncertainty in Communication: Exploring Prior Distributions and Coding Schemes

Delve into the intricate world of communication under uncertainty, where decoding messages accurately is paramount. Discover how prior distributions, encoding schemes, and closeness metrics influence the efficiency and effectiveness of communication between parties sharing different priors.

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Retirement Planning Strategies and Uncertainty Analysis

Explore the key concepts of retirement planning, including the accumulation and spending phases, determining target wealth, asset allocation decisions, generating a wealth path, and managing uncertainty in portfolio returns. Learn how to calculate savings, set financial goals, and navigate market fl

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Understanding Uncertainties in Direct Radiative Forcing of Aerosols

The uncertainties in the direct radiative forcing of aerosols can be assessed by considering factors such as emissions, lifetime, Mass Absorption Cross Section (MAC), Aerosol Absorption Optical Depth (AAOD), and forcing efficiency. Variations in these factors contribute to the overall uncertainty in

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Importance of Estimating Measurement Uncertainty in Laboratories

International standard ISO/IEC 17025 necessitates laboratories to determine Measurement Uncertainty (MU) to ensure reliable decision-making globally. Estimating MU is crucial as it impacts the variability of results, influencing the credibility and cost-effectiveness of decisions. Accurate estimatio

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Understanding Monte Carlo Analysis for Uncertainty Assessment

Exploring the concept of Monte Carlo analysis as a method of uncertainty assessment through sampling inputs, running models, and analyzing outputs. Learn how to simulate dice rolls, evaluate probabilities, and assess accuracy with sample size. Monte Carlo approaches are versatile and applicable to v

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Understanding Continuity Analysis of Programs

This content delves into the concept of continuity analysis in programs, focusing on aspects like uncertainty, robustness, and infinitesimal changes in inputs and outputs. It explores the implications of handling uncertainty robustly, the significance of correctness in uncertain environments, and th

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Update on O2 CO2 Calibration Uncertainty Review

Reviewing the O2 CO2 calibration uncertainty, recent updates include identifying beam clipping on the reflection photodiode, switching to the transmitted photodiode, correcting time-dependent errors, and reducing overall uncertainty budget to primarily statistical uncertainty. Data and scripts used

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Understanding Cultural Dimensions by Geert Hofstede

Geert Hofstede, a prominent sociologist, introduced five parameters to explain cultural differences, categorizing cultures into national and organizational. The dimensions include power distance, individualism, masculinity, uncertainty avoidance, and long-term orientation. Each dimension explores ho

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Ensemble Modeling in Fishery Management: Insights from CAPAM Workshop

Structural uncertainty dominates fishery management decisions as discussed in the CAPAM workshop on data-weighting. The workshop highlighted the importance of ensemble modeling, protocols for ensemble membership, and communication of ensemble distributions for effective decision-making. Various case

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Review of Challenges in Prescribed Minimum Benefits Package

Addressing the challenges faced in the Prescribed Minimum Benefits (PMB) package including policy uncertainty, potential interventions for Universal Health Coverage, PMB review process, and sustainability of interventions. Factors contributing to challenges such as tariff determination, fee-for-serv

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Uncertainty and Precommitment in Social Dilemmas

This research explores the impact of uncertainty and precommitment on social dilemmas, specifically focusing on the Interdependent Security (IDS) scenario. It investigates how precommitment influences investment rates and decision-making in situations involving stochastic losses and risky investment

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