Weather Forecast and Safety Implications for 41st Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020

Lt. Col. Alessio Canessa from Aeronautica Militare provides insights on the predictability of weather, wind forecasts, and safety impacts for the start of the 41st Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020. Uncertainty of predictions and the 7-day weather forecast for sailing conditions are discussed, highlighting potential thunderstorms, wind variations, and sea states. Detailed information on sea states, wind conditions, and wave heights are presented, aiding in strategizing for the race. Stay informed to ensure safety during this prestigious event.

• Weather Forecast
• Safety Impacts
• Rolex Middle Sea Race
• Malta
• Sailing Conditions

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1. Lt. Col. Alessio CANESSA Aeronautica Militare Centro Nazionale di Meteorologia e Climatologia Aeronautica Friday 16thOctober 2020 18.00

2. Agenda Today s predictability of weather Weather impact forsafety Weather forecast for the start Wind forecast for the next days Weather impact forsailing Summary 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 2

3. 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 Today s predictabilityof weather 3

4. Uncertainty of the prediction La Valletta 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 unpredictable predictable The spread gives an estimate of the uncertainty of the prediction. 4

5. Weather impact forsafetyat sea 7 days forecast 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 5

6. Weather impact for safety 7 days forecast Thunderstorm Wind Sea State Saturday 17th 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 Sunday 18th Monday 19th Tuesday 20th Wednesday 21st Thursday 22nd Friday 23th 6 No Impact Medium Impact High Impact Severe Impact

7. 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 Weather forecast forthe start 7

8. Saturday 17th 11:00 Sunny Outside the Grand Harbour Moderate Breeze NW BEAUFORT 4 11 -16 KT 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 8

9. Sea state for the START Saturday 17th 09:00 UTC SEA STATE 3 Slight Wave height 1 m up to Capo Passero Mean wave direction NW Period 5s 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 2 Sea state 3 9

10. 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 Wind every 3 hours until Sunday 18th 00UTC Model: COSMO-IT (2.2 km) run00 10

11. Saturday 17th14:00 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 11

12. Saturday 17th17:00 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 12

13. Saturday 17th20:00 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 13

14. Saturday 17th23:00 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 14

15. Sunday 18th02:00 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 15

16. 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 Wind Model: ECMWF (9 km) run00 Mean sea level pressure (every 1 hPa) every 6 hours until Friday 23rd 00UTC 16

17. Sunday 18th06:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 3 4-5 17

18. Sunday 18th12:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 3 4-5 18

19. Sunday 18th18:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 3 1 4-5 19

20. Monday 19th00:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 2 20

21. Monday 19th06:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 21

22. Monday 19th12:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 22

23. Monday 19th18:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 23

24. Tuesday 20th00:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 2 2 24

25. Tuesday 20th06:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 2 25

26. Tuesday 20th12:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 4 3 26

27. Tuesday 20th18:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 4 27

28. Wednesday 21th00:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 5 4 28

29. Wednesday 21th06:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 5 4 29

30. Wednesday 21th12:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 5 4 30

31. Wednesday 21th18:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 31

32. Thursday 22nd00:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 32

33. Thursday 22nd06:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 33

34. Thursday 22nd12:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 34

35. Thursday 22nd18:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 35

36. Friday 23rd00:00 UTC Sea state and wind 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 36

37. Weather impact forsailing 7 days forecast 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 37

38. Weather impact for sailing 7 days forecast Thunderstorm Wind Sea State Saturday 17th NW moderate 4 Slight 3 none 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 Sunday 18th NW gentle breeze 3 bcmg light breeze 2 Very light 1 to light breeze 2 light 2 bcmg gentle breeze 3 slight 3 bcmg smooth 2 SHOWER Monday 19th SHOWER smooth 2 Tuesday 20th none smooth 2 Wednesday 21st slight to moderate 3-4 slight to moderate 3-4 Smooth to slight 3-4 none SSE fresh breeze 5 Thursday 22nd SSW moderate breeze 4 SE moderate breeze 4 none Friday 23th none 38 good average bad verybad

39. Weather for the next days Saturday northwesterly moderate breeze 11-17 knots and sea state 3 up to Capo Passero, becoming east of Sicily gentle breeze 2-3, sea state 2-3 Sunday Cloudy isolated showers north of Sicily, NW Beaufort 2-3, sea state 3 Monday and Tuesday High pressure; north of Sicily northern wind Beaufort 2-3, sea state 2; from Tuesday evening in the Strait of Sicily south wind Beaufort 3-4 and sea state 3 Wednesday and Thursday the anticyclone will move little eastwards, fair weather will persist, but increase of south wind Beaufort 4-5 in the Strait of Sicily 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 39

40. Weather for the next days Summary High pressure Light NW winds will prevail Smooth 2 to slight 3 sea state Colder than average temperatures (weaker diurnal sea breeze, stronger nocturnal land breeze) From tuesday evening moderate south wind and sea state 3-4 in the Strait of Sicily 41th Rolex Middle Sea Race Malta 2020 40

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