Impacts of COVID-19 on Small Islands and Developing States in the Caribbean
The meeting on special security concerns highlighted the potential changes in threat vectors and vulnerabilities due to COVID-19 in the Caribbean region. The pandemic has had a multifaceted impact on economic prosperity, public health, and public security. It has disrupted global supply chains, leading to criminal activities like counterfeit goods and drug trafficking. Post-COVID, threats such as cybercrime and irregular migration are expected to increase, further undermining the legitimate economy.
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REGIONAL SECURITY SYSTEM Strength Through Unity MEETING ON SPECIAL SECURITY CONCERNS OF THE SMALL ISLANDS AND LOW-LYING COASTAL DEVELOPING STATES OF THE CARIBBEAN HOW WILL COVID-19 MOST LIKELY CHANGE TRANSNATIONAL AND TRANS-REGIONAL THREAT VECTORS AND ORGANISATIONS AND WORSEN VULNERABILITIES INCLUDING ITS CONSEQUENTIAL EFFECT ACROSS THE HEMISPHERE 25 JUNE 2020 CAPTAIN (N) E R SHURLAND 1
NUMBER OF DEATHS ATTRIBUTED TO PUBLIC HEALTH THREATS TIME PANDEMIC APPROX # OF DEATHS 1918 Spanish Flu 50 million 1957 Asian Flu 1,000,000+ 1968 Hong Kong Flu 1,000,000 1990s to present Cholera More than 3,000,000 2002-2003 SARS 800 2009 H1N1 151,000 to 575,000 2012 MERS 850 2014 Ebola 11,000 2019 COVID-19 457,000
TRANSNATIONAL THREATS TO THE REGION PANDEMICS CLIMATE, WEATHER, RESOURCE AND ENERGY-RELATED. FOOD SECURITY INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC FLOWS CROSS BORDER CYBER-BASED ACTIVITIES HUMANITARIAN CRISES
MULTIFACETED IMPACT ECONOMIC PROSPERITY SOCIAL PUBLIC HEALTH GOVERNANCE PUBLIC SECURITY
ECONOMICIMPACT Many countries will fall into economic contraction, in weaker regions a possible recession Oil prices drastically decreased Hard impact on global economy and Latin America Employment percentage will decrease and mass firing by big corporates seems inevitable
COVID-19 CRIMINAL IMPACT GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTED LESS MARITIME TRAFFIC REDUCED TRAFFIC AT THE AIR & SEA PORTS FREEDOM OF ACTION TO MOVE THEIR COMMODITIES WAS IMPEDED US NAVAL PRESENCE IN CARIBBEAN SEA OFF VENEZUELA (SOURCE COUNTRY) LITTLE TO NO TRAFFIC OF GO FAST BOATS LITTLE TO NO INTEL DIVERSIFICATION OF DRUGS TO OTHER AREAS/NEW OPPORTUNITIES TRAFFICKING - FAKE MEDICINE & SUPPLIES, PPE ON THE MARKETS COUNTERFEIT GOODS INCREASED LOCAL CULTIVATION OF MARIJUANA
POTENTIAL THREAT BEHAVIOUR POST-COVID CYBER CRIME IRREGULAR MIGRATION COUNTERFEITING ALL OF THIS UNDERMINES THE LEGITIMATE ECONOMY
RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDATIONS DATA-DRIVEN & INTELLIGENCE PLANNING MULTI-STAKEHOLDER HEALTH SECURITY GOVERNANCE SYSTEM PRIORITIZE CYBER SECURITY FOCUS ON PARTNERSHIPS MAKE FULL USE OF LEGISLATIVE ARRANGEMENTS
REGIONAL SECURITY SYSTEM Strength Through Unity Thank you for your attention Muchas gracias por su atenci n Obrigado pela vossa aten o Je vous remercie de votre attention Captain (N) Errington R Shurland Email: errington.shurland@rss.org.bb Website: www.rss.org.bb 9
