Palo Alto Grade Separation Financing White Paper

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presented to
Palo Alto City Council Rail Committee Meeting
 
Palo Alto Grade Separation
Financing White Paper
presented by
Economic & Planning Systems, Inc.
November 29, 2017
Oakland
Sacramento
Denver
Los Angeles
 
Presentation Overview
Purpose and Context
Project Cost Scenarios
Types of Funding & Financing Considered
Voter Approved Taxes
Value Capture Tool
Other Local Sources (not quantified)
Regional Funding (e.g., Measure B)
State and Federal Funding
1
 
Study Purpose and Context
Purpose
Preliminary consideration (and quantification where possible) of
potential grade separation funding and financing to inform the
planning process
Qualifications and Limitations
Projections based on readily available information and
generic assumptions
Some sources may be politically infeasible and/or mutually
exclusive
Funding landscape is subject to change based on economic,
political, legal, and other factors.
2
 
Preliminary Project Cost Scenarios
3
 
Local Taxes Requiring Voter Approval
General Tax
: The revenues from a General Tax are
expended at the discretion of the local government’s
governing body on any programs or services.
Requires a simple majority (50% +1).
Special Tax
: The revenue from special tax are
dedicated to a specific purpose as defined in the
ballot initiative. Requires super-majority (66% +1)
“A/B Strategy”
: General purpose tax measures
accompanied by an advisory measure indicating the
recommended use for the funds.
4
 
Voter Approved Tax – Preliminary Quantification
5
 
Value Capture Tools
Description
Funding tools and techniques that extract a portion of
private sector benefit resulting from new infrastructure,
amenities, or development enabled by the public sector.
Potential Grade Separation Benefits
Improved access and circulation to nearby property
owners
New development opportunities (e.g., “air rights”)
Reduced sound and visual impacts
6
 
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Map of Primary Benefit Area(s)
7
 
Value Capture Tools -- Preliminary Quantification
8
 
Other Local Sources (not quantified)
Local parking fees
: Allocate a portion of future
parking fees to grade separation
Transportation Network Company Fees
:
Registration fee applied to company shuttle and ride
share (e.g., Lyft, Uber)
Roadway User Fees
: Electronic auto charge on
selected access points/lanes (e.g., Alma St.)
Utility ROW Fees
: Lease modern utility
bank/conduit along Caltrain/Alma St. corridor
9
 
Selected Regional, State, or Federal Sources
10
 
Other State/Federal Sources (not quantified)
State Sources/Programs
Caltrain Sales Tax Initiative
State Infrastructure Bank (IBank)
The Statewide Community Infrastructure Program (SCIP)
State Road Repair and Accountability Act (SB 1)
Federal Sources/Programs
Infrastructure For Rebuilding America Grants
Transportation Investment Generating Economic
Recovery (TIGER) grant
Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act
(TIFIA) Loans
The Railroad Rehabilitation & Improvement Financing
(RRIF) program
11
 
Questions/Discussion
12
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White paper on grade separation financing presented to Palo Alto City Council Rail Committee Meeting by Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Includes project cost scenarios, funding considerations, and potential sources of financing.

  • Palo Alto
  • Grade Separation
  • Financing
  • White Paper

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  1. Palo Alto Grade Separation Financing White Paper presented to Palo Alto City Council Rail Committee Meeting presented by Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. November 29, 2017 Oakland Sacramento Denver Los Angeles Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. One Kaiser Plaza, Suite 1410, Oakland, CA 94612 510.841.9190 510.740.2080 fax

  2. Presentation Overview Purpose and Context Project Cost Scenarios Types of Funding & Financing Considered Voter Approved Taxes Value Capture Tool Other Local Sources (not quantified) Regional Funding (e.g., Measure B) State and Federal Funding 1

  3. Study Purpose and Context Purpose Preliminary consideration (and quantification where possible) of potential grade separation funding and financing to inform the planning process Qualifications and Limitations Projections based on readily available information and generic assumptions Some sources may be politically infeasible and/or mutually exclusive Funding landscape is subject to change based on economic, political, legal, and other factors. 2

  4. Preliminary Project Cost Scenarios Total Estimated Cost Range Option Low High 1a: Open Trench, City Limit to City Limit $2,400,000,000 $2,900,000,000 1b: Cut & Cover Tunnel, City Limit to City Limit $3,300,000,000 $4,000,000,000 1c: Twin Deep Bored Tunnels $2,800,000,000 $3,400,000,000 2a: Open Trench, Under Meadow and Charleston (2% Grade) $750,000,000 $1,000,000,000 2b: Open Trench, Under Charleston Only (2% Grade) $500,000,000 $700,000,000 Individual Grade Separations Churchill lowered under Caltrain and Alma Meadow lowered under Caltrain and Alma Charleston lowered under Caltrain and Alma Subtotal $98,000,000 $93,000,000 $111,000,000 $302,000,000 $200,000,000 $156,000,000 $167,000,000 $523,000,000 3

  5. Local Taxes Requiring Voter Approval General Tax: The revenues from a General Tax are expended at the discretion of the local government s governing body on any programs or services. Requires a simple majority (50% +1). Special Tax: The revenue from special tax are dedicated to a specific purpose as defined in the ballot initiative. Requires super-majority (66% +1) A/B Strategy : General purpose tax measures accompanied by an advisory measure indicating the recommended use for the funds. 4

  6. Voter Approved Tax Preliminary Quantification Funding Potenial Key Assumptions Funding Source / Mechanism Low High Low High $143,000,000 $713,000,000 .05% Increase .25% Increase Property Tax Bond $50 / Unit or 1,000 Sqft. $100 / Unit or 1,000 Sqft. $22,480,000 $44,950,000 Parcel Tax $23,730,000 $59,330,000 .10% Increase .25% Increase Add-on Sales / Use Tax $15,980,000 $47,930,000 1% Increase 3% Increase Transient Occupancy Tax $10,840,000 $32,510,000 .05% Increase .15% Increase Property Transfer Tax $24,940,000 $74,810,000 1% Increase 3% Increase Utility Users Tax $10 / private sector job $40 / private sector job $8,510,000 $34,050,000 Business License Tax 5

  7. Value Capture Tools Description Funding tools and techniques that extract a portion of private sector benefit resulting from new infrastructure, amenities, or development enabled by the public sector. Potential Grade Separation Benefits Improved access and circulation to nearby property owners New development opportunities (e.g., air rights ) Reduced sound and visual impacts 6

  8. Map of Primary Benefit Area(s) Churchill Ave. Meadow Dr. Caltrain Corridor: Primary Benefit Area Charleston Rd. Secondary Benefit Areas 7

  9. Value Capture Tools -- Preliminary Quantification Funding Potenial Key Assumptions Funding Source / Mechanism Low High Low High 500 housing units + 100K commercial sq. ft. (Value Capture = 10% of Finished Market Value) 2,000 housing units +750K commercial sq. ft. Development Agreements, incentive zoning, and/or P3 $50,000,000 $235,000,000 @ 3% Avg. annual increase in AV @ 5% Avg. annual increase in AV Enhanced Infrastructure Financing District (EIFD) $13,230,000 $24,200,000 Mello-Roos Community Facilities District (CFD) $200 / unit or 1K sqft. $600 / unit or 1K sqft. $11,520,000 $34,560,000 $14,300,000 $20,000,000 15 year total 20 year total Development Impact Fees $.25 / departing trip $1.00 departing trip $2,460,000 $9,830,000 Caltrain Fare Surcharge 8

  10. Other Local Sources (not quantified) Local parking fees: Allocate a portion of future parking fees to grade separation Transportation Network Company Fees: Registration fee applied to company shuttle and ride share (e.g., Lyft, Uber) Roadway User Fees: Electronic auto charge on selected access points/lanes (e.g., Alma St.) Utility ROW Fees: Lease modern utility bank/conduit along Caltrain/Alma St. corridor 9

  11. Selected Regional, State, or Federal Sources Funding Source / Mechanism Funding Potenial Key Assumptions / Factors Description Low High Sales tax measure approved by 2/3rds Santa Clara County voters in 2016 with $700 million for grade separationin 3 cities 30-Year Cumulative Total $350,000,000 $395,500,000 Measure B One-Time Funding of 15 years (based on the CPUC priority list) State funds to local agencies for grade separation projects, total of about $15 million annually. $2,000,000 $5,000,000 Section 190 15-year total based on fair shar allocation of projected funding for San Jose to SF The HSRA receives its funding from a variety of sources and has already contributed to grade separation projects $155,000,000 $179,000,000 HSR Authority 10

  12. Other State/Federal Sources (not quantified) State Sources/Programs Caltrain Sales Tax Initiative State Infrastructure Bank (IBank) The Statewide Community Infrastructure Program (SCIP) State Road Repair and Accountability Act (SB 1) Federal Sources/Programs Infrastructure For Rebuilding America Grants Transportation Investment Generating Economic Recovery (TIGER) grant Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act (TIFIA) Loans The Railroad Rehabilitation & Improvement Financing (RRIF) program 11

  13. Questions/Discussion 12

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