Impact of Sorted Electorate on Polarization Trends
Explore the impact of increased sorting among voters on political polarization levels in the electorate. While sorting has greatly improved alignment with parties, polarization has only slightly increased, with a notable shift towards party-driven sorting over ideology-driven sorting. The data from the 1992-94-96 panels sheds light on how sorting influences voter behavior and affects party affiliations and issue positions.
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Presentation Transcript
The Partisan Sort Chapter 7 The Impact of the Sorted
Although there has been a large increase in sorting, there has been only a modest increase in polarization. So while the electorate is much better sorted today than it was a generation ago, it is only slightly more polarized, and much of that increased polarization is a direct result of sorting (p.120). That is: Party-Driven Sorting > Ideological-Driven Sorting.
Table 7.1 1992-94-96 Panel If people are sorting this should result in a voter: 1)Being more likely to support their party s Presidential candidate; and 2)Less Split Ticket Voting
Table 7.2 1992-94-96 Panel Affective Polarization: If people are sorting this should result in a voter giving a higher feeling thermometer rating to her party relative to the opposite party.
Table 7.3 1992-94-96 Panel Constraint (Converse, 1964): If people are sorting this should result in a voter adopting the issue positions of her Party.
