Determinism: Insights on Free Will and Causality

Coming to Terms with Determinism
Royal Institute of Philosophy Lectures
Keele University
December 7, 2021
Thomas W. Clark
Brandeis University
Naturalism.Org
Objective: defang determinism
 
No good reason to suppose we are causal
exceptions to nature
No rational reason to 
want
 to be causal
exceptions
Determinism affords us compassion and
control
Another step in naturalizing ourselves in light
of science
Roadmap…
 
Free will under attack!
Two concepts of free will and agency
Determinism: could you have done otherwise?
Pragmatic
 determinism: its practical and
ethical advantages
Misperceptions of determinism
The disutility of 
in
determinism (libertarianism)
Downplaying determinism (compatibilism)
Pitfalls, objections, and limitations
Free will under attack!
 
“Humanity is fortunately
deceived on the free will
issue, and this seems to be
a condition of civilized
morality and personal
sense of value.”
– Saul Smilansky, 
Free Will
and Illusion
, 2000
 
The 
Guardian
: 
The clockwork
universe: is free will an illusion?
 
“A growing chorus of scientists and
philosophers argue that free will does
not exist. Could they be right?”
 
“A puppet is free as
long as he loves his
strings.” – Sam Harris
“You may 
feel
 like you've made choices, but in
reality your decision to read this piece, and
whether to have eggs or pancakes, was
determined
 long before you were aware of it —
perhaps even before you woke up today.”
- Jerry Coyne, biologist
 
“Yet the sobering side of these revelations,
[Robert 
Sapolsky]
 believes, is that our behavior
is largely 
determined
—with little or no room
for free will—by all of the psychological,
physiological, and evolutionary forces that
science is now decoding.”
 
OMG! We’re undeceived
about free will.  
 
Sapolsky forthcoming:
Determined
: A Science of Life
Without Free Will
Determinism
 
Determinism defined
: 
one possible future 
given the current situation and
laws of nature.
 
The current situation is fully traceable to antecedent
circumstances.
Sean Carroll: “Within its domain of applicability, the Core Theory is what
we might label 
causally comprehensive
… There is a specific equation
that unambiguously predicts how it will evolve over time. This equation is
sufficient to describe everything human beings generally do... There are
no ambiguities or loose ends. The fact that brains are big, complex things
is irrelevant. The Core Theory makes specific predictions for how any
particular brain will behave...”
”Consciousness and the laws of physics,” 
Journal of Consciousness Studies
,
2021. (emphasis added)
What do we 
mean
 by free will?
 
Standard: What I do is 
up to me
: credit, blame, moral responsibility
But who am I, in what sort of world: how much blame?
Libertarian, contra-causal 
free will: freedom is incompatible with
determinism. Strong origination, deep credit and blame.
Compatibilist
 free will: our freedoms are compatible with
determinism. Proximate origination.
Free will 
skeptics
: we lack the control required for “basic desert”
What’s under attack is clearly contra-causal freedom:
 
strong credit
& blame is threatened by determinism.
Majority of philosophers (~ 60%) are compatibilists.
Regular folks often have contra-causal intuitions.
Determinism viewed with distrust, distaste.
Free will: c
ould you have done otherwise?
 
Unconditional ability to do otherwise: 
In an actual situation, you could have
done otherwise in a way that’s up to you - an ability incompatible with
determinism: contra-causal freedom.
Conditional ability to do otherwise: 
Had the conditions been different, you
might have done otherwise - an ability compatible with determinism:
compatibilist freedom.
If determinism is true, you don’t have the unconditional capacity - you
couldn’t be doing otherwise right now.
Would this be a problem? Why?
 
“…when making the tea, it certainly 
seemed to
me
 that I could have made coffee instead... Given
the precise state of the universe at the time, which
includes the state of my body and brain, all of
which have prior causes…stretching all the way
back to my origin as a tea-drinking semi-
Englishman and beyond, 
I could not have done
otherwise..
.”
 
No 
unconditional
 ability to do otherwise:
 
That is, we don’t have contra-causal free will.
 
But we 
do
 have the 
conditional
 ability to do otherwise:
 
“The counterfactual aspect of the experience of
volition is particularly important for its future-oriented
function. The feeling that I could have done differently
does 
not
 mean I actually could have done differently
[in an actual situation]. Rather, the phenomenology of
alternative possibilities is useful because in a future
similar, but not identical, situation I might indeed do
differently.”
 
We are behaviorally flexible. Why would anyone
want the 
unconditional
 ability - contra-causal free
will?
 
What’s the problem with determinism?
 
Is determinism true?
 
Epistemology (“way of knowing”): empirical, scientific, and fallibilist
– not faith, tradition, intuition, authority, etc. (Jonathan Rauch: 
The
Constitution of Knowledge
)
Worldview: naturalism - natural world as shown by science, nothing
supernatural. (www.naturalism.org)
Metaphysics: we can be 
agnostic
 about physicalism, idealism,
dualism, panpsychism, etc. when thinking about causation
Causal and explanatory relations exist as shown by science,
whatever our metaphysics (Judea Pearl, 
The Book of Why
)
Reliable cause-effect relations hold in human behavior: folk
psychology and as described by science.
Inclusive naturalism: we aren’t causal exceptions to nature.
 
 
Naturalistic starting points
:
Pragmatic determinism
 
Quantum indeterminacy: no
 universal, implacable
 determinism
Pragmatic determinism: 
for all practical purposes
, it’s rational to assume causal
explanatory relations hold in human development and behavior. Imperfect knowledge,
Linear, multi-factorial, probabilistic.
Physical determinants – micro-physical, chemical, biological, neural
Motivational determinants - supervene on neural
Reasons-based determinants – person-level beliefs, deliberations, and decisions help
to 
determine
 action (reasons as quasi-causes)
Indeterminism can’t afford you more control or responsibility than you have under
determinism.
If indeterminism plays a role, you might have done otherwise, but not in a way that gives
you more control or responsibility than under determinism.
So for all practical purposes we should be determinists: assume causal explanatory
relations hold.
Compassion: the mitigation response
 
Determinism situates the individual within a wider causal context: historical
and situational
Causal responsibility for action is distributed 
outside
 the individual
You could not have been or done otherwise: libertarian, burn-in-hell blame
does not apply
Punitive reactive attitudes premised on contra-causal agency are mitigated:
“Tout comprendre, c’est tout pardonnez”
Compassion, sympathy, forbearance for others
Self-compassion
Anecdotal reports and survey findings support mitigation response
NB: the agent survives as a locus of control and forward-looking accountability
 
 
 
 
The mitigation response
 
“Our character and actions are
conditioned by factors that we do
not control – our genetic make-up,
our upbringing, our physical
environment. Given that we are
components of a natural world,
does it make sense to be
retributively angry when people
act badly?”
-  Derk Pereboom in 
Wrongdoing &
The Moral Emotions
.
 
“…this doctrine contributes to the
social life by teaching us to hate
no one, to disesteem no one, to
mock no one, to be angry at no
one, to envy no one.”
– Spinoza, 
Ethics
 II, Proposition
49, Discussion 490 (quoted by
Pereboom in 
Wrongdoing & The
Moral Emotions
)
 
“…every action determined by
heredity, constitution, example of
others or teaching of others….This
view should teach one profound
humility, one deserves no credit for
anything…nor ought one to blame
others.”
- Charles Darwin, Notebooks. (quoted
by Robert Wright in 
The Moral
Animal
)
The mitigation response
 
“With a broader view of the causes of
her wrongdoing…we relate her faulty
attitudes to other causes that interest
us morally. In particular, causes we view
as hardships may soften our reactions,
rendering us more compassionate
toward the wrongdoer.”
 - Erin Kelly, 
The Limits of Blame
, p. 112
The mitigation response
 
“…it seems desert is at base an emotional response
- a reactive attitude…and blame is the response of
disapproval…Thus criminal punishment might be a
fitting expression of the basic disapproval
generated when an offender commits a serious
criminal offense.”
- Hirstein, Sifferd, & Fagan, 
Responsible Brains
, p.
203
Why it matters: desert & punishment
 
Proposal
: determinism, via the mitigation
response, can condition our idea of what people
deserve: no “basic desert.”
Why it matters: desert & punishment
Mitigating blame: addiction
 
“To help addicts, look
beyond the fiction of free
will”
The Scientist,
 1998
“Determinism and
destigmatization:
mitigating blame for
addiction”
Neuroethics, 
2021
Control: applications of pragmatic
determinism
 
Understanding the causal story enhances practical control
Behavioral technology, e.g., 
Nudge
 (Thaler & Sunstein):
Good personal habits, weight loss, fitness, productivity
Addressing addiction, behavioral disorders
Intentional communities to maximize flourishing
Creation of political will – e.g., climate change
Political savvy: foster awareness of how 
you
 are being controlled so you can
exert counter-control
Social justice and economic equity: address the social and biological
determinants
 of health and self-fulfillment (Caruso)
Mitigation of tribalism: contingency - but for circumstances I might have
ended up like them
 
Misperceptions of determinism
 
Determinism is a universal excuse
No, to understand all is 
not
 to forgive all
Determinism undermines agency, choice
No, we are causally effective agents: 
agential determinism
Determinism makes us unfeeling mechanisms
No, conscious experience and affective states remain central
Determinism undermines rationality
No, logic and reasoning are 
rule-based
, not “free”
Determinism is anti-democratic, authoritarian (John Horgan - Stevens IT)
No, political liberty is 
consistent
 with determinism
Determinism robs life of meaning
No, our complete causal connection to the world, past and
present, is profound, astonishing
 
 
The disutility of indeterminism
(libertarianism)
 
In
determinism: there are possible alternative futures 
if
 true randomness exists
(and it might)
But: indeterminism can’t increase
 authorship 
or
 control
, would only render action
inscrutable and arbitrary: no coherent libertarianism
If you could have done otherwise, why didn’t you?
No rational reason to want to be outside of cause and effect
Serious downsides of belief in contra-causal agency:
Ignores actual causes of behavior, thus disempowers us
Encourages demonization, “burn-in-hell” blame
People generally get what they deserve – “just world” belief, complacency
We should rationally and ethically be pragmatic determinists, not libertarians.
Downplaying determinism (compatibilism)
 
Determinism doesn’t matter: “It simply does not matter whether or not in precisely
the same circumstances you would always do the same thing, and those who
continue to suppose that it matters greatly… owe the rest of us an explanation.”
Daniel Dennett, 
Elbow Room
Single out the agent: don’t talk about the causal story, only the reasons-responsive
person and their self-forming capacities
Maintain the blame: no mitigation of reactive attitudes (M. Moore, 
Placing Blame
)
No major rethinking of criminal justice: retribution remains central justification for
punishment (Model Penal Code)
Nota bene
: most compatibilists are not bloodthirsty retributivists, but nevertheless
downplay determinism. Why?
Diagnosis: the reactive attitudes are having their say and don’t want to be
displaced by determinism
Pitfalls and pushback against determinism
 
Psychological:
Demoralization: the dark night of no soul, fatalism
Resentment: resistance to mitigating blame & sharing credit
Ideological:
Danger of objectification
Religious pushback: faith-based defenses of contra-causal agency
Philo-scientific pushback: naturalistic libertarianism (Kane, Tse); higher-level
alternative possibilities (Tallis, List)
Advisories when memeing determinism:
If you deny or defend free will, define it first! What capacities and abilities?
Make the case for a rational epistemology, science, and naturalism
Preserve agency and moral accountability as we naturalize ourselves
The potential of pragmatic determinism
 
No good reason to think we stand outside causality, nor should we want to
Compassion: mitigation of reactive attitudes premised on contra-causal free
will
Control: attention to the actual causes and conditions of human and planetary
flourishing
The virtuous circle: understanding causality mitigates reactivity; mitigating
reactivity allows fuller consideration of causes
Limitations and reminders
:
Pragmatic determinism not the only route to compassion
We’re not naturally disposed toward determinism, so expect resistance
We’re still effective, autonomous agents, just not 
contra-causal
 agents
Remember: all laws and social norms still apply. No running amok, ok?
 
 
 
 
That’s all folks, thanks!
 
www.naturalism.org
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Delve into the philosophical discourse on determinism with a critical examination of free will, agency, and the implications of causality. Discover how leading thinkers challenge the conventional notions of choice and explore the complexities of human behavior in light of scientific revelations.

  • Determinism
  • Free Will
  • Philosophy
  • Causality
  • Science

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  1. Coming to Terms with Determinism Royal Institute of Philosophy Lectures Thomas W. Clark Brandeis University Naturalism.Org Keele University December 7, 2021

  2. Objective: defang determinism No good reason to suppose we are causal exceptions to nature No rational reason to want to be causal exceptions Determinism affords us compassion and control Another step in naturalizing ourselves in light of science

  3. Roadmap Free will under attack! Two concepts of free will and agency Determinism: could you have done otherwise? Pragmatic determinism: its practical and ethical advantages Misperceptions of determinism The disutility of indeterminism (libertarianism) Downplaying determinism (compatibilism) Pitfalls, objections, and limitations

  4. Free will under attack! Humanity is fortunately deceived on the free will issue, and this seems to be a condition of civilized morality and personal sense of value. Saul Smilansky, Free Will and Illusion, 2000

  5. The Guardian: The clockwork universe: is free will an illusion? A puppet is free as long as he loves his strings. Sam Harris A growing chorus of scientists and philosophers argue that free will does not exist. Could they be right?

  6. You may feel like you've made choices, but in reality your decision to read this piece, and whether to have eggs or pancakes, was determined long before you were aware of it perhaps even before you woke up today. - Jerry Coyne, biologist Sapolsky forthcoming: Determined: A Science of Life Without Free Will Yet the sobering side of these revelations, [Robert Sapolsky] believes, is that our behavior is largely determined with little or no room for free will by all of the psychological, physiological, and evolutionary forces that science is now decoding. OMG! We re undeceived about free will.

  7. Determinism Determinism defined: one possible future given the current situation and laws of nature.The current situation is fully traceable to antecedent circumstances. Sean Carroll: Within its domain of applicability, the Core Theory is what we might label causally comprehensive There is a specific equation that unambiguously predicts how it will evolve over time. This equation is sufficient to describe everything human beings generally do... There are no ambiguities or loose ends. The fact that brains are big, complex things is irrelevant. The Core Theory makes specific predictions for how any particular brain will behave... Consciousness and the laws of physics, Journal of Consciousness Studies, 2021. (emphasis added)

  8. What do we mean by free will? Standard: What I do is up to me: credit, blame, moral responsibility But who am I, in what sort of world: how much blame? Libertarian, contra-causal free will: freedom is incompatible with determinism. Strong origination, deep credit and blame. Compatibilist free will: our freedoms are compatible with determinism. Proximate origination. Free will skeptics: we lack the control required for basic desert What s under attack is clearly contra-causal freedom:strong credit & blame is threatened by determinism. Majority of philosophers (~ 60%) are compatibilists. Regular folks often have contra-causal intuitions. Determinism viewed with distrust, distaste.

  9. Free will: could you have done otherwise? Unconditional ability to do otherwise: In an actual situation, you could have done otherwise in a way that s up to you - an ability incompatible with determinism: contra-causal freedom. Conditional ability to do otherwise: Had the conditions been different, you might have done otherwise - an ability compatible with determinism: compatibilist freedom. If determinism is true, you don t have the unconditional capacity - you couldn t be doing otherwise right now. Would this be a problem? Why?

  10. No unconditional ability to do otherwise: when making the tea, it certainly seemed to me that I could have made coffee instead... Given the precise state of the universe at the time, which includes the state of my body and brain, all of which have prior causes stretching all the way back to my origin as a tea-drinking semi- Englishman and beyond, I could not have done otherwise... That is, we don t have contra-causal free will.

  11. But we do have the conditional ability to do otherwise: The counterfactual aspect of the experience of volition is particularly important for its future-oriented function. The feeling that I could have done differently does not mean I actually could have done differently [in an actual situation]. Rather, the phenomenology of alternative possibilities is useful because in a future similar, but not identical, situation I might indeed do differently. We are behaviorally flexible. Why would anyone want the unconditional ability - contra-causal free will? What s the problem with determinism?

  12. Is determinism true? Naturalistic starting points: Epistemology ( way of knowing ): empirical, scientific, and fallibilist not faith, tradition, intuition, authority, etc. (Jonathan Rauch: The Constitution of Knowledge) Worldview: naturalism - natural world as shown by science, nothing supernatural. (www.naturalism.org) Metaphysics: we can be agnostic about physicalism, idealism, dualism, panpsychism, etc. when thinking about causation Causal and explanatory relations exist as shown by science, whatever our metaphysics (Judea Pearl, The Book of Why) Reliable cause-effect relations hold in human behavior: folk psychology and as described by science. Inclusive naturalism: we aren t causal exceptions to nature.

  13. Pragmatic determinism Quantum indeterminacy: no universal, implacable determinism Pragmatic determinism: for all practical purposes, it s rational to assume causal explanatory relations hold in human development and behavior. Imperfect knowledge, Linear, multi-factorial, probabilistic. Physical determinants micro-physical, chemical, biological, neural Motivational determinants - supervene on neural Reasons-based determinants person-level beliefs, deliberations, and decisions help to determine action (reasons as quasi-causes) Indeterminism can t afford you more control or responsibility than you have under determinism. If indeterminism plays a role, you might have done otherwise, but not in a way that gives you more control or responsibility than under determinism. So for all practical purposes we should be determinists: assume causal explanatory relations hold.

  14. Compassion: the mitigation response Determinism situates the individual within a wider causal context: historical and situational Causal responsibility for action is distributed outside the individual You could not have been or done otherwise: libertarian, burn-in-hell blame does not apply Punitive reactive attitudes premised on contra-causal agency are mitigated: Tout comprendre, c est tout pardonnez Compassion, sympathy, forbearance for others Self-compassion Anecdotal reports and survey findings support mitigation response NB: the agent survives as a locus of control and forward-looking accountability

  15. The mitigation response Our character and actions are conditioned by factors that we do not control our genetic make-up, our upbringing, our physical environment. Given that we are components of a natural world, does it make sense to be retributively angry when people act badly? - Derk Pereboom in Wrongdoing & The Moral Emotions.

  16. The mitigation response this doctrine contributes to the social life by teaching us to hate no one, to disesteem no one, to mock no one, to be angry at no one, to envy no one. every action determined by heredity, constitution, example of others or teaching of others .This view should teach one profound humility, one deserves no credit for anything nor ought one to blame others. Spinoza, Ethics II, Proposition 49, Discussion 490 (quoted by Pereboom in Wrongdoing & The Moral Emotions) - Charles Darwin, Notebooks. (quoted by Robert Wright in The Moral Animal)

  17. The mitigation response With a broader view of the causes of her wrongdoing we relate her faulty attitudes to other causes that interest us morally. In particular, causes we view as hardships may soften our reactions, rendering us more compassionate toward the wrongdoer. - Erin Kelly, The Limits of Blame, p. 112

  18. Why it matters: desert & punishment it seems desert is at base an emotional response - a reactive attitude and blame is the response of disapproval Thus criminal punishment might be a fitting expression of the basic disapproval generated when an offender commits a serious criminal offense. - Hirstein, Sifferd, & Fagan, Responsible Brains, p. 203 Proposal: determinism, via the mitigation response, can condition our idea of what people deserve: no basic desert.

  19. Why it matters: desert & punishment

  20. Mitigating blame: addiction To help addicts, look beyond the fiction of free will The Scientist, 1998 Determinism and destigmatization: mitigating blame for addiction Neuroethics, 2021

  21. Control: applications of pragmatic determinism Understanding the causal story enhances practical control Behavioral technology, e.g., Nudge (Thaler & Sunstein): Good personal habits, weight loss, fitness, productivity Addressing addiction, behavioral disorders Intentional communities to maximize flourishing Creation of political will e.g., climate change Political savvy: foster awareness of how you are being controlled so you can exert counter-control Social justice and economic equity: address the social and biological determinants of health and self-fulfillment (Caruso) Mitigation of tribalism: contingency - but for circumstances I might have ended up like them

  22. Misperceptions of determinism Determinism is a universal excuse No, to understand all is not to forgive all Determinism undermines agency, choice No, we are causally effective agents: agential determinism Determinism makes us unfeeling mechanisms No, conscious experience and affective states remain central Determinism undermines rationality No, logic and reasoning are rule-based, not free Determinism is anti-democratic, authoritarian (John Horgan - Stevens IT) No, political liberty is consistent with determinism Determinism robs life of meaning No, our complete causal connection to the world, past and present, is profound, astonishing

  23. The disutility of indeterminism (libertarianism) Indeterminism: there are possible alternative futures if true randomness exists (and it might) But: indeterminism can t increase authorship or control, would only render action inscrutable and arbitrary: no coherent libertarianism If you could have done otherwise, why didn t you? No rational reason to want to be outside of cause and effect Serious downsides of belief in contra-causal agency: Ignores actual causes of behavior, thus disempowers us Encourages demonization, burn-in-hell blame People generally get what they deserve just world belief, complacency We should rationally and ethically be pragmatic determinists, not libertarians.

  24. Downplaying determinism (compatibilism) Determinism doesn t matter: It simply does not matter whether or not in precisely the same circumstances you would always do the same thing, and those who continue to suppose that it matters greatly owe the rest of us an explanation. Daniel Dennett, Elbow Room Single out the agent: don t talk about the causal story, only the reasons-responsive person and their self-forming capacities Maintain the blame: no mitigation of reactive attitudes (M. Moore, Placing Blame) No major rethinking of criminal justice: retribution remains central justification for punishment (Model Penal Code) Nota bene: most compatibilists are not bloodthirsty retributivists, but nevertheless downplay determinism. Why? Diagnosis: the reactive attitudes are having their say and don t want to be displaced by determinism

  25. Pitfalls and pushback against determinism Psychological: Demoralization: the dark night of no soul, fatalism Resentment: resistance to mitigating blame & sharing credit Ideological: Danger of objectification Religious pushback: faith-based defenses of contra-causal agency Philo-scientific pushback: naturalistic libertarianism (Kane, Tse); higher-level alternative possibilities (Tallis, List) Advisories when memeing determinism: If you deny or defend free will, define it first! What capacities and abilities? Make the case for a rational epistemology, science, and naturalism Preserve agency and moral accountability as we naturalize ourselves

  26. The potential of pragmatic determinism No good reason to think we stand outside causality, nor should we want to Compassion: mitigation of reactive attitudes premised on contra-causal free will Control: attention to the actual causes and conditions of human and planetary flourishing The virtuous circle: understanding causality mitigates reactivity; mitigating reactivity allows fuller consideration of causes Limitations and reminders: Pragmatic determinism not the only route to compassion We re not naturally disposed toward determinism, so expect resistance We re still effective, autonomous agents, just not contra-causal agents Remember: all laws and social norms still apply. No running amok, ok? That s all folks, thanks! www.naturalism.org

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