Cross-Check Sensitivity Comparison LBNO vs. LBNE

Slides exchanged with Slavic
(LBNO)
Xin Qian
BNL
1
Motivation
We would like cross check LBNEO sensitivity
We would like to compare with LBNE
sensitivity
We would like to validate claims from both
LBNE and LBNO
2
Conditions
LBNO Fluxes: HPPS and SPS fluxes from Slavic
Oscillation Parameters
3
3% measurement of sin22theta13 is assumed
Events Comparison
4
Xin: does not include the nu_tau background. I have to scale the
POT by about 1.09 in order to match the Neutrino signal events
Sensitivity Comparison (Digitize these
plots)
Sensitivity plots from Slavic
Left SPS beam, right HPPS beam, digitized with 24 kton detector
5
Sensitivity Comparison
 
6
Xin: Sensitivity was calculated according to LBNE style systematics: 1% signal + 5%
systematics
There are small rate differences shown in slide 3
There are some differences in how to treat systematics between LBNO and LBNE
calculation
Given these, the sensitivities are close enough
. For this work (relative comparison), it is
good enough. We are going to compare LBNE vs. LBNO sensitivity
LBNO vs. LBNE Sensitivity (Both MH)
7
LBNO Sensitivity is calculated with
HPPS LE beam
50 GeV beam + 24 kt + 32.7e21 POT
Comparable CPV sensitivity in NH,
slightly worse CPV sensitivity in IH
Better MH sensitivity at longer baseline
LBNE Sensitivity is calculated with
2010 beam
120 GeV beam + 34 kt + 8.6e21 POT
About 10% lower than the exposure
than LBNO, as we scaled up LBNO
rates to match the LBNO official rate
 
LBNE vs. LBNO Events Comparison
 
8
Importance of 2
nd
 oscillation maxima
 
9
LBNO 2
nd
 oscillation ends at 2.5 GeV, LBNE 2
nd
 oscillation ends at 1.5 GeV
2
nd
 oscillation in LBNE does not play an important role in CPV
2
nd
 oscillation in LBNO does play an important role in CPV
Validate the claims from both LBNE and LBNO
Comparing 1
st
 oscillation only, LBNO sensitivity is worse than LBNE, this is due to
the imbalanced rate in neutrino vs. antineutrino mode at longer baseline
Use HPPS LE Optimization @ 1300 km
10
For CPV, LBNE and LBNO has similar sensitivities
With LBNO setup, but set the baseline to 1300 km, CPV sensitivity is enhanced.
Validate the claim of LBNE that shorter baseline is better for CPV
Also better LBNE MH sensitivity with HPPS LE beam
~ 100 for the worst delta region
 
Conclusion
We validate the following facts:
Roughly validate the LBNO sensitivity with LBNE globes
framework
1%/5% LBNE systematic treatment similar as the LBNO style
systematics
LBNO HPPS LE CPV sensitivity has similar performance as
LBNE 2010 CPV sensitivity @ same exposure
Slightly worse in IH case
For CPV, 2
nd
 oscillation maximum is crucial for LBNO, but
not as crucial in LBNE
For 1
st
 oscillation alone, the LBNO sensitivity is worse due to
imbalanced neutrino/antineutrino rates
For 2
nd
 oscillation alone, the LBNO sensitivity is better due to
more events, and wider energy coverage
For CPV, 1300 km performs better than 2300 km
LBNO’s sensitivity @ 1300 km is better than LBNO sensitivity @
2300 km
For MH, 2300 km performs better than 1300 km
11
Systematic 3%+10%
12
With 3% signal uncertainties + 10% background uncertainties
1300 km baseline’s sensitivity decreases more than the 2300 km baseline
Presumably since 1
st
 oscillation maxima is more sensitive to the signal uncertainties
 
2
nd
 oscillation has larger asymmetries, more shape information
Breakdown 1
st
 and 2
nd
 oscillations
13
We confirm that the 1
st
 oscillation is more sensitive to the systematic uncertainties
relative to the 2
nd
 oscillation maxima.
Running Time 50%+50% vs. 75%+25%
14
At 1300 km, 50% vs. 50% running is better than 75% + 25% running
At 2300 km 75% vs. 25% running is better than 50% + 50% running
 
This is mostly due to the imbalanced neutrino vs. antineutrino events
A few words about systematics
Current LBNE-style systematics only takes into account the
normalizations
These uncertainties are uncorrelated among various samples
In reality, we would use the muon disappearances to calibrate the
CPV (small effect of CPV)
For the appearance CPV, what matters is the relative uncertainties
between appearance and disappearance 
 
This is the main reason of 1% signal uncertainties
A 3% relative uncertainties between appearance and disappearance is
conservative
Based on my DYB experience,
Relative uncertainties is the most dangerous ones (than the
absolute uncertainties)
Uncorrelated uncertainties is more dangerous than the correlated
uncertainties
Also need to consider energy scale, bin-2-bin uncertainties,
near/far extrapolation 
 break some connections between 1
st
and 2
nd
 oscillation maxima
15
LBNE 80 vs. 120 GeV
 
16
50 GeV vs. 120
GeV beam
 
17
 
 
 
18
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Compare sensitivity and events data between LBNO and LBNE in neutrino physics research. Detailed analysis of fluxes, signal and backgrounds, with a focus on MH sensitivity. Explore systematics and baseline differences impacting results.

  • Neutrino Physics
  • Sensitivity Comparison
  • LBNO
  • LBNE
  • Research

Uploaded on Feb 16, 2025 | 0 Views


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Presentation Transcript


  1. Slides exchanged with Slavic (LBNO) Xin Qian BNL 1

  2. Motivation We would like cross check LBNEO sensitivity We would like to compare with LBNE sensitivity We would like to validate claims from both LBNE and LBNO 2

  3. Conditions LBNO Fluxes: HPPS and SPS fluxes from Slavic Oscillation Parameters 3% measurement of sin22theta13 is assumed 3

  4. Events Comparison SPS Slavic SPS Xin HPPS Slavic HPPS Xin Neutrino signal 693 696.5 922 924 Neutrino backgrounds 121 145.3 300 264.6 Antineutrino signal 40 47.4 48 52.8 Antineutrino backgrounds 36 30.2 30 37.2 Total POT needed 15e20 16.35e20 30e21 32.7e21 Xin: does not include the nu_tau background. I have to scale the POT by about 1.09 in order to match the Neutrino signal events 4

  5. Sensitivity Comparison (Digitize these plots) Sensitivity plots from Slavic Left SPS beam, right HPPS beam, digitized with 24 kton detector 5

  6. Sensitivity Comparison Xin: Sensitivity was calculated according to LBNE style systematics: 1% signal + 5% systematics There are small rate differences shown in slide 3 There are some differences in how to treat systematics between LBNO and LBNE calculation Given these, the sensitivities are close enough. For this work (relative comparison), it is good enough. We are going to compare LBNE vs. LBNO sensitivity 6

  7. LBNO vs. LBNE Sensitivity (Both MH) LBNO Sensitivity is calculated with HPPS LE beam 50 GeV beam + 24 kt + 32.7e21 POT LBNE Sensitivity is calculated with 2010 beam 120 GeV beam + 34 kt + 8.6e21 POT Comparable CPV sensitivity in NH, slightly worse CPV sensitivity in IH Better MH sensitivity at longer baseline About 10% lower than the exposure than LBNO, as we scaled up LBNO rates to match the LBNO official rate 7

  8. LBNE vs. LBNO Events Comparison LBNE (NH) LBNO (NH) LBNE (IH) LBNO (IH) Neutrino signal 1243.5 924 569.6 196.5 Neutrino backgrounds 664.2 264.6 665.1 279.1 Antineutrino signal 372.4 52.8 532.6 146.7 Antineutrino backgrounds 400.4 37.2 396 36.3 Total POT needed 8.6e21 @ 120 GeV 32.7e21 @ 50 GeV HPPS LE 8.6e21 @ 120 GeV 32.7e21 @ 50 GeV HPPS LE 8

  9. Importance of 2nd oscillation maxima LBNO 2nd oscillation ends at 2.5 GeV, LBNE 2nd oscillation ends at 1.5 GeV 2nd oscillation in LBNE does not play an important role in CPV 2nd oscillation in LBNO does play an important role in CPV Validate the claims from both LBNE and LBNO Comparing 1st oscillation only, LBNO sensitivity is worse than LBNE, this is due to the imbalanced rate in neutrino vs. antineutrino mode at longer baseline 9

  10. Use HPPS LE Optimization @ 1300 km For CPV, LBNE and LBNO has similar sensitivities With LBNO setup, but set the baseline to 1300 km, CPV sensitivity is enhanced. Validate the claim of LBNE that shorter baseline is better for CPV Also better LBNE MH sensitivity with HPPS LE beam ~ 100 for the worst delta region 10

  11. Conclusion We validate the following facts: Roughly validate the LBNO sensitivity with LBNE globes framework 1%/5% LBNE systematic treatment similar as the LBNO style systematics LBNO HPPS LE CPV sensitivity has similar performance as LBNE 2010 CPV sensitivity @ same exposure Slightly worse in IH case For CPV, 2nd oscillation maximum is crucial for LBNO, but not as crucial in LBNE For 1st oscillation alone, the LBNO sensitivity is worse due to imbalanced neutrino/antineutrino rates For 2nd oscillation alone, the LBNO sensitivity is better due to more events, and wider energy coverage For CPV, 1300 km performs better than 2300 km LBNO s sensitivity @ 1300 km is better than LBNO sensitivity @ 2300 km For MH, 2300 km performs better than 1300 km 11

  12. Systematic 3%+10% With 3% signal uncertainties + 10% background uncertainties 1300 km baseline s sensitivity decreases more than the 2300 km baseline Presumably since 1st oscillation maxima is more sensitive to the signal uncertainties 2nd oscillation has larger asymmetries, more shape information 12

  13. Breakdown 1st and 2nd oscillations We confirm that the 1st oscillation is more sensitive to the systematic uncertainties relative to the 2nd oscillation maxima. 13

  14. Running Time 50%+50% vs. 75%+25% At 1300 km, 50% vs. 50% running is better than 75% + 25% running At 2300 km 75% vs. 25% running is better than 50% + 50% running This is mostly due to the imbalanced neutrino vs. antineutrino events 14

  15. A few words about systematics Current LBNE-style systematics only takes into account the normalizations These uncertainties are uncorrelated among various samples In reality, we would use the muon disappearances to calibrate the CPV (small effect of CPV) For the appearance CPV, what matters is the relative uncertainties between appearance and disappearance This is the main reason of 1% signal uncertainties A 3% relative uncertainties between appearance and disappearance is conservative Based on my DYB experience, Relative uncertainties is the most dangerous ones (than the absolute uncertainties) Uncorrelated uncertainties is more dangerous than the correlated uncertainties Also need to consider energy scale, bin-2-bin uncertainties, near/far extrapolation break some connections between 1st and 2nd oscillation maxima 15

  16. LBNE 80 vs. 120 GeV 16

  17. 50 GeV vs. 120 GeV beam 17

  18. 18

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