CERTIFIED BUSINESS MANAGEMENT ANALYST

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CERTIFIED BUSINESS MANAGEMENT ANALYST
 
13) Manufacturing Operations Analysis
14) Retail Management Analysis
15) Service Management Analysis
 
13) Manufacturing Operations Analysis
 
1.
Costs Savings
2.
Manufacturing Make-or-Buy Analysis
3.
Product Tree Structure
4.
Inventory Levels at Work Center
5.
Production Job Scheduling
6.
Materials Scheduling
7.
Work Center Performance Analysis
8.
Work Center Load Balancing Analysis
9.
Production Automation Alternatives
10.
Cycle Counting of Inventories
11.
Operations-Lead-Times and Queuing Models
12.
Kanban Containers
13.
Machine Setup Cost and Time
14.
Service Levels and Lead Times
15.
Demand During Lead Times
16.
Plant Layout
17.
Production Cycle Time and Workstations
18.
Preventive Maintenance Management
 
Costs Savings
 
Much expenditure is associated with manufacturing operations (materials,
machines, labor, money, energy… etc).
 
Cost saving is one of the criteria for initiating automation projects.
 
Consider both fixed costs and variable cost/unit for different production
alternatives.
 
The alternative with maximum cost savings should be selected
.
 
Manufacturing Make-or-Buy Analysis
 
Decide whether to buy a part or component from outside or to produce
the part of component by considering fixed costs and variable costs for
all alternatives.
The alternative with the least total cost should be selected.
 
Production
 Automation Alternatives
 
Break-even analysis can help management in
making a chose between a 
manual & semi-automatic
production 
process for a new product line.
 
Both Fixed costs and variable costs 
are considered
for all alternatives.
 
Questions 284 & 285, page: 185
 
In XYZ company, one of the engineers prepared a proposal to change from a job shop
to a cellular manufacturing settings. The cost for the current job shop and the
proposed cellular setting are summarized in below table, assuming the annual
production volume of 100,000 unit:
 
 
 
 
 
What would be the annual cost savings if this proposal was accepted?
At what point volume would this company be indifferent toward the proposal?
 
Questions 286-289, page: 186
 
WXC company wants to decide whether to buy a product it uses or to produce the
product itself. It expects to need 50,000 unit per year and has the following three
options:
 
 
 
 
What should the WXC company do regarding this product?
At what point volume would this company be indifferent to buying the product or producing it manually?
At what point volume would this company be indifferent to buying the product or producing it by automated
production?
At what point volume would this company be indifferent to buying the product or producing it by automated
production?
 
 
 
Product Tree Structure
 
Product Tree: a graphical representation of  the bill of material (BOM).
Used to show the quantities required per each component.
 
BOM: a listing of all of the raw materials, parts, subassemblies, and
assemblies needed to produce one unit of a product.
 
 
 
Assume that Product Z is made up of two units of A and four units of
B.  A is made of three units of C and four units of D.  D is made of two
units of E. Draw a product tree for Z.
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Product Tree Structure
 
Inventory Levels at Work Center
 
Most manufacturers divide inventory into
:
I.
Raw materials (RM)
 - materials and components scheduled for use in
making a product.
II.
Work in process
 - WIP - materials and components that have begun their
transformation to finished goods.
III.
Finished goods (FG)
 - goods ready for sale to customers.
 
To calculate inventory level at a work center compare:
Actual inputs to planned inputs
Actual outputs to planned outputs
Calculate Work In Process (WIP)
 
Production Job Scheduling
 
Which order or job to process first?! How to sequence jobs?
 
Consider average flow time, average flow rate, or total changeover
costs…etc.
 
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First-come, First-Served (FCFS)
Next job to be produced is the one that arrived first among the waiting
jobs.
 
Shortest Processing Time (SPT)
Next job to be produced is the one with the shortest processing
time among the waiting jobs.
 
Critical Ration (CR)
Next job to be produced is the one with the least CR time among the
waiting jobs.
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Least Changeover Cost
Select jobs sequence that would minimize total changeover costs.
 
Average Flow Time & Number of
jobs
 
Total waiting time = Summation of waiting time
for all jobs.
 
Average waiting time
= Total waiting time/number of jobs
 
Average number of jobs in the shop
 
= Total waiting time/total processing time
 
A print shop has 4 jobs to be processed through their only five-color press.
Production times for each job are as follows:
 
 
 
 
At what order should the four jobs be done using the SPT rule?
C-B-A-D
What is the average waiting (flow) time for all jobs using the SPT?
Average waiting time = (12+29+59+98)/4 =  = 198/4 = 49.5 min
What’s the average number of jobs in shop using the SPT rule?
Average number of jobs in shop= (12+29+59+98)/98 = 198/98 = 2.02 job
What is the average waiting (flow) time for all jobs using the FCFS rule?
Average waiting time = (30+47+59+98)/4 =  = 234/4 = 58.5 min
What’s the average number of jobs in shop using the FCFS rule?
Average number of jobs in shop= (30+47+59+98)/98 = 234/98 = 2.39 job
What’s the first job to be processes using the critical ratio rule?
CR
A
 = 25/300.83, choose Job A
 
Questions 294-299, page: 189
 
Materials Scheduling
 
Material requirements planning (MRP): 
Computer-based
information system for ordering and scheduling of dependent
demand inventories.
 
Using MRP
 improves 
customer service, reduce investment in
inventory, and improve operating efficiency of a plant.
 
Dependent demand
: Demand for items that are subassemblies or
component parts to be used in production of finished goods.
 
Master Production Schedule (MPS): 
Time-phased plan specifying
timing and quantity of production for each end item.
 
Inputs to MRP: Gross requirements for a product (taken from
MPS), Scheduled receipts, and beginning inventory.
 
Work Center Performance Analysis
 
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Workstation are usually of two types : a manned workstation
containing one worker who operates machines and/or tools, and an
unmanned workstation containing unattended machines.
 
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Work Center Performance Analysis
 
How to determine if manufacturing resources are being utilized
efficiently and effectively?
 
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Measured (demonstrated) capacity 
is an average of previous
production output.
 
Work Center Performance Analysis
 
A manufacturing plant has a work center that produced 135 standard
hours of work over the past week. This work center was available for
160 hrs, and actually worked 120 hrs. Over the previous 4 weeks, the
same work center produced 150, 130, 120 and 140 standard hrs of
work.
 
What’s the utilization %, Efficiently %, available capacity, and measured
capacity for this work center?
 
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city= (150+130+120+140)/4= 135
 
Work Center Load Balancing
Analysis
 
Load
 : amount of planned work scheduled for and actual work released to a
facility, work center, or operation for a specific span of time. Expressed in
terms of Standard hours of work of units of production.
 
Load balancing (leveling): 
spreading work orders out in time or rescheduling
operations so that the amount of work make it more economical to produce in
larger lots than are needed for immediate purposes.
 
 
Total load 
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Under or over capacity = total load – variable capacity
 
Over capacity                 work center is overloaded
Under capacity             work center is under-loaded
 
Production Cycle Time and Workstations
 
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Minimum number of workstation : The least number of workstation that can provide the
required production, calculate by:
 
Theoretical minimum # of workstations
 
= (∑task times per unit) * demand (piece/hr) / productive time (min/hr)
 
 
= Sum of all tasks times/Cycle time
 
Cycle time 
: The time in minutes between products coming off the end of a production line
Cycle time = productive time (min/hr) / demand (piece/hr)
 
Example (Page 204):
 
For XYZ company that’s considering improving their lines by using Incremental utilization heuristic, if the
productive time/hr = 55 min, the demand is 23 piece/hr, and the tasks details for their assembly line are available
in below table, find the following:
 
 
 
1- Cycle time
2- Theoretical minimum # of workstations
 
Cycle Counting of Inventories
 
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Cycle counts 
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physical inventory 
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operations, and provide an ongoing measure of inventory
accuracy and procedure execution, and can be tailored to 
focus
on items with
 higher value, higher movement volume, or that are
critical to business processes.
 
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Operations-Lead-Times and Queuing Models
 
Operations-Lead-Times: the period of time between the
initiation of any process of production and the completion
of that process.
 
Some queue structures:
First come first served (FCFS)
Last come first served (LCFS)
Service in random order
Priority service
 
Balance arrival rates with processing rates using
Queuing Models.
 
Kanban Containers
 
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Steps followed for replenishing stock in Kanban system:
 
A container has just been emptied at the Drilling  station.
The kanban is placed in the kanban collection box.
The full containers at Milling, with kanbans attached to them,
 
are transported to  Drilling and the kanbans in the collection
 
box are taken back to Milling.
Milling continues to fill containers depending on the demand
 
from Drilling.
Empty containers are collected from Drilling periodically.
 
Management is interested in reducing the number
 
 of containers and in increasing the efficiency rating
.
 
Machine Setup Cost and Time
 
With each machine setup a cost is associated due to maintenance
personnel and materials involved it changeover process.
 
The necessary setup cost is computed as following:
EOQ = [(2DS/C)(p/(p-d))]^0.5
S = [C*(EOQ^2)/2D][(p-d)/p]
where:
D: annual demand, d: daily demand
 
p: daily production rate
 
C: carrying cost per item
 
S: setup cost
 
Setup Time = Setup Cost / Labor Rate
 
Service Levels and Lead Times
 
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Assuming demand during LT is normally distributed based on the past date.
 
ROP (Re-Order Point) is determined as follows:
 
 
 
ROP/OP = EDDLT + SS
 
Required service level affects Safety Stock (SS).
SS = OP – EDDLT
Where
 
OP : Order Point, also called ROP
 
EDDLT: Expected demand during lead time
 
Plant Layout
 
Plant Layout: the physical arrangement of everything needed for the product or
service, including machines, personnel, raw materials, and finished goods. The
criteria for a good layout necessarily relate to people (personnel and
customers), materials (raw, finished, and in process), machines, and their
interactions.
 
Some of the factors used to determine plant layout: ease of future expansion or
change, flow of movement, materials handling, space utilization, ease of
communication and support, and safety.
 
Space has to be utilized efficiently by considering expected
 
movement of products between departments & requested
 
area for each department.
 
Departments that have the highest amount of product
 
movement between them should be located close to each
 
other.
 
Departments that have no product between them should
 
be  located at opposite ends of the building..
 
 
Preventive Maintenance Management
 
P
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/
 
m
a
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i
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s
.
 
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.
 
Having standby machines reduces costs associated with breakdown; lost of production
time, overtime usage on the other machines, and emergency repair procedures.
Nevertheless, having standby machines would result in storage and special handling
expenses.
 
The number of standby machines needed is calculated using the expected values and
relative probabilities to minimize expected costs.
 
Long-term benefits of preventive maintenance include:
Improved system reliability.
Decreased cost of replacement.
Decreased system downtime.
Better spares inventory management.
 
Preventive Maintenance Management
 
O
n
e
 
o
f
 
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e
 
p
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f
o
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h
i
c
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e
s
 
(
µ
)
.
 
Formula: µ = 
λ
 + 1/ t
s
 
Where:
µ : average or mean service rate
λ
: average or mean arrival rate
t
s
: the average waiting time in the system and is computed as 1/(µ-
λ
)
Number of mechanics = µ /vehicles per mechanic per week
µ : average or mean service rate
λ
: average or mean arrival rate
 
Preventive Maintenance Management
 
BTC Inc. has a fleet of 600 vehicles. Based on historical records, an
average of 14 vehicles/week require repair work. These records show that
on average, each mechanic can repair four vehicles/week. Company policy
requires vehicles to be back in service in 0.5 week on average. The repair
rate is number of vehicles repaired be week.
 
W
h
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I
n
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.
 
C
o
m
p
a
n
y
?
t
s
: 1/(µ-
λ
)            µ = 
λ
 + 1/ t
s 
 
= 14 + 1/0.5 = 16 vehicle/week
 
H
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w
 
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.
 
C
o
m
p
a
n
y
?
Number of mechanics = µ /vehicles per mechanic per week
Number of mechanics = 16/4 = 4 mechanics
 
 
 
 
Preventive Maintenance Management
 
XYZ company has 900 employees, each using a computer terminal. When a terminal
stops functioning, if a spare is not immediately available on site, it costs, the
company an average of $ 100 in lost employee productivity before a new terminal
can be obtained. For each spare terminal that the company keeps on site but does
not use, it is estimated that the cost is $25/week for storages, insurance, and
opportunity cost. The demand pattern for the terminals is as follows:
 
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2
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6
-
2
0
7
 
14) Retail Management Analysis
 
1.
Merchandize Pricing
2.
Merchandise Planning
3.
Merchandise Control
4.
Retail Inventory Valuation Methods
5.
Retail Inventory Pricing Systems
6.
Summary of LIFO and FIFO Methods
7.
Merchandise Profitability Analysis
8.
Retail Inventory Turns and Levels
9.
Store Productivity and Performance
10.
Net Requirements Schedule
11.
Economic Order Quantity and Costs
12.
Fixed Order Period Model
13.
ABC Inventory Classification System
14.
R
e
t
a
i
l
 
S
t
o
r
e
 
L
a
y
o
u
t
 
Merchandize Pricing
 
Merchandize pricings decision and retail decisions must be made together.
 
Selling price = Cost/(100%-Markup%)
 
Selling price = Cost + Markup in $
 
M
a
r
k
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p
 
%
 
o
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t
 
=
 
(
P
r
i
c
e
-
C
o
s
t
)
/
C
o
s
t
 
Initial Markup% = (Operating Expenses + Profits + Reductions)/(Net sales + Reduction)
 
Maintained Markup% = Initial Markup%-[(Reduction%)*(100%-Initial Markup%)
 
Reduction % = Amount of reduction /Net Sales
 
Maintained Markup is the difference between the actual selling price and the
cost of that merchandise, is more important that the initial markup.
 
 
Merchandise Planning
 
M
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:
 
The basic stock method
BOM stock= (average stock – average monthly sale)+ planned monthly sales
 
The percentage variation method
BOM stock = average stock for a season * 0.5*[1+(planned sales for the
month/average monthly sales)]
 
The week’s supply method
BOM stock= average weekly sales * the number of weeks to be stocked
 
The stock-to-sales ratio method
BOM stock= stock-to-sales ration * planned monthly sales
 
A combination of the preceding four methods
 
%
 
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6
.
 
Merchandise Control
 
Merchandise control is critical to ensure an adequate level of stock is on
hand for the amount of sales being generated. Having too much inventory
(or the wrong type) during certain periods can slow your cash flow and
reduce profits with too many markdowns.
 
M
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m
e
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h
o
d
 
The Open-To-Buy Formula
 
   Planned Sales
+ Planned Markdowns
+ Planned End of Month (EOM) Inventory
 - Planned Beginning of Month (BOM) Inventory
    - Commitments at retail for delivery
----------------------------------------
= Open-To-Buy (retail)
undefined
 
Methods used for valuating a retailer’s inventory:
I.
Cost Method
II.
Retail method (most commonly used, oldest and most useful)
III.
Lower of Cost or Market (LCM) method.
Ending book inventory value accuracy depends on free of errors recording for: BOM
inventory, purchases, freight-in, markups, markdowns, discounts, returns, transfer
between stores, and sales.
Formula used in inventory valuation:
C
o
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t
 
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e
x
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s
.
 
Retail Inventory Valuation Methods
 
Cost of Goods Sold Analysis
 
 
Cost of Goods Sold Analysis
 
Definition:  
The direct costs attributable to the production of the goods sold by a company. This
amount includes the cost of the materials used in creating the good along with the direct labor
costs used to produce the good
 
 
Equation
COGS = RM Used in Production + Manufacturing Expenses + Diff. in Inventory
Balances
 
Retail Inventory Pricing Systems
 
Inventory pricing systems for retailers:
F
i
r
s
t
 
i
n
 
a
n
d
 
f
i
r
s
t
-
o
u
t
 
(
F
I
F
O
)
L
a
s
t
-
i
n
 
a
n
d
 
f
i
r
s
t
-
o
u
t
 
(
L
I
F
O
)
 
FIFO and LIFO yield different values for ending inventories and COGS
when identical units of a particular product have been acquired at different
prices. Each method has advantages and disadvantages…
 
LIFO
Most preferred to be used for planning because it reflect replacement costs.
Cushion the impact of inflationary pressures by matching current costs with current
revenues.
COGS is based on the costs of items purchased most recently.
Older inventory is regarded as unsold inventory
FIFO:
best represents true merchandise cost, assumes that the oldest merchandise is sold first.
Assumes that the older merchandise is sold before the more recently purchased
merchandise.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Summary of LIFO and FIFO
Methods
 
Merchandise Profitability Analysis
 
Profit/Gross Margin / Net Profit / Net Income / Operating Profit
 
Bottom line: net income after taxes…
 
O
p
e
r
a
t
i
n
g
 
P
r
o
f
i
t
:
 
A
 
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e
a
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'
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(
E
B
I
T
)
.
 
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e
 
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t
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s
 
The following formulas can be used in assessing the profitability of a store or retailer:
 
Annual Sales = total number of transactions * average transaction size
Gross Margin = Sales – COGS
Gross Margin Amount = Gross Margin % * Sales
Gross Margin % = Gross Margin / Sales
Total Operating Costs = total variable costs + total fixed costs.
O
p
e
r
a
t
i
n
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Net income after taxes = Operating Profit – Interests – Taxes
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Retail Inventory Turns and Levels
 
Inventory turnover is the number of times per year, on
average, that a retailer sells its inventory.
 
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= COGS/Average Inventory
 
Retailers are classified into the following groups:
Low-margin/low-trunover retailers.
Low-margin/high-trunover retailers.
High-margin/low-trunover retailers.
High-margin/high-trunover retailers.
 
High-performance retailers are those who achieve financial excellence in terms
of high gross margin percent, high inventory turnover ratio, and high net income
after taxes.
 
Store Productivity and
Performance
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Measuring productivity of a retailer:
i.
Space Productivity = net sales / total square feet of retail
floor space
ii.
Labor Productivity = net sales / number of fulltime
equivalent employees.
iii.
Merchandize Productivity = net sales / average dollar
investment in inventory= Sales to stock ratio
iv.
Sales Productivity = net sales / number of customers.
 
Return on Asset (ROA): An indicator of how profitable a company is
relative to its total assets/ resources.
 
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Net Requirements Schedule
 
Net Requirements Schedule for a product indicates how
many units should be released to purchasing.
 
Can be calculated using the following formula:
 
Net requirements = estimated demand + ending inventory – beginning inventory
 
Estimated demand : gross requirements
 
Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) and Costs
 
E
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Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) and Costs
 
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Fixed Order Period Model
 
Fixed order period = T = 
√ (2S/DC)
 
Order Quantity = Upper inventory target – Current inventory
level + EDDLT
 
Total stocking cost (TSU) = DT/2*C + S/T
 
Where T: Time interval for ordering
 
ABC Inventory Classification System
 
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.
 
When carrying out an ABC analysis, inventory items are valued
(item cost multiplied by quantity issued/consumed in period) with the
results then ranked. The results are then grouped typically into three
bands. These bands are called 
ABC codes
:
 
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50-70% of total value
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10-30% of total value
, or
 60-70% of total items
.
 
 
Retail Store Layout
 
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:
 
I.
Store image:
The overall perception the consumer has of the store’s environment.
 
II.
Space productivity:
How  effectively the retailer utilized it’s space and is usually
measured by:
Sales/square foot of selling space.
Gross margin dollars/square foot of selling space.
 
Decision rules for better store layout include the following:.
Departments that have the most hourly customer traffic between them should
be located next to each other.
Departments that have the least hourly customer traffic between them should
be located farthest from each other.
 
15) Service Management Analysis
 
1.
Service Management; introduction
2.
Yield Management
3.
Forecasting Retail Store Sales
4.
Efficient Retail Stores
5.
Profitable Sales Call
6.
Service Facility Layout
7.
Site Location
8.
Departmental Work Sequence
9.
Waiting Line Management
undefined
 
Goods
Goods
 
 
- things you can touch - “tangible”
Services
Services
 - things you can’t touch - but you
can see their effect “intangible”
“… services are not physical, they are
intangible…”
undefined
 
A Service is a type of a product.
“… a deed performed by one party for another…”
Services have special characteristics that make them different than
products.
A product without physical characteristics;
 a bundle of performance and symbolic attributes designed to
produce consumer want satisfaction.
Service
 
Tangible
touch
see
taste
smell
 
G
O
O
D
S
 
Intangible
can’t see
can’t touch
can’t smell
can’t taste
 
S
E
R
V
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S
 
Tangible / Intangible
Attributes
undefined
Goods and Services: Scale of
Elemental Dominance
undefined
 
1
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4 Characteristics of Services
undefined
 
1
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 Services cannot be stored
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- therefore a really great travel package and service can be copied
a really great physical object can be patented, and NOT allowed to
be copied
 Hard to explain and display Services if you can’t see
them…
 Prices are difficult to set - depends on customers
expectations.
Characteristics of Services
undefined
 
2
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Characteristics of Services
 
 Many people involved in delivering a service
 Mass production of services is hard to do
undefined
 
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eg. A machine can make ice cream cones a standard size 100% of
the time
A person filling an ice cream cone with a scoop cannot do it the
same amount each time, unless you use a machine to dispense
the ice cream.
1) A Taxi driver cannot drive you to the office in exactly the same
time each day because the traffic patterns change
2) A travel agent can sell you a vacation package - but cannot
guarantee you will like the trip exactly the same way another tourist
did.
Characteristics of Services
undefined
 
4
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ie. You can’t buy 2 haircuts
Demand fluctuates and changes, sometimes
depending on the season, or weather
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Characteristics of Services
 
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companies must be well prepared for the service recovery response.
 
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In yield management, available capacity is managed as effectively as
possible to maximize revenues.
 
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:
Overbooking.
Assigning capacity amounts to different market segments.
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Used by industries such as airlines, hotels, vacation cruises and resorts, and
rental car agencies.
 
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A retail store management is considering only two dress ships in local area:
Ralph’s and Lulu’s. The people in census track 11 spend $ 100,000 in local dress
shops, those in census track 43 spend $ 80,000 and those in census track 22
spend $ 200,000. The travel time from each shop to each area (Census track) is
listed in the following table:
How much money will be spent at Ralph’s using the gravity model?
How much money will be spent at Lulu’s using the gravity model?
 
 
Efficient Retail Stores
Efficient Retail Stores
 
Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA): linear programming technique for measuring
relative efficiency of facilities by combining results obtained (outputs) and the
resources used to create those results (inputs) into a single performance number
that represents the efficiency of using resources.
 
DEA is sometimes called “
Frontier Analysis
”.
 
DEA identifies a "frontier" on which the relative performance of all utilities in the
sample can be compared: DEA benchmarks firms only against the 
best
producers
.
 
DEA is a multi-factor productivity analysis model for measuring the relative
efficiencies of a homogenous set of decision making units (DMUs). The efficiency
score in the presence of multiple input and output.
 
For the exam, you will be given a set of outputs and inputs for several
stores/branches, you will not asked to use linear programming to find the answer,
the answer can be found by comparing outputs to inputs.
 
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A retail company can decide whether certain potential customers should be the
targets of telephone solicitation.
 
You need to calculate
Average profit for a successful call: P
sc
Average loss for an unsuccessful call: L
uc
 
Customer score is calculated using fitted formula and information about the
customer that would affect the sale.
 
The appropriate cut-off point for a telephone call can be determined using the
formula Ln[P/(1-P)].
 
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In closeness rating, desirability of placing one department near another
department is specified using the following ratings
 
 
 
 
Trial & error analysis is used in applying the closeness rating to develop good
facility layouts.
 
Other objectives must be considered when developing layouts, such as:
Departmental Work Sequence: minimize total distance between dep.
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Load-distance analysis can be used to determine the best sequence of
departmental work or choosing facility layout that would minimize distance
travelled.
 
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.
 
The following information will be needed to perform this analysis:
Distances between departments
Departmental work sequence and volume
How long each task stays in each department considering available workload.
 
When alternative layouts for a work place are proposed, choose the one that
reduces total traveled distance.
 
 
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3
A bank is in the search of finding a location for a new branch. It found eight possible
locations, and they were rated on a 1 to 10 scale on four attributes.  Which site
should be selected by the bank management?!?
 
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Objective:  to determine operating characteristics such as the probability that no
units are in the system or the average number of unit in the waiting line that
would be become performance measure for a service company.
 
Utilization: the percentage of time the server is busy.
 
Average time between arrivals = 1/
 λ
Average service time = 1/
 µ
Idle Time% = 1 – 
ρ
Utilization: 
ρ
=
λ
/
µ
n
L  
: average number in line = 
λ
2
  /
 
(
µ
*(
µ
-
 λ
)) = 
ρ
* n
s
n
s  
: average number in the system = 
λ
 /(
µ
-
 λ
)
t
L
: the average waiting time in line= 
λ 
/(
 µ
*(µ-
λ
)) = 
ρ
* t
s
t
s
: the average waiting time in the system = 1/(µ-
λ
)
P
n
:
 
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/
 
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,
 
n
 
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Questions page no. 238:
At GFG bank , on average, an i rate customer comes in every 20 min. and it takes
an average of 15 min to handle the customer’s complaint. Assume only one teller
and Poisson arrivals and exponential service times.
 
What percentage of time is the teller idle at the GFG bank?
 
λ
 = 1/0.333 = 3 customers/hr, 
µ
 = 1/0.25 = 4 customers/hr, idle time = 1-3/4 = 25%
How long is the waiting line, and how much time do customer spend waiting on average?
n
L  
: average number in line = 
λ
2
  /
 
(
µ
*(
µ
-
 λ
)) = 2.25
 
t
L
: the average waiting time in line= 
λ 
/(
 µ
*(µ-
λ
)) = 0.75 hr
If a teller takes precisely 15 sec to serve a customer and customers arrive exactly every 20
sec, what is the average waiting line length?
0
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Certified Business Management Analyst specializing in Manufacturing Operations, Retail Management, and Service Management Analysis. Services include cost savings analysis, make-or-buy decisions, production automation alternatives, and break-even analysis. Case studies provided for practical application.

  • Business Analysis
  • Manufacturing Operations
  • Retail Management
  • Service Management
  • Cost Savings

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  1. CERTIFIED BUSINESS MANAGEMENT ANALYST 13) Manufacturing Operations Analysis 14) Retail Management Analysis 15) Service Management Analysis

  2. 13) Manufacturing Operations Analysis Costs Savings Manufacturing Make-or-Buy Analysis Product Tree Structure Inventory Levels at Work Center Production Job Scheduling Materials Scheduling Work Center Performance Analysis Work Center Load Balancing Analysis Production Automation Alternatives Cycle Counting of Inventories Operations-Lead-Times and Queuing Models Kanban Containers Machine Setup Cost and Time Service Levels and Lead Times Demand During Lead Times Plant Layout Production Cycle Time and Workstations Preventive Maintenance Management 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18.

  3. Costs Savings Much expenditure is associated with manufacturing operations (materials, machines, labor, money, energy etc). Cost saving is one of the criteria for initiating automation projects. Consider both fixed costs and variable cost/unit for different production alternatives. The alternative with maximum cost savings should be selected. Manufacturing Make-or-Buy Analysis Decide whether to buy a part or component from outside or to produce the part of component by considering fixed costs and variable costs for all alternatives. The alternative with the least total cost should be selected.

  4. Production Automation Alternatives Break-even analysis can help management in making a chose between a manual & semi-automatic production process for a new product line. Both Fixed costs and variable costs are considered for all alternatives.

  5. Questions 284 & 285, page: 185 In XYZ company, one of the engineers prepared a proposal to change from a job shop to a cellular manufacturing settings. The cost for the current job shop and the proposed cellular setting are summarized in below table, assuming the annual production volume of 100,000 unit: Present job shop Cellular proposal $50,000 $2.5 Annual fixed costs Variable cost/unit $115,000 $1.6 Production volume: 100,000 unit What would be the annual cost savings if this proposal was accepted? At what point volume would this company be indifferent toward the proposal? Present job shop Cellular proposal $300,000.0 $72,222.22 Total cost Break even point $275,000.0

  6. Questions 286-289, page: 186 WXC company wants to decide whether to buy a product it uses or to produce the product itself. It expects to need 50,000 unit per year and has the following three options: Buy Porduct Produce Manually Produce Automated $0 $150,000 $20 $18 Fixed costs Variable costs $200,000 $15 What should the WXC company do regarding this product? At what point volume would this company be indifferent to buying the product or producing it manually? At what point volume would this company be indifferent to buying the product or producing it by automated production? At what point volume would this company be indifferent to buying the product or producing it by automated production? Buy Porduct Produce Manually Produce Automated Total cost $1,000,000 $1,050,000 $950,000 1&2 1&3 2&3 75,000 40,000 16,667

  7. Product Tree Structure Product Tree: a graphical representation of the bill of material (BOM). Used to show the quantities required per each component. BOM: a listing of all of the raw materials, parts, subassemblies, and assemblies needed to produce one unit of a product. RMs Components sub- assemblies Assemblies FG Assume that Product Z is made up of two units of A and four units of B. A is made of three units of C and four units of D. D is made of two units of E. Draw a product tree for Z. A (2) C (3) D (4) E (2) Z B (4)

  8. Product Tree Structure Level 0 Chair Leg Assembly Back Assembly 1 Seat Cross bar Side Rails (2) Cross bar Back Supports (3) Legs (2) 2 3

  9. Inventory Levels at Work Center Most manufacturers divide inventory into: Raw materials (RM) - materials and components scheduled for use in making a product. Work in process - WIP - materials and components that have begun their transformation to finished goods. Finished goods (FG) - goods ready for sale to customers. I. II. III. To calculate inventory level at a work center compare: Actual inputs to planned inputs Actual outputs to planned outputs Calculate Work In Process (WIP)

  10. Production Job Scheduling Which order or job to process first?! How to sequence jobs? Consider average flow time, average flow rate, or total changeover costs etc. Some of the sequencing / dispatching rules: First-come, First-Served (FCFS) Next job to be produced is the one that arrived first among the waiting jobs. Shortest Processing Time (SPT) Next job to be produced is the one with the shortest processing time among the waiting jobs. Critical Ration (CR) Next job to be produced is the one with the least CR time among the waiting jobs. CR = time to promised delivery for a job/production time for that job Least Changeover Cost Select jobs sequence that would minimize total changeover costs.

  11. Average Flow Time & Number of jobs Total waiting time = Summation of waiting time for all jobs. Average waiting time = Total waiting time/number of jobs Average number of jobs in the shop = Total waiting time/total processing time

  12. Questions 294-299, page: 189 A print shop has 4 jobs to be processed through their only five-color press. Production times for each job are as follows: Production time (min) 30 17 12 39 Time to promised delivery (min) 25 22 15 45 Job A B C D At what order should the four jobs be done using the SPT rule? C-B-A-D What is the average waiting (flow) time for all jobs using the SPT? Average waiting time = (12+29+59+98)/4 = = 198/4 = 49.5 min What s the average number of jobs in shop using the SPT rule? Average number of jobs in shop= (12+29+59+98)/98 = 198/98 = 2.02 job What is the average waiting (flow) time for all jobs using the FCFS rule? Average waiting time = (30+47+59+98)/4 = = 234/4 = 58.5 min What s the average number of jobs in shop using the FCFS rule? Average number of jobs in shop= (30+47+59+98)/98 = 234/98 = 2.39 job What s the first job to be processes using the critical ratio rule? CRA = 25/300.83, choose Job A

  13. Materials Scheduling Material requirements planning (MRP): Computer-based information system for ordering and scheduling of dependent demand inventories. Using MRP improves customer service, reduce investment in inventory, and improve operating efficiency of a plant. Dependent demand: Demand for items that are subassemblies or component parts to be used in production of finished goods. Master Production Schedule (MPS): Time-phased plan specifying timing and quantity of production for each end item. Inputs to MRP: Gross requirements for a product (taken from MPS), Scheduled receipts, and beginning inventory.

  14. Work Center Performance Analysis Productive time per hour : The number of minutes in each hour that a workstation is working on the average. A workstation may not be working because of such things as lunch ,personal time , breakdowns, start-ups, and shutdowns. Workstation : Physical location where a particular set of tasks is performed. Workstation are usually of two types : a manned workstation containing one worker who operates machines and/or tools, and an unmanned workstation containing unattended machines. Work center : A physical location where two or more identical workstations are located .If more than one workstation is required to provide enough production capacity ,they are combined to form a work center.

  15. Work Center Performance Analysis How to determine if manufacturing resources are being utilized efficiently and effectively? Utilization % = (Hours Actually Worked / Available Hours)* 100% Efficiency % = (Standard Hours of Work Produced / Hours Actually Worked )* 100% Available Capacity = Available Time in Hours X Utilization% X Efficiency % Measured (demonstrated) capacity is an average of previous production output.

  16. Work Center Performance Analysis A manufacturing plant has a work center that produced 135 standard hours of work over the past week. This work center was available for 160 hrs, and actually worked 120 hrs. Over the previous 4 weeks, the same work center produced 150, 130, 120 and 140 standard hrs of work. What s the utilization %, Efficiently %, available capacity, and measured capacity for this work center? Utilization % = 120/160 * 100% = 75% Efficiency % = 135/120 *100% = 112.5% Available Capacity = 135 hrs Measured (demonstrated) capacity= (150+130+120+140)/4= 135

  17. Work Center Load Balancing Analysis Load : amount of planned work scheduled for and actual work released to a facility, work center, or operation for a specific span of time. Expressed in terms of Standard hours of work of units of production. Load balancing (leveling): spreading work orders out in time or rescheduling operations so that the amount of work make it more economical to produce in larger lots than are needed for immediate purposes. Total load = released load + planned load. Under or over capacity = total load variable capacity Over capacity work center is overloaded Under capacity work center is under-loaded

  18. Production Cycle Time and Workstations Incremental utilization heuristic Minimum number of workstation : The least number of workstation that can provide the required production, calculate by: Theoretical minimum # of workstations = ( task times per unit) * demand (piece/hr) / productive time (min/hr) = Sum of all tasks times/Cycle time Cycle time : The time in minutes between products coming off the end of a production line Cycle time = productive time (min/hr) / demand (piece/hr) Example (Page 204): For XYZ company that s considering improving their lines by using Incremental utilization heuristic, if the productive time/hr = 55 min, the demand is 23 piece/hr, and the tasks details for their assembly line are available in below table, find the following: Task A B C D E F G Predecessor - A A B C D, E F Duration 0.5 3.25 1 2 2.25 1 0.25 1- Cycle time 2- Theoretical minimum # of workstations

  19. Cycle Counting of Inventories A cycle count is an inventory management procedure where a small subset of inventory is counted on any given day. Cycle counts are less disruptive than physical inventory to daily operations, and provide an ongoing measure of inventory accuracy and procedure execution, and can be tailored to focus on items with higher value, higher movement volume, or that are critical to business processes. Most cycle counting applications use an ABC analysis, segregating items into various count frequencies. ABC inventory classification system would help in prioritizing items for cycle counting.

  20. Operations-Lead-Times and Queuing Models Operations-Lead-Times: the period of time between the initiation of any process of production and the completion of that process. Some queue structures: First come first served (FCFS) Last come first served (LCFS) Service in random order Priority service Balance arrival rates with processing rates using Queuing Models.

  21. Kanban Containers Kanban (kahn-bahn) is a Japanese word that when translated literally means visible record or card developed by Toyota, refers to cards used to control the flow of production through a factory. Kanban is a JIT production method. kanbans are signals used to replenish the inventory of items used repetitively within a facility in pull system.. The typical kanban signal is an empty container designed to hold a standard quantity of material or parts. When the container is empty, the customer sends it back to the supplier. The container has attached to it instructions for refilling the container such as the part number, description, quantity, customer, supplier, and purchase or work order number. Steps followed for replenishing stock in Kanban system: A container has just been emptied at the Drilling station. The kanban is placed in the kanban collection box. The full containers at Milling, with kanbans attached to them, are transported to Drilling and the kanbans in the collection box are taken back to Milling. Milling continues to fill containers depending on the demand from Drilling. Empty containers are collected from Drilling periodically. Management is interested in reducing the number of containers and in increasing the efficiency rating.

  22. Machine Setup Cost and Time With each machine setup a cost is associated due to maintenance personnel and materials involved it changeover process. The necessary setup cost is computed as following: EOQ = [(2DS/C)(p/(p-d))]^0.5 S = [C*(EOQ^2)/2D][(p-d)/p] where: D: annual demand, d: daily demand p: daily production rate C: carrying cost per item S: setup cost Setup Time = Setup Cost / Labor Rate

  23. Service Levels and Lead Times Lead time is the period between a customer's order and delivery of the final product. Service level is the probability that a stockout will not occur during LT. Must be > 95% Specify demand during LT to reduce stockouts probability. Assuming demand during LT is normally distributed based on the past date. ROP (Re-Order Point) is determined as follows: ROP/OP = EDDLT + SS Required service level affects Safety Stock (SS). SS = OP EDDLT Where OP : Order Point, also called ROP EDDLT: Expected demand during lead time

  24. Plant Layout Plant Layout: the physical arrangement of everything needed for the product or service, including machines, personnel, raw materials, and finished goods. The criteria for a good layout necessarily relate to people (personnel and customers), materials (raw, finished, and in process), machines, and their interactions. Some of the factors used to determine plant layout: ease of future expansion or change, flow of movement, materials handling, space utilization, ease of communication and support, and safety. Space has to be utilized efficiently by considering expected movement of products between departments & requested area for each department. Departments that have the highest amount of product movement between them should be located close to each other. Departments that have no product between them should be located at opposite ends of the building..

  25. Preventive Maintenance Management Preventive maintenance is a schedule of planned maintenance actions aimed at the prevention of breakdowns and failures / malfunctions. The primary goal of preventive maintenance is to prevent the failure of equipment before it actually occurs. It is designed to preserve and enhance equipment reliability by replacing worn components before they actually fail, or by machine adjustments, lubrications, cleaning, painting, and needed repair and overhaul work. Having standby machines reduces costs associated with breakdown; lost of production time, overtime usage on the other machines, and emergency repair procedures. Nevertheless, having standby machines would result in storage and special handling expenses. The number of standby machines needed is calculated using the expected values and relative probabilities to minimize expected costs. Long-term benefits of preventive maintenance include: Improved system reliability. Decreased cost of replacement. Decreased system downtime. Better spares inventory management.

  26. Preventive Maintenance Management One of the preventive maintenance measures is the repair rate for vehicles ( ). Formula: = + 1/ ts Where: : average or mean service rate : average or mean arrival rate ts: the average waiting time in the system and is computed as 1/( - ) Number of mechanics = /vehicles per mechanic per week : average or mean service rate : average or mean arrival rate

  27. Preventive Maintenance Management BTC Inc. has a fleet of 600 vehicles. Based on historical records, an average of 14 vehicles/week require repair work. These records show that on average, each mechanic can repair four vehicles/week. Company policy requires vehicles to be back in service in 0.5 week on average. The repair rate is number of vehicles repaired be week. What s the average repair rate for vehicles at BTC Inc. Company? ts: 1/( - ) = + 1/ ts = 14 + 1/0.5 = 16 vehicle/week How many repair mechanics are required at the BTC Inc. Company? Number of mechanics = /vehicles per mechanic per week Number of mechanics = 16/4 = 4 mechanics

  28. Preventive Maintenance Management XYZ company has 900 employees, each using a computer terminal. When a terminal stops functioning, if a spare is not immediately available on site, it costs, the company an average of $ 100 in lost employee productivity before a new terminal can be obtained. For each spare terminal that the company keeps on site but does not use, it is estimated that the cost is $25/week for storages, insurance, and opportunity cost. The demand pattern for the terminals is as follows: Weekly Demand 15 20 25 30 Total Relative Frequencies 0.21 0.35 0.30 0.14 1.00 What s the expected cost for keeping twenty terminals in stock? How many terminals should be stocked to minimize expected costs? What s the cost of stocking 20 terminals if 25 are needed? Occurances 22 37 32 15 106 Terminals required/wk Terminals stocked/wk 15 20 25 30 Answers: page 206-207 15 0 500 1000 1500 20 125 0 500 1000 25 250 125 0 500 30 375 250 125 0

  29. 14) Retail Management Analysis Merchandize Pricing Merchandise Planning Merchandise Control Retail Inventory Valuation Methods Retail Inventory Pricing Systems Summary of LIFO and FIFO Methods Merchandise Profitability Analysis Retail Inventory Turns and Levels Store Productivity and Performance Net Requirements Schedule Economic Order Quantity and Costs Fixed Order Period Model ABC Inventory Classification System Retail Store Layout 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14.

  30. Merchandize Pricing Merchandize pricings decision and retail decisions must be made together. Selling price = Cost/(100%-Markup%) Selling price = Cost + Markup in $ Markup % on cost = (Price-Cost)/Cost Initial Markup% = (Operating Expenses + Profits + Reductions)/(Net sales + Reduction) Maintained Markup% = Initial Markup%-[(Reduction%)*(100%-Initial Markup%) Reduction % = Amount of reduction /Net Sales Maintained Markup is the difference between the actual selling price and the cost of that merchandise, is more important that the initial markup.

  31. Merchandise Planning Methods used for planning dollars invested in merchandise/ merchandise planning systems: The basic stock method BOM stock= (average stock average monthly sale)+ planned monthly sales The percentage variation method BOM stock = average stock for a season * 0.5*[1+(planned sales for the month/average monthly sales)] The week s supply method BOM stock= average weekly sales * the number of weeks to be stocked The stock-to-sales ratio method BOM stock= stock-to-sales ration * planned monthly sales A combination of the preceding four methods % variation, week s supply and stock-to-sales ratio methods are good when the turnover rate is more than 6.

  32. Merchandise Control Merchandise control is critical to ensure an adequate level of stock is on hand for the amount of sales being generated. Having too much inventory (or the wrong type) during certain periods can slow your cash flow and reduce profits with too many markdowns. Markdown: Planned reduction in the selling price of an item, usually to take effect either within a certain number of days after seasonal merchandise is received or at a specific date Open to Buy (OTB) amount: the dollar amount that a buyer can currently spend anytime during the merchandise period without exceeding the planned amount of merchandise. Open to Buy (OTB) method: Method for a retailer to adjust merchandise purchases to reflect changes in sales, markdowns, and so on. The open- to-buy method provides flexibility for the retailer in purchasing new inventory as the old items sell out and to take advantage of special product deals.

  33. Open to Buy (OTB) method The Open-To-Buy Formula Planned Sales + Planned Markdowns + Planned End of Month (EOM) Inventory - Planned Beginning of Month (BOM) Inventory - Commitments at retail for delivery ---------------------------------------- = Open-To-Buy (retail)

  34. Retail Inventory Valuation Methods Methods used for valuating a retailer s inventory: I. Cost Method II. Retail method (most commonly used, oldest and most useful) III. Lower of Cost or Market (LCM) method. Ending book inventory value accuracy depends on free of errors recording for: BOM inventory, purchases, freight-in, markups, markdowns, discounts, returns, transfer between stores, and sales. Formula used in inventory valuation: Cost compliment of book inventory = total cost valuation / total retail valuation. Ending Inventory at cost = adjusted ending book value at retail with the cost complement book inventory. COGS = total inventory valuation at cost ending inventory at cost Gross margin = Sales COGS Net profit before taxes = Gross profit total operating expenses.

  35. Cost of Goods Sold Analysis Cost of Goods Sold Analysis Definition: The direct costs attributable to the production of the goods sold by a company. This amount includes the cost of the materials used in creating the good along with the direct labor costs used to produce the good Equation COGS = RM Used in Production + Manufacturing Expenses + Diff. in Inventory Balances

  36. Retail Inventory Pricing Systems Inventory pricing systems for retailers: First in and first-out (FIFO) Last-in and first-out (LIFO) FIFO and LIFO yield different values for ending inventories and COGS when identical units of a particular product have been acquired at different prices. Each method has advantages and disadvantages LIFO Most preferred to be used for planning because it reflect replacement costs. Cushion the impact of inflationary pressures by matching current costs with current revenues. COGS is based on the costs of items purchased most recently. Older inventory is regarded as unsold inventory FIFO: best represents true merchandise cost, assumes that the oldest merchandise is sold first. Assumes that the older merchandise is sold before the more recently purchased merchandise.

  37. Summary of LIFO and FIFO Methods Pricing System Ending inventory value COGS Gross margin Net income Taxes LIFO Lower Higher Lower Lower Lower FIFO Higher Lower Higher Higher Higher

  38. Merchandise Profitability Analysis Profit/Gross Margin / Net Profit / Net Income / Operating Profit Bottom line: net income after taxes Operating Profit: A measure of a company's earning power from ongoing operations, equal to earnings before deduction of interest payments and income taxes (EBIT). The difference between the Net Profit and the operating profit will be the interest expense and the taxes The following formulas can be used in assessing the profitability of a store or retailer: Annual Sales = total number of transactions * average transaction size Gross Margin = Sales COGS Gross Margin Amount = Gross Margin % * Sales Gross Margin % = Gross Margin / Sales Total Operating Costs = total variable costs + total fixed costs. Operating Profit = Gross Margin - Total Operating Cost Net income after taxes = Operating Profit Interests Taxes Closure rate = total number of transactions/annual store traffic (# of customers)

  39. Retail Inventory Turns and Levels Inventory turnover is the number of times per year, on average, that a retailer sells its inventory. Inventory Turnover Ratio = Annual Sales/Average Inventory at Retail Or = COGS/Average Inventory Retailers are classified into the following groups: Low-margin/low-trunover retailers. Low-margin/high-trunover retailers. High-margin/low-trunover retailers. High-margin/high-trunover retailers. High-performance retailers are those who achieve financial excellence in terms of high gross margin percent, high inventory turnover ratio, and high net income after taxes.

  40. Store Productivity and Performance Productivity = Profit Measuring productivity of a retailer: Space Productivity = net sales / total square feet of retail floor space Labor Productivity = net sales / number of fulltime equivalent employees. Merchandize Productivity = net sales / average dollar investment in inventory= Sales to stock ratio Sales Productivity = net sales / number of customers. i. ii. iii. iv. Return on Asset (ROA): An indicator of how profitable a company is relative to its total assets/ resources. ROA is calculated by dividing a company's annual earnings by its total assets.

  41. Net Requirements Schedule Net Requirements Schedule for a product indicates how many units should be released to purchasing. Can be calculated using the following formula: Net requirements = estimated demand + ending inventory beginning inventory Estimated demand : gross requirements

  42. Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) and Costs EOQ: is the lot sizes that minimize total annual inventory holding and ordering costs to keep inventories low enough to avoid excess inventory holding costs but high enough to reduce ordering and setup costs. We use EOQ If we follow a make to stock strategy and the items has relatively stable demand. If you are carrying costs and setup or ordering costs are known and relatively stable. We don t use the EOQ If you use the make to order strategy and your customer specifies the entire order to be delivered in one shipment. If the order size is constrained by capacity limitation such as number of delivery trucks.

  43. Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) and Costs Calculating EOQ Total stocking cost = Q/2*C + D/Q*S Tom minimize both acquiring and carrying costs, Q becomes: EOQ= (2DS/C) Where Q: average current order quantity C=cost of holding/ carrying one unit in inventory for 1 year D= annual demand in units per year S=cost of ordering or setting up one lot, in dollar per lot.

  44. Fixed Order Period Model Fixed order period = T = (2S/DC) Order Quantity = Upper inventory target Current inventory level + EDDLT Total stocking cost (TSU) = DT/2*C + S/T Where T: Time interval for ordering

  45. ABC Inventory Classification System ABC analysis : an inventory categorization technique used in materials management through identifying items which will have a significant impact on overall inventory cost & providing a mechanism for identifying different categories of stock that will require different management and controls. When carrying out an ABC analysis, inventory items are valued (item cost multiplied by quantity issued/consumed in period) with the results then ranked. The results are then grouped typically into three bands. These bands are called ABC codes: "A class" inventory will typically contain items that account for 50-70% of total value, or 10-20% of total items. "B class" inventory will have around 20% of total value, or 20% of total items. "C class" inventory will account for the remaining 10-30% of total value, or 60-70% of total items.

  46. Retail Store Layout Maximize the following two elements of store layout to maximize sales: Store image: The overall perception the consumer has of the store s environment. I. Space productivity: How effectively the retailer utilized it s space and is usually measured by: Sales/square foot of selling space. Gross margin dollars/square foot of selling space. II. Decision rules for better store layout include the following:. Departments that have the most hourly customer traffic between them should be located next to each other. Departments that have the least hourly customer traffic between them should be located farthest from each other.

  47. 15) Service Management Analysis Service Management; introduction Yield Management Forecasting Retail Store Sales Efficient Retail Stores Profitable Sales Call Service Facility Layout Site Location Departmental Work Sequence Waiting Line Management 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9.

  48. g o o d s and s e r v i c e s Goods - things you can touch - tangible Services - things you can t touch - but you can see their effect intangible services are not physical, they are intangible

  49. Service A Service is a type of a product. a deed performed by one party for another Services have special characteristics that make them different than products. A product without physical characteristics; a bundle of performance and symbolic attributes designed to produce consumer want satisfaction.

  50. Tangible / Intangible Attributes Tangible touch see taste smell Intangible can t see can t touch can t smell can t taste GOODS SERVICES

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