Analysis of Outcomes for Health Graduates Over the Last Decade

This study delves into the outcomes of health graduates over the past decade, focusing on emigration patterns, return rates, and duration of emigration. Utilizing educational longitudinal data from various sources, including the Department of Education and the Central Statistics Office, the research sheds light on the educational and employment trajectories of graduates in the fields of medicine, nursing, and midwifery. The analysis spans graduation cohorts from 2010 to 2020, with outcomes available from 2011 to 2021. Through a comprehensive examination of data availability timelines and cohort definitions, this study aims to provide valuable insights for policy development and strategic decision-making in the healthcare sector.

• Health Graduates
• Outcomes Analysis
• Educational Longitudinal Data
• Emigration Patterns
• Employment Trajectories

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1. Outcomes for Health Graduates over the last Decade Brian Stanley Brian Stanley Education Statistics Liaison Group Education Statistics Liaison Group 23 November 2023 23 November 2023

2. Overview Background / ELD Data Sources Number of Health Graduates Outcomes for Health Graduates How Many Graduates Emigrate and How Many Return? When do Graduates First Emigrate? How Long do Graduates Emigrate for?

3. CSO and the National Data Infrastructure Data in public bodies are in silos. Supports deeper analytics and policy development in public bodies when their data is linked. Educational Longitudinal Database statistical framework to analyse learner outcomes from post-primary level to adult education over many years. Platform for linking administrative data using unique identifiers:

4. ELD Sources Dept. of Education Census SEC DoE: DoE: Post-Primary database CSO Business Register SEC: SEC: Leaving Certificate exams HEA Educational Longitudinal Database HEA: HEA: Enrolment and graduations SUSI: SUSI: FE and HE grants awarded Dept. of Social Protection Solas Solas: FE enrolment and graduations SUSI QQI: QQI: FE and HE awards Revenue: Revenue: Employment and self-employment DSP: DSP: Benefit payments Revenue Solas QQI CSO Business Register: CSO Business Register: Employer information Census: Census: 2016 available; 2022 available by end 2023

5. ELD Sources Dept. of Education Census SEC DoE: DoE: Post-Primary database CSO Business Register SEC: SEC: Leaving Certificate exams HEA Educational Longitudinal Database HEA: HEA: Enrolment and graduations SUSI: SUSI: FE and HE grants awarded Dept. of Social Protection Solas Solas: FE enrolment and graduations SUSI QQI: QQI: FE and HE awards Revenue: Revenue: Employment and self-employment DSP: DSP: Benefit payments Revenue Solas QQI CSO Business Register: CSO Business Register: Employer information Census: Census: 2016 available; 2022 available by end 2023

6. Timeline of Data Availability Graduation cohorts from 2010 to 2020 Outcomes available from 2011 to 2021 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Graduates In Education (HEA) Employment (Revenue) Self-Employment (Revenue) DSP

7. Cohort Definition Medicine and Nursing & Midwifery graduates NFQ level 8 undergraduate programs Identified using course name, course code and CAO code Can only calculate outcomes for graduates with a PPSN Non-Irish students get a PPSN only if they are in employment Restrict analysis to Irish graduates

8. Number of Health Graduates Number of Health Graduates

9. Number of Graduates - Medicine

10. Number of Irish Medicine Graduates by Institution

11. Number of Graduates Nursing & Midwifery

12. Medicine Outcomes Medicine Outcomes Nursing and Midwifery Outcomes Nursing and Midwifery Outcomes

13. Outcome Definitions Outcome Definition Min. 12 weeks employment & earning min. 100 per week Substantial Employment Only As above and enrolled in higher education Substantial Employment and Education Enrolled in higher education Education Only Don t meet criteria above but captured in some data sources Neither Employment nor Education Presumed to have emigrated Not Captured

14. Outcomes for 2010 to 2013 graduates - Medicine

15. Outcomes for 2010 to 2013 graduates - Nursing & Midwifery

16. How Many Irish Graduates Emigrate for at How Many Irish Graduates Emigrate for at Least One Year and How Many Return? Least One Year and How Many Return?

17. Share of graduates not captured and returned for at least one year - Medicine Share of Not Captured Graduates that Returned for at least One Year Share of Graduates 'Not Captured for at Least One Year Number of Graduates that Returned for at Least One Year Number of Graduates 'Not Captured' for at Least One Year Total Number of Graduates Graduation Year 95 115 90 110 140 210 200 36% 35% 29% 25% 31% 33% 36% 45 50 40 35 65 100 120 47% 43% 44% 32% 46% 48% 60% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 265 325 315 440 445 630 560

18. Share of graduates not captured and returned for at least one year - Nursing & Midwifery Share of Not Captured Graduates that Returned for at least One Year Share of Graduates 'Not Captured for at Least One Year Number of Graduates that Returned for at Least One Year Number of Graduates 'Not Captured' for at Least One Year Total Number of Graduates Graduation Year 500 505 490 470 395 315 300 40% 34% 36% 35% 30% 25% 23% 325 300 275 255 195 125 100 65% 59% 56% 54% 49% 40% 33% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1,255 1,470 1,350 1,325 1,305 1,265 1,290

19. When do Graduates First Emigrate? When do Graduates First Emigrate?

20. Number of years since graduation that Medicine graduates are first not captured

21. Number of years since graduation that Nursing & Midwifery graduates are first not captured

22. How Long do Graduates Emigrate for? How Long do Graduates Emigrate for?

23. Number of years Medicine graduates are not captured ten years after graduation

24. Number of years Nursing & Midwifery graduates are not captured ten years after graduation

25. Full Release What do health graduates do? o https://www.cso.ie/en/csolatestreleases/ Where do health graduates work? o Sector of employment o Public/Private sector What do health graduates earn? Release calendar: https://www.cso.ie/en/csolatestnews/releasecalendar/

26. Questions? Questions? Contact: Contact: brian.stanley@cso.ie brian.stanley@cso.ie