Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities and Statistics Overview
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Part 1: Introduction
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Part 2: Observations from Needs Assessment
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Part 3: Potential Next Steps & Summary
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Total suppression costs
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5-year average $2.351B
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10-year average $1.910B
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10-year average
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20,510 fires
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1,048,649 acres
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2020 Statistics
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58,950 fires and 10,122,336 acres
https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/IF10244.pdf
https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/statistics
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Part 1: Introduction
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Part 2: Observations from Needs Assessment
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Part 3: Potential Next Steps & Summary
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https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/infographic-wildfires-and-climate-change
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Understand the comprehensive needs of wildfire management
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Identify the needs and challenges of stakeholders at various decision cycles from planning,
prediction, detection, tracking, mitigation, suppression, and post-fire remedial efforts
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Spans near-term (< 3 years), mid-term (3 – 7 years), and long-term (10+ years) needs
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Needs will reflect the various agencies and roles that are involved in wildfire management
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Breakout sessions are the means to gather needs and hear directly from the wildfire community
Topic Attendees (154)
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Funding
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Data Management & Availability
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Collective Access to Higher Resolution and Improved Real-Time Wildfire Data
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Seamlessly Integrated Equipment to View and Understand Relevant Data
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Real-Time Communications for Collaborative Decision Making
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Vehicle Capabilities (e.g., VTOL for suppression) and Integrated Sensors
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Relevant and Consistent Standards and Regulations
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Security and Reliability of Internet Infrastructure
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Wildfire Management Community Buy-In
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Multi-agency comprehensive concept of operations
could help unify focus, create necessary agency
partnerships, and leverage resources
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Metrics of effectiveness, roles/responsibilities, and an
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Many stakeholders, many requirements, and reliable
system performance is critical
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Products need to have higher TRL to be useful in
operational settings
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Partners among government, state, local, industry,
philanthropic organizations, and private entities are
critical for resources in the life cycle
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Satellite based surveillance is infrequent
and gets hindered if there is cloud cover
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Need additional small satellite
constellation (being pursued with private
funding)
•
Need high altitude long endurance
platforms for both surveillance and
communications
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Continuous communications regardless
of location
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Firefighters, incident commanders,
airspace coordinators, etc.
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
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Ability to share airspace by
heterogeneous aircraft types in a
safe manner is key to real-time
information about fire and tracking
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Current aerial wildfire operations
are confined to largely VMC and
would benefit from expanding to
24X7
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
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Nature of wildfire fighting is changing
(e.g., ridges, valleys, near wildland
urban interfaces (WUI), etc.)
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Analysis of aircraft and fleet
requirements to support emerging
needs (e.g., autonomous
aircraft, eVTOL, etc.)
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Also related to persistent surveillance
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Ensure highest safety and efficiency of
operations
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Aerial firefighting accidents (e.g.,
Arizona this week)
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
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Assess gaps and overlaps
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Many data sources and models, but not
integrated, unified, or interoperable
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On site integrated information that is easy to
use and accessible is key for firefighters
and incident commanders
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Integration and interoperability is not easy
without standards
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Machine Learning (ML) and predictions
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
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Rich collection of disaster data and
models
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New initiatives, e.g., Earth System
Observatory, present good
opportunities for ARMD collaboration
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Sensor fusion
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Satellite and HALE use for
surveillance
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ARMD could identify wildfire
management subjects to pursue
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
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Public-Private-Philanthropy-Partnership (P4)
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Government, industry, academia,
state/regional, non-profits
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Two key areas:
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Technology maturity from TRL 4/6 through
TRL 9
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Operationalization of technology in the
hands of users
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
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O
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Part 1: Introduction
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Part 2: Observations from Needs Assessment
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Part 3: Potential Next Steps & Summary
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Interagency working group focused on concept of operations
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Based on approved budget, project will be formulated to focus on
key areas: enhanced surveillance and communication, 24X7
suppression, and aircraft safety
•
Close coordination with NASA’s Science Mission Directorate and
Space Technology Mission Directorate
•
Close coordination with other govt agencies
•
Partnership plan
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities
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Comprehensive overview of wildfire-related research and development opportunities, outlining statistics on wildfire suppression costs, fire incidents, and acres affected. The content includes workshop goals, stakeholder needs assessment, and key challenges in the field. Insights from SME inputs, literature reviews, and questionnaire inputs are highlighted.
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Presentation Transcript
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire Related Potential R&D Opportunities 1 1
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Outline Part 1: Introduction Part 2: Observations from Needs Assessment Part 3: Potential Next Steps & Summary 2
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire Statistics Total suppression costs 5-year average $2.351B 10-year average $1.910B 10-year average 20,510 fires 1,048,649 acres 2020 Statistics 58,950 fires and 10,122,336 acres https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/IF10244.pdf https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/statistics 3
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Outline Part 1: Introduction Part 2: Observations from Needs Assessment Part 3: Potential Next Steps & Summary 4
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Subsequent observations are based on workshop, SME inputs, literature review, RFI and questionnaire inputs 22 M 11 M https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/infographic-wildfires-and-climate-change 5 5
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Workshop Goals, Objectives, and Approach Understand the comprehensive needs of wildfire management Identify the needs and challenges of stakeholders at various decision cycles from planning, prediction, detection, tracking, mitigation, suppression, and post-fire remedial efforts Spans near-term (< 3 years), mid-term (3 7 years), and long-term (10+ years) needs Needs will reflect the various agencies and roles that are involved in wildfire management Breakout sessions are the means to gather needs and hear directly from the wildfire community Topic Attendees (154) Planning for Fire Season Prediction Modeling and Challenges Aerial Fire Surveillance Suppression and Mitigation Post-Fire Remedial Efforts 6
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities RFI & Questionnaire Purpose: To aid NASA in gaining insights from the stakeholder community regarding potentially relevant technologies and capabilities Key Challenges: Funding Data Management & Availability Collective Access to Higher Resolution and Improved Real-Time Wildfire Data Seamlessly Integrated Equipment to View and Understand Relevant Data Real-Time Communications for Collaborative Decision Making Vehicle Capabilities (e.g., VTOL for suppression) and Integrated Sensors Relevant and Consistent Standards and Regulations Security and Reliability of Internet Infrastructure Wildfire Management Community Buy-In 7
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Observations: Crosscutting Comprehensive Concept of Operations Multi-agency comprehensive concept of operations could help unify focus, create necessary agency partnerships, and leverage resources Metrics of effectiveness, roles/responsibilities, and an agreed-upon roadmap Systems Thinking/Engineering Approach Many stakeholders, many requirements, and reliable system performance is critical Partnership for Successful Research to Reality Transition Products need to have higher TRL to be useful in operational settings Partners among government, state, local, industry, philanthropic organizations, and private entities are critical for resources in the life cycle 8
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Observations: Technology Persistent Surveillance Satellite based surveillance is infrequent and gets hindered if there is cloud cover Need additional small satellite constellation (being pursued with private funding) Need high altitude long endurance platforms for both surveillance and communications Persistent Communications Continuous communications regardless of location Firefighters, incident commanders, airspace coordinators, etc. 9 9
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Observations: Technology Cooperative Airspace Management for Manned and Unmanned Operations Ability to share airspace by heterogeneous aircraft types in a safe manner is key to real-time information about fire and tracking Aerial Wildfire Fighting Duration Current aerial wildfire operations are confined to largely VMC and would benefit from expanding to 24X7 10 10
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Observations: Technology Future Aircraft and Fleet Suitability Nature of wildfire fighting is changing (e.g., ridges, valleys, near wildland urban interfaces (WUI), etc.) Analysis of aircraft and fleet requirements to support emerging needs (e.g., autonomous aircraft, eVTOL, etc.) Also related to persistent surveillance Ensure highest safety and efficiency of operations Aerial firefighting accidents (e.g., Arizona this week) 11 11
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Observations: Technology Data and Models Inventory Analysis Assess gaps and overlaps Many data sources and models, but not integrated, unified, or interoperable On site integrated information that is easy to use and accessible is key for firefighters and incident commanders Integration and interoperability is not easy without standards Machine Learning (ML) and predictions 12 12
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Observations: Internal Collaboration SMD: Data sources and access to satellite data Rich collection of disaster data and models New initiatives, e.g., Earth System Observatory, present good opportunities for ARMD collaboration Sensor fusion Satellite and HALE use for surveillance STMD: Prizes, competitions, SBIRs and STTRs ARMD could identify wildfire management subjects to pursue 13 13
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Observations: Partnership Opportunities Public-Private-Philanthropy-Partnership (P4) Government, industry, academia, state/regional, non-profits Two key areas: Technology maturity from TRL 4/6 through TRL 9 Operationalization of technology in the hands of users 14 14
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Outline Part 1: Introduction Part 2: Observations from Needs Assessment Part 3: Potential Next Steps & Summary 15
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Potential Next Steps & Summary Interagency working group focused on concept of operations Based on approved budget, project will be formulated to focus on key areas: enhanced surveillance and communication, 24X7 suppression, and aircraft safety Close coordination with NASA s Science Mission Directorate and Space Technology Mission Directorate Close coordination with other govt agencies Partnership plan 16 16
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities BACK UP 17
Wildfire R&D Related Opportunities Workshop Attendee Organizations 2% 12% Academia Other Government Orgs 40% 23% Industry NASA Other 23% 18
