Making Sense of Oligopoly Markets

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Re-pricing through disruption in tacitly collusive
oligopolies:  making sense of abuse of collective dominance
law
Professor Nicolas Petit, University of Liege
OECD Roundtable on Oligopoly Markets, 16 June 2015
 
Goals of the presentation
 
Case for more 
ex post 
enforcement against tacit
collusion
Proposed theory of liability under abuse of
colldom/shared monopolization
Pros and cons
Overview of enforcement in EU Member States
(option)
 
1. The merger control blindspot
 
The merger mostly paradigm
Trigger defused in stable oligopolies
The Coca-Cola/PepsiCo impossibility
 
2. Re-pricing through disruption
 
Fictional example
 
Beer duopoly, with symmetric
players
Collusive price of 10$/gallon;
AVC of 5$/gallon
Government introduces tax of
3$/gallon
Four possible re-pricing options
Full transfer 13$/gallon
Full internalization of tax
10$/gallon
Partial internalization of tax 10-
13$/gallon
Over internalization of tax 5-9$
per gallon
Choice not entirely amenable to
simple game theoretic
framework
Information, urgency and lack of
readability of disruption
 
Real life illustrations
 
In the 1960s, introduction of
radial technology by Michelin in
US tyre oligopoly
In the 1980s, entry of low cost
carriers on routes dominated by
oligopoly airlines
In 2011, entry of the company
Free on the French mobile
oligopoly
Change brought by digital
technologies and sharing
economy business models?
 
Proposed theory of liability
 
Catch oligopoly practices adopted to restore collusive price equilibrium
post disruption
Creation of subtle communication conduits
B makes public statements that it is studying with its analysts the
effects of a “
full transfer
” of the tax on retailers;
A posts its new price on its Facebook timeline.  A is friend with retailer
Z.  Z shares A’s posts on its Facebook page.  B is also friend with Z…
A to take a minority shareholding in B, so as to be informed of B’s
pricing strategy as an insider
Change model, entry of 10 micro-brewers who eat 10% of the duopolists’
market share
Selection of new price point, to maintain total profits on a 45% market
share
Attempted exclusion of micro-brewers will raise costs => necessity to
re-price
Collusive inducement of micro-brewers through threats and incentives
 
Framework
 
Any disruption imposes on oligopolists to re-price
Oligopolists must avoid a facilitating practice caught by cartel
law
Space for abuse of collective dominance => adaptative
oligopolist strategy to re-price through disruption, and elude
its pro-competitive effect
Core evidentiary components, proof of (i) a certain degree of
existing collusion; (ii) disruption; (iii) re-pricing strategy; (iv)
likely return to collusive equilibria
Typical example is unilateral signaling, but not limited to this
Parallel exclusion
” is possibility, though no priority? At any
rate, should be restricted to disrupted contexts
 
3.
 
Pros and cons
 
Type I v Type 2 errors
Disruption remains a necessary trigger…
But rationalized approach, which keeps the theory reasonably
predictable
Kills 
bogey man
 of transposition of single firm conduct law in
oligopoly markets
Abuse v cartel law?
Problem with cartel law approach is not one of desirability, but of
feasibility
+ “
problem of proof
” (Mezzanote, 2009)
Yet another “
bogey man
”: 
ex post 
proof of tacit collusion is possible +
documentary evidence; resilient idea
Our approach focuses less on tacit collusion, and at any rate does not
make it unlawful => possibility to apply a “
preponderance of the
evidence
” standard of proof to tacit collusion
Rationalized v open-ended abuse of collective dominance?
Sports leagues
 disease
 
4.
 
Overview of enforcement in EU
countries
 
Follow up of 2011 study with N. Neyrinck
E-competitions database
9 relevant decisions
Merger cases
Several German cases related to use of structural presumption of
CollDom
Abuse of dominance cases
No genuine cases of tacit collusion
Spain, wholesale telephone sort messaging case, 2012: individually
dominant positions of each telco operator on termination market
France, GIE Exploitation des carrières, 2012: price-fixing case, with
selling boycott treated as abuse of collective dominance
Not enough to draw conclusions
 
Conclusion
 
Rationalized, market-triggered, case-law proof and predictable abuse of
collective dominance theory of liability
For more, see (2012), ‘The Oligopoly Problem in EU Competition Law’,
Research Handbook in European Competition Law
, I. Liannos and D.
Geradin eds., Edward Elgar, September 2013
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Follow me on twitter @CompetitionProf
Papers available @
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsB
yAuth.cfm?per_id=358753
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In this presentation by Professor Nicolas Petit, the focus is on understanding collusive pricing and abuse of collective dominance in oligopolies. The discussion delves into the challenges of enforcement and liability under monopolization laws, presenting case studies and theoretical frameworks to shed light on the complexities of pricing strategies in such market structures.

  • Oligopoly
  • Collusive Pricing
  • Abuse of Dominance
  • Monopolization
  • Pricing Strategies

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  1. Re Re- -pricing through disruption in tacitly collusive pricing through disruption in tacitly collusive oligopolies: making sense of abuse of collective dominance oligopolies: making sense of abuse of collective dominance law law Professor Nicolas Petit, University of Liege Professor Nicolas Petit, University of Liege OECD Roundtable on Oligopoly Markets, 16 June 2015 OECD Roundtable on Oligopoly Markets, 16 June 2015

  2. Goals of the presentation Case for more Case for more ex post collusion collusion Proposed Proposedtheory theoryof colldom colldom/ /shared sharedmonopolization Pros and cons Pros and cons Overview Overviewof of enforcement enforcementin EU (option) (option) ex post enforcement enforcementagainst againsttacit tacit of liability liabilityunder monopolization underabuse of abuse of in EU Member MemberStates States www.lcii.eu www.lcii.eu

  3. 1. The merger control blindspot The The merger mergermostly Trigger Trigger defused defusedin stable The Coca The Coca- -Cola/ Cola/PepsiCo mostlyparadigm paradigm in stable oligopolies PepsiCoimpossibility impossibility oligopolies www.lcii.eu www.lcii.eu

  4. 2. Re-pricing through disruption Fictional Fictionalexample Beer Beerduopoly duopoly, , with players players Collusive Collusive price AVC of 5$/gallon AVC of 5$/gallon Government Governmentintroduces 3$/gallon 3$/gallon Four possible Four possible re re- -pricing Full transfer 13$/gallon Full internalization of tax 10$/gallon Partial internalization of tax10- 13$/gallon Over internalization of tax 5-9$ per gallon Choice Choicenot not entirely entirelyamenable simple simple game gametheoretic theoretic framework framework Information, Information, urgency urgencyand readability readabilityof disruption of disruption example withsymmetric symmetric Real life illustrations Real life illustrations In the 1960s, introduction of In the 1960s, introduction of radial technology by Michelin in radial technology by Michelin in US US tyre tyreoligopoly oligopoly In the 1980s, entry of low cost In the 1980s, entry of low cost carriers on routes dominated by carriers on routes dominated by oligopoly airlines oligopoly airlines In 2011, entry of the company In 2011, entry of the company Free on the French mobile Free on the French mobile oligopoly oligopoly Change brought by digital Change brought by digital technologies and sharing technologies and sharing economy business models? economy business models? priceof 10$/gallon; of 10$/gallon; introducestax taxof of pricingoptions options amenableto to and lack lackof of www.lcii.eu www.lcii.eu

  5. Proposed theory of liability Catch oligopoly practices adopted to restore collusive price equilibrium Catch oligopoly practices adopted to restore collusive price equilibrium post disruption post disruption Creation of subtle communication conduits Creation of subtle communication conduits B makes public statements that it is studying with its analysts the effects of a full transfer of the tax on retailers; A posts its new price on its Facebook timeline. A is friend with retailer Z. Z shares A s posts on its Facebook page. B is also friend with Z A to take a minority shareholding in B, so as to be informed of B s pricing strategy as an insider Change model, entry of 10 micro Change model, entry of 10 micro- -brewers who eat 10% of the brewers who eat 10% of the duopolists market share market share Selection of new price point, to maintain total profits on a 45% market share Attempted exclusion of micro-brewers will raise costs => necessity to re-price Collusive inducement of micro-brewers through threats and incentives duopolists www.lcii.eu www.lcii.eu

  6. Framework Any disruption imposes on Any disruption imposes on oligopolists Oligopolists Oligopolistsmust avoid a facilitating practice caught by cartel must avoid a facilitating practice caught by cartel law law Space for abuse of collective dominance => Space for abuse of collective dominance => adaptative oligopolist oligopoliststrategy to re strategy to re- -price through disruption, and elude price through disruption, and elude its pro its pro- -competitive effect competitive effect Core evidentiary components, proof of ( Core evidentiary components, proof of (i i) a certain degree of existing collusion; (ii) disruption; (iii) re existing collusion; (ii) disruption; (iii) re- -pricing strategy; (iv) likely return to collusive equilibria likely return to collusive equilibria Typical example is unilateral signaling, but not limited to this Typical example is unilateral signaling, but not limited to this Parallel exclusion Parallel exclusion is possibility, though no priority? At any is possibility, though no priority? At any rate, should be restricted to disrupted contexts rate, should be restricted to disrupted contexts oligopoliststo re to re- -price price adaptative ) a certain degree of pricing strategy; (iv) www.lcii.eu www.lcii.eu

  7. 3. Pros and cons Type I v Type 2 Type I v Type 2 errors Disruption remainsa necessarytrigger But rationalizedapproach, whichkeepsthe theoryreasonably predictable Kills bogey man of transposition of single firmconductlawin oligopolymarkets Abuse v cartel Abuse v cartel law law? ? Problem with cartel law approach is not one of desirability, but of feasibility + problem of proof (Mezzanote, 2009) Yet another bogey man : ex post proof of tacit collusion is possible + documentary evidence; resilient idea Our approach focuses less on tacit collusion, and at any rate does not make it unlawful => possibility to apply a preponderance of the evidence standard of proof to tacit collusion Rationalized v open Rationalized v open- -ended abuse of collective dominance? ended abuse of collective dominance? Sports leagues disease errors www.lcii.eu www.lcii.eu

  8. 4. countries Overview of enforcement in EU Follow Followup of 2011 up of 2011 study E E- -competitions competitionsdatabase 9 relevant 9 relevant decisions decisions Merger Mergercases cases SeveralGermancases relatedto use of structural presumptionof CollDom Abuse of dominance cases Abuse of dominance cases No genuinecases of tacitcollusion Spain, wholesaletelephonesort messaging case, 2012: individually dominant positions of eachtelcooperatoron terminationmarket France, GIE Exploitation des carri res, 2012: price-fixing case, with sellingboycott treatedas abuse of collective dominance Not Not enough enoughto to draw drawconclusions conclusions studywith database withN. N. Neyrinck Neyrinck www.lcii.eu www.lcii.eu

  9. Conclusion Rationalized, market Rationalized, market- -triggered, case collective dominance theory of liability collective dominance theory of liability For more, see (2012), The Oligopoly Problem in EU Competition Law , For more, see (2012), The Oligopoly Problem in EU Competition Law , Research Handbook in European Competition Law Research Handbook in European Competition Law, I. Geradin Geradineds., Edward Elgar, September 2013 eds., Edward Elgar, September 2013 triggered, case- -law proof and predictable abuse of law proof and predictable abuse of , I. Liannos Liannosand D. and D. www.lcii.eu www.lcii.eu

  10. Follow me on twitter @CompetitionProf Papers available@ http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsB yAuth.cfm?per_id=358753 Liege LiegeCompetition Competitionand Innovation Institute (LCII) and Innovation Institute (LCII) University of Liege(ULg) Quartier Agora | Place des Orateurs, 1, B t. B 33, 4000 Liege, BELGIUM

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