Insights from Colorado Voter Survey March 2024

key findings from a statewide survey of colorado l.w
1 / 34
Embed
Share

"Discover key findings from a survey of Colorado voters in March 2024, covering topics such as state pride, opinions on Colorado's direction, considerations to move due to cost of living, and community connections post-Covid."

  • Colorado
  • Voter Survey
  • Insights
  • March 2024
  • Community

Uploaded on | 1 Views


Download Presentation

Please find below an Image/Link to download the presentation.

The content on the website is provided AS IS for your information and personal use only. It may not be sold, licensed, or shared on other websites without obtaining consent from the author. If you encounter any issues during the download, it is possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.

You are allowed to download the files provided on this website for personal or commercial use, subject to the condition that they are used lawfully. All files are the property of their respective owners.

The content on the website is provided AS IS for your information and personal use only. It may not be sold, licensed, or shared on other websites without obtaining consent from the author.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Key Findings from a Statewide Survey of Colorado Voters March 2024 1

  2. Methodology New Bridge Strategy and Aspect Strategic conducted a survey among N=632 registered voters throughout Colorado from March 15-19, 2024. Interviews were conducted via an online survey. Interviews were distributed proportionally throughout the state. Quotas were set for key demographic sub-groups, such as gender and age. The margin of error is +4.0% for the overall sample. The margin of error will vary for sub-groups. 2

  3. Views of Colorado 3

  4. An overwhelming majority of voters are proud to be a Coloradan. I am proud to be a Coloradan. 84% 48% Strongly Agree 16% 5% Strongly Disagree +68 Total Agree Total Disagree For each of the following statements please indicate if you agree or disagree. 4

  5. Voters are more split on Colorados direction than they were last November; more than one-in-four feel strongly negative. 50% 47% 46% 43% 26% 23% Definitely Wrong Track Definitely Wrong Track 9% 7% Definitely Right Direction Definitely Right Direction +7 +1 November 2023 March 2024 Total Right Direction Total Wrong Track Generally speaking, would you say things in Colorado are headed in the right direction or off on the wrong track? 5

  6. A stunning 51% have seriously considered moving due to the cost of living; one-in-ten have already moved in the last few years. 38% To a different state that is more affordable 13% To a different community or area of the state that is more affordable 10% I already moved in the last few years due to the cost of living In the last few years, have you seriously considered moving due to the cost of living, either 6

  7. In this post-Covid era, a plurality of Coloradans feel less connected to their community than five years ago. 43% Closer and more connected to members of your community 16% 41% More distant and less connected to members of your community About the same as five years ago Thinking about your community, meaning your city, town or neighborhood - Compared to five years ago, do you feel 7

  8. Immigration, homelessness, and housing affordability are most volunteered as top issues for state government to address. 14% migrant crisis 12% % 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% Immigration/ illegal immigration/ Taxes Schools and education Crime and public safety Climate and the environment Homelessness Transportation and transit Cost of living 11% Housing affordability/ lack of housing Economy and jobs Inflation Now, in your opinion, what are the most important issues for the Colorado state government to address? 8

  9. If forced to choose, voters overall are more likely to prioritize creating more affordable housing than reducing property taxes. 54% Creating more affordable housing 46% Reducing property taxes If you had to choose, which one would you tell state and local policy makers should be the highest priority here in Colorado? Should it be 9

  10. Migrants in Colorado 10

  11. Nearly two-in-three voters say that diversity makes Colorado stronger. Colorado has a population of people with many different races, ethnicities, religions, and backgrounds. Do you think this diversity makes Colorado 66% 43% Much Stronger 26% 8% +58 Total Stronger Total Weaker Does Not Make Much Difference 11

  12. Fully 62% say the recent arrival of many South and Central American migrants in Colorado is either a crisis or a major problem. 31% 31% 31% A Crisis 20% 8% 8% Not A Problem A Crisis A Major Problem A Minor Problem Not A Problem How would you describe the situation regarding the recent arrival of many South and Central American migrants in Colorado? 12

  13. Denver Metro voters are slightly more likely than those outside the region to say the recent arrival of many South and Central American migrants in Colorado is a crisis or major problem. 33% 33% 29% 28% 21% 19% 9% 7% Denver Metro Non-Denver Metro A Crisis A Major Problem A Minor Problem Not A Problem How would you describe the situation regarding the recent arrival of many South and Central American migrants in Colorado? 13

  14. Congress and the Biden administration receive the most blame for the influx of migrants in Colorado. 43% The Biden 41% 31% 28% The US Congress for rejecting a law to strengthen border security and provide funds to cities dealing with new migrants The City of Denver for their policies regarding migrants The Texas governor for bussing migrants to Colorado administration for lax border policies Which TWO of the following do you think is most responsible for the influx of migrants in Colorado? Is it 14

  15. Voters are split on how they view migrants who have arrived in Colorado. Local and state resources are being overwhelmed by migrants and they need to be turned away. 51 51 Migrants are simply here looking for work and better lives and need to be met with compassion. 49 49 Which comes closer to your view on migrants who have arrived in Colorado? 15

  16. Colorados Changing Political Environment 16

  17. Gone is Colorados swing state status. There has been a sharp shift in how voters perceive the political orientation of Colorado since 2008. 63% 60% 33% 22% 15% 4% -7 +59 2008* 2024 A Blue State A Red State Somewhere in Between Some political commentators talk about states as being either red, that is voting Republican OR blue, that is voting Democratic. Would you say that Colorado today is *August 2008 statewide survey conducted by the Rocky Mountain News and News4 17

  18. A majority of voters feel that Colorado has changed so much that they sometimes feel like a stranger in the state. Colorado has changed so much that I sometimes feel like a stranger in my own state. 58% 42% 28% Strongly Agree 20% Strongly Disagree +16 Total Agree Total Disagree For each of the following statements please indicate if you agree or disagree. 18

  19. Nearly two-thirds of 20+ year/native residents feel like a stranger in Colorado due to changes. Colorado has changed so much that I sometimes feel like a stranger in my own state. 73% 66% 56% 56% 44% 44% 34% 27% 35% 33% Str Agree Str Disagree 26% 22% Str Disagree 19% 18% 17% Str Disagree Str Agree Str Agree Str Disagree 4% Str Agree -46 -12 +12 +32 0-5 Year Residents 6-10 Year Residents 11-19 Year Residents 20+ Year/Native Residents Total Agree Total Disagree For each of the following statements please indicate if you agree or disagree. 19

  20. Coloradans are divided over statewide political leaders; Boebert is viewed negatively by a majority. Strongly Favorable Total Favorable 50% 45% 26% 18% 44% 39% 28% 24% Jared Polis John Hickenlooper 38% 22% 17% 9% 31% 62% 17% 51% Michael Bennet Lauren Boebert Strongly Unfavorable Total Unfavorable For each one, please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person, or if there is someone you don't know too much about, you can indicate that as well. 20

  21. Most Independents and Democrats have a strongly unfavorable view of Boebert, and fewer than half of Republicans view her favorably. Lauren Boebert 77% 74% 68% Str Unfavorable 48% 56% Str Unfavorable 36% 17% 20% 17% Str Favorable 5% Str Unfavorable 7% Str Favorable +12 -51 -72 Republicans Independents Democrats Total Favorable Total Unfavorable For each one, please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person, or if there is someone you don't know too much about, you can indicate that as well. 21

  22. 2024 Presidential Election 22

  23. A majority of voters say that they are worse off than they were four years ago, with nearly one-third saying they are much worse off. 53% 34% 31% Much Worse Off 13% 13% Much Better Off -19 Total Better Total Worse About the Same Compared to four years ago, do you think you are 23

  24. Joe Biden still maintains a lead over Donald Trump in a 2024 general election matchup. 49% 45% 39% 36% 38% Definitely Biden 31% 30% 25% Definitely Biden Definitely Trump Definitely Trump +9 +10 November 2023 March 2024 Total Biden Total Trump If the 2024 general election for President was held today, and you had to make a choice based on these options, who would you vote for? 24

  25. No matter who voters say they are planning to vote for, it is mostly a reaction to Trump. Vote is more 63% 55% 45% 37% -26 +10 Biden Voters* Trump Voters** For Biden Against Trump For Trump Against Biden Would you say your vote is more FOR Joe Biden or more AGAINST Donald Trump? Would you say your vote is more FOR Donald Trump or more AGAINST Joe Biden? *Asked of Biden voters, N=312 **Asked of Trump voters, N=249 25

  26. Colorado Ballot Initiatives 26

  27. Nearly nine-in-ten voters like directly voting on a range of different issue questions. Total Dislike It 12% 2% Total Like It 88% 38% Dislike It A Lot Like It A Lot In addition to candidates, Colorado voters often vote on a range of issues and have passed a number of ballot measures that affect our state. Do you like or dislike directly voting on many different issue questions? 27

  28. Instituting TABOR and allowing the regulation and sale of marijuana are seen as a good thing by at least two-thirds of voters. % Bad Thing Instituting the Taxpayer Bill of Rights (TABOR) which limits government revenue each year, refunds revenue above the limit to taxpayers, and requires voters to vote for any tax increases 69% % Good Thing 14% Allowing the regulation and sale of marijuana to those 21 years of age and older and taxing 67% 21% marijuana sales Instituting a paid family and medical leave program, paid for by a tax on employees and employers, providing workers up to 12 weeks of paid leave for family health issues or a new child 58% 19% 54% 21% Allowing the sale of wine in grocery stores 52% 12% Legalizing and taxing sports betting to fund Colorado water projects 27% 34% Reintroducing wolves on public lands west of the continental divide Considering some previous ballot measures, please indicate if you think that passage of that issue has been more of a good thing for Colorado or more of a bad thing for Colorado. If you don t know enough to say or you feel it is too early to tell, please indicate that instead. 28

  29. Views of Sports, Athletes, and Celebrities 29

  30. Colorado sports stars are viewed favorably by Coloradans; Taylor Swift s image rating is more split. Strongly Favorable Total Favorable 51% 50% 37% 19% 1% 12% Nikola Joki Deion Sanders 47% 30% 21% 20% 26% 3% 15% Taylor Swift Mikaela Shiffrin Strongly Unfavorable Total Unfavorable For each one, please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person, or if there is someone you don't know too much about, you can indicate that as well. 30

  31. Most voters are fans of professional Colorado sports teams. Total Fan 64% 20% Total Fan 63% 26% Committed Fan Committed Fan Colorado Avalanche Denver Broncos Total Fan 57% 19% Total Fan 59% 12% Committed Fan Committed Fan Colorado Rockies Denver Nuggets For each of the following sports teams here in Colorado, do you consider yourself to be a committed fan, a casual fan, or not really interested in that team. 31

  32. The University of Colorado and Colorado State University also have sizeable numbers of fans across the state. Total Fan 34% 6% Total Fan 42% 9% Committed Fan Committed Fan University of Colorado Buffaloes Colorado State University Rams For each of the following sports teams here in Colorado, do you consider yourself to be a committed fan, a casual fan, or not really interested in that team. 32

  33. Questions? 33

  34. lori@newbridgestrategy.com Lori Weigel & Kathryn Hahne lori@newbridgestrategy.com kathryn@newbridgestrategy.com kathryn@newbridgestrategy.com kevin@aspectstrategic.com Kevin Ingham & Alex Dunn kevin@aspectstrategic.com alex@aspectstrategic.com alex@aspectstrategic.com 34

Related


More Related Content